Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 11
FT
Post on X
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
AI call AC Milan or draw
22%
29%
48%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Genoa vs AC Milan prediction: Sportiko gives Genoa a 22% chance of winning, AC Milan 48% and the draw 29%. Last updated 8 Nov 2026, 13:00.

Premium picks

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  • Over 1.5 Goals 71%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 13'
Alphadjo Cissè assist: Adrien Rabiot
⚽ 0–2 19'
Christian Pulišić assist: Gonçalo Ramos
FT 0–2
Genoa

Match Stats

AC Milan
40% Ball Possession 60%
0.25 Expected Goals (xG) 0.28
2 Total Shots 3
0 Shots on Goal 2
1 Shots off Goal 1
1 Blocked Shots 0
1 Shots insidebox 3
1 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Offsides 1
0 Fouls 2
0 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
72 Total passes 115
58 Passes accurate 96
2 Free Kicks 0
Genoa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Johan Vásquez D 6.5 22' – – – 14 (12%) –
71 Samuel Wiafe M 6.4 22' – – – 2 (1%) –
25 Hamed Junior Traorè M 6.3 22' – – – 7 (6%) 1
27 Alessandro Marcandalli D 6.2 22' – – – 10 (8%) –
5 Leo Østigård D 6.1 22' – – – 12 (12%) –
77 Mikael Ellertsson M 6.1 22' – – – 4 (3%) 1
18 Milutin Osmajić F 6.1 22' – – 1 1 (1%) –
10 Junior Messias M 6.0 22' – – – 4 (4%) 1
3 Kingsley Ehizibue M 5.9 22' – – – 6 (2%) –
9 Vitinha M 5.6 22' – – 1 5 (2%) –
1 Justin Bijlow G 5.5 22' – – – 7 (7%) –
AC Milan
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Christian Pulišić M 7.9 22' 1 – 1 9 (8%) 1
70 Alphadjo Cissè M 7.8 22' 1 – 1 7 (6%) –
12 Adrien Rabiot M 7.4 22' – 1 – 11 (8%) 1
9 Gonçalo Ramos F 7.4 22' – 1 1 3 (3%) –
14 Luka Modrić M 7.1 22' – – – 22 (20%) –
13 Sankhoun Diawara D 6.8 22' – – – 12 (11%) –
5 Koni De Winter D 6.7 22' – – – 16 (15%) –
34 Mario Gila Fuentes D 6.7 22' – – – 13 (11%) –
22 Diego Moreira M 6.6 22' – – – 7 (5%) –
80 Yunus Musah M 6.6 22' – – – 6 (4%) –
16 Mike Maignan G 6.4 22' – – – 9 (5%) –
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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Our lean
AC Milan or draw
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Genoa
LWWWL
AC Milan
WLWLW
Last 3 meetings Genoa · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Genoa will face AC Milan on November 8, 2026. Genoa has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Milan boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.3 goals per game. Key for Genoa will be their ability to disrupt Milan's attacking rhythm; they will need to capitalize on set-pieces where they’ve been effective. Conversely, Milan's solid midfield control and pressing game could overwhelm Genoa, especially if they exploit spaces left by the home defense. This matchup promises to be pivotal for both teams' aspirations in the league.

Live insights

20' Goal 85% sure

AC Milan now leads 0-2 with 93.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 83.3%.

14' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. AC Milan win: 78.3%. BTTS: 54.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
22%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
48%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Genoa
M. Osmajić 4 gls
AC Milan
A. Rabiot 5 gls
Diego Moreira 4 gls
A. Cissè 4 gls

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Head to Head: Genoa vs AC Milan

0 Genoa Wins
1 Draws
2 AC Milan Wins
Date Home Score Away
17 May 2026 Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan
08 Jan 2026 AC Milan 1 - 1 Genoa
05 May 2025 Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Genoa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H AC Milan L 0 - 2
01 Nov A Lecce W 1 - 2
28 Oct H Juventus W 2 - 0
25 Oct H Venezia W 1 - 0
17 Oct A AS Roma L 2 - 0

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Genoa W 0 - 2
05 Nov H Ferencvarosi TC L 0 - 2
31 Oct H Inter W 3 - 1
28 Oct H Bologna L 2 - 4
25 Oct A Udinese W 0 - 2

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

AC Milan

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Ruben Amorim
16 Maignan
13 Bocoum
5 Winter
34 Gila
80 Musah
12 Rabiot
14 Modrić
22 Moreira
70 Cissè
11 Pulišić
9 Ramos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 M. Maignan G
34 Mario Gila D
5 K. De Winter D
13 S. Bocoum D
22 Diego Moreira M
14 L. Modrić M
12 A. Rabiot M
80 Y. Musah M
11 C. Pulišić M
70 A. Cissè M
9 Gonçalo Ramos F

Substitutes

33 D. Bartesaghi D
35 V. Vladimirov D
41 L. P. Bouyer G
73 F. Camarda F
28 C. Comotto M
2 P. Estupiñán D
20 O. Hutchinson F
30 A. Jashari M
42 F. Terracciano D
96 L. Torriani G

Genoa

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: D. De Rossi
1 Bijlow
22 Vásquez
5 Østigård
27 Marcandalli
77 Ellertsson
25 Traorè
71 Wiafe
3 Ehizibue
9 Vítinha
10 Messias
18 Osmajić

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Bijlow G
27 A. Marcandalli D
5 L. Østigård D
22 J. Vásquez D
3 K. Ehizibue M
71 S. Wiafe M
25 H. Traorè M
77 M. Ellertsson M
10 Junior Messias M
9 Vítinha M
18 M. Osmajić F

Substitutes

2 M. Mitaj D
4 Alexsandro Amorim M
8 T. Baldanzi M
29 L. Colombo F
16 C. Drameh D
92 S. El Shaarawy F
17 E. Havel F
11 E. Meichtry M
34 S. Otoa D
31 D. Puczka D
20 S. Sabelli D
39 D. Sommariva G
97 D. Sow M
99 F. Stolz G
76 L. Venturino F

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