Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 11

08 Nov 2026, 17:30

Post on X

AC Milan

Away

AI call Genoa or draw

49%

31%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Genoa vs AC Milan prediction: Sportiko gives Genoa a 49% chance of winning, AC Milan 19% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Premium picks

Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — the AI's sharpest picks across all 70+ markets are Premium.

74%

See Premium picks

Free account

Unlock all of today's AI predictions — free

You've seen today's free previews. Create a free account for the AI call, win probabilities and confidence on every match — plus follow your teams and get the daily digest.

Already have an account? Log in

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Genoa vs AC Milan

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Genoa

LWDLL

AC Milan

WLDDW

Last 3 meetings Genoa · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Genoa will face AC Milan on November 8, 2026. Genoa has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Milan boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.3 goals per game. Key for Genoa will be their ability to disrupt Milan's attacking rhythm; they will need to capitalize on set-pieces where they’ve been effective. Conversely, Milan's solid midfield control and pressing game could overwhelm Genoa, especially if they exploit spaces left by the home defense. This matchup promises to be pivotal for both teams' aspirations in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

19%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AC Milan goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	8	4	1
1	15	14	5	1
2	11	8	3	1
3	5	4	1
4	2	1
5

↑ Genoa goals · most likely 1–0 (14.8%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Genoa

No scorer data.

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

31%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

31%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.8%	7.6%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
1	14.8%	14.1%	4.7%	1.2%	0.2%
2	11.1%	8.4%	3.2%	0.8%	0.2%
3	5.0%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.7%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Genoa	Draw	AC Milan
Genoa	29.9%	3.8%	0.9%
Draw	18.7%	21.9%	8.7%
AC Milan	1.7%	3.7%	10.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Genoa vs AC Milan

0 Genoa Wins

1 Draws

2 AC Milan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	Genoa	1 - 2	AC Milan
08 Jan 2026	AC Milan	1 - 1	Genoa
05 May 2025	Genoa	1 - 2	AC Milan

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Parma	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Sudtirol	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Como	L	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Lazio	L	1 - 0

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.