Genoa vs AC Milan Napoved

Serie A · Regular Season - 11

08 Nov 2026, 17:30

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AC Milan

Away

UI napoved Genoa ali neodločeno

49%

31%

19%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Genoa proti AC Milan: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Genoa na 49%, za AC Milan na 19%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 31%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Genoa

LWDLL

AC Milan

WLDDW

Last 3 meetings Genoa · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Genoa will face AC Milan on November 8, 2026. Genoa has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Milan boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.3 goals per game. Key for Genoa will be their ability to disrupt Milan's attacking rhythm; they will need to capitalize on set-pieces where they’ve been effective. Conversely, Milan's solid midfield control and pressing game could overwhelm Genoa, especially if they exploit spaces left by the home defense. This matchup promises to be pivotal for both teams' aspirations in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

19%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AC Milan goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	8	4	1
1	15	14	5	1
2	11	8	3	1
3	5	4	1
4	2	1
5

↑ Genoa goals · most likely 1–0 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Genoa

No scorer data.

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

31%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

31%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.8%	7.6%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
1	14.8%	14.1%	4.7%	1.2%	0.2%
2	11.1%	8.4%	3.2%	0.8%	0.2%
3	5.0%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.7%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Genoa	Draw	AC Milan
Genoa	29.9%	3.8%	0.9%
Draw	18.7%	21.9%	8.7%
AC Milan	1.7%	3.7%	10.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Genoa vs AC Milan

0 Genoa Wins

1 Draws

2 AC Milan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	Genoa	1 - 2	AC Milan
08 Jan 2026	AC Milan	1 - 1	Genoa
05 May 2025	Genoa	1 - 2	AC Milan

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Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Parma	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Sudtirol	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Como	L	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Lazio	L	1 - 0

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.