Genoa vs Frosinone Prediction
Genoa vs Frosinone prediction: Sportiko gives Genoa a 41% chance of winning, Frosinone 30% and the draw 29%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 15:04.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
- Away to Score 71%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 73%
- Under 3.5 Goals 72%
Match Report
Frosinone made a bright start at the Ferraris, taking the lead through Giorgi Kvernadze's 14th-minute strike. The visitors had a chance to double their advantage before the break, but Lorenzo Colombo squandered a penalty in first-half stoppage time, a miss that would prove costly.
Genoa regrouped at half-time, making an immediate substitution and pressing for an equaliser. Johan Vásquez delivered it in the 50th minute, restoring parity and shifting the momentum firmly toward the hosts. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Genoa win as the most likely outcome at 41%, and while the Ligurians could not find a winner, they did avoid defeat. Both sides pushed hard in the closing stages — the xG figures of 1.86 and 1.85 reflecting just how evenly contested the match ultimately was.
The game ended in controversy as Vásquez, already on a yellow card, received a second booking in the 87th minute and was dismissed, leaving Genoa to see out the final moments with ten men. The point leaves both sides searching for consistency in the early Serie A campaign.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Genoa
Match Stats
Genoa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Johan Vásquez D | 7.5 | 86' | 1 | – | 2 | 31 (17%) | 3 |
| 5 Leo Østigård D | 7.2 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 25 (19%) | 1 |
| 10 Junior Messias F | 7.2 | 48' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 97 Djibril Sow M | 6.9 | 79' | – | 1 | – | 26 (20%) | 1 |
| 1 Justin Bijlow G | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 43 (19%) | – |
| 77 Mikael Ellertsson M | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | 5 |
| 27 Alessandro Marcandalli D | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | 1 |
| 32 Morten Frendrup M | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 21 (14%) | 1 |
| 4 Alexsandro Amorim M | 6.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 9 Vitinha F | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 11 Franz-Ethan Meichtry M | 6.6 | 13' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 8 Tommaso Baldanzi M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 92 Stephan El Shaarawy F | 6.3 | 33' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 3 Kingsley Ehizibue M | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 19 (12%) | 2 |
| 18 Milutin Osmajić F | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 29 Lorenzo Colombo F | 5.6 | 70' | – | – | 2 | 11 (5%) | 1 |
Frosinone
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Giorgi Kvernadze M | 8.0 | 87' | 1 | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | 1 |
| 3 Gabriele Calvani D | 7.0 | 93' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | 2 |
| 22 Lorenzo Palmisani G | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 22 (9%) | – |
| 30 Ilario Monterisi D | 6.9 | 48' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | 2 |
| 14 Giacomo Calò M | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | 3 | 73 (60%) | – |
| 40 Seydou Fini F | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 70 Luis Hasa M | 6.7 | 22' | – | – | 2 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 73 Patrizio Masini M | 6.5 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 38 (27%) | 1 |
| 9 Antonio Raimondo F | 6.5 | 71' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 7 Farès Ghedjemis M | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | – |
| 10 Romano Schmid M | 6.3 | 71' | – | 1 | – | 28 (22%) | 1 |
| 2 Giorgio Cittadini D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 79 Gabriele Bracaglia D | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 27 (17%) | 1 |
| 89 T. Bobček F | 6.3 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 20 Anthony Oyono D | 6.2 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 39 (32%) | – |
| 24 Alessio Zerbin F | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
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No scorer data.
A. Raimondo
4 gls
G. Kvernadze
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Genoa vs Frosinone
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2024 | Genoa | 1 - 1 | Frosinone |
| 26 Nov 2023 | Frosinone | 2 - 1 | Genoa |
| 03 Mar 2019 | Genoa | 0 - 0 | Frosinone |
Genoa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Parma | L | 2 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Sudtirol | W | 1 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Frosinone | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H Como | L | 1 - 4 |
| 30 Aug | A Lazio | L | 1 - 0 |
Frosinone — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Como | W | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Genoa | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Venezia | W | 3 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | A Sassuolo | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Fiorentina | W | 0 - 3 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Genoa
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Daniele De Rossi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Bijlow | G |
| 27 | Alessandro Marcandalli | D |
| 5 | Leo Østigård | D |
| 22 | Johan Vásquez | D |
| 3 | Kingsley Ehizibue | M |
| 32 | Morten Frendrup | M |
| 8 | Tommaso Baldanzi | M |
| 97 | Djibril Sow | M |
| 77 | Mikael Ellertsson | M |
| 29 | Lorenzo Colombo | F |
| 18 | Milutin Osmajić | F |
Substitutes
| 99 | Franz Stolz | G |
| 39 | Daniele Sommariva | G |
| 34 | Sebastian Otoa | D |
| 31 | David Puczka | D |
| 2 | Mario Mitaj | D |
| 16 | Cody Drameh | D |
| 11 | Franz-Ethan Meichtry | M |
| 4 | Alexsandro Amorim | M |
| 71 | Samuel Wiafe | M |
| 25 | Hamed Junior Traorè | M |
| 20 | Stefano Sabelli | D |
| 9 | Vitinha | F |
| 92 | Stephan El Shaarawy | F |
| 10 | Junior Messias | F |
Frosinone
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Massimiliano Alvini
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lorenzo Palmisani | G |
| 20 | Anthony Oyono | D |
| 3 | Gabriele Calvani | D |
| 2 | Giorgio Cittadini | D |
| 79 | Gabriele Bracaglia | D |
| 14 | Giacomo Calò | M |
| 73 | Patrizio Masini | M |
| 7 | Farès Ghedjemis | M |
| 10 | Romano Schmid | M |
| 17 | Giorgi Kvernadze | M |
| 9 | Antonio Raimondo | F |
Substitutes
| 91 | Sebastiano Desplanches | G |
| 12 | Matteo Pisseri | G |
| 30 | Ilario Monterisi | D |
| 90 | Enzo Tchato Mbiayi | D |
| 5 | Wisdom Amey | D |
| 25 | Kevin Akpoguma | D |
| 71 | Aleksa Terzić | D |
| 74 | Omar Fayed | D |
| 70 | Luis Hasa | M |
| 16 | Matteo Cichella | M |
| 34 | Anouar El Azzouzi | M |
| 24 | Alessio Zerbin | F |
| 89 | Tomáš Bobček | F |
| 11 | Daniel Bîrligea | F |
| 40 | Seydou Fini | F |