Genoa vs Frosinone Predicción

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Llamada IA Genoa o empate
41%
29%
30%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Genoa vs Frosinone: Sportiko le da a Genoa un 41% de probabilidad de ganar, a Frosinone un 30% y al empate un 29%. Última actualización: 12 Sep 2026, 15:04.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • Visitante anota 71%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 73%
  • Menos de 3.5 goles 72%
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Match Report

Frosinone made a bright start at the Ferraris, taking the lead through Giorgi Kvernadze's 14th-minute strike. The visitors had a chance to double their advantage before the break, but Lorenzo Colombo squandered a penalty in first-half stoppage time, a miss that would prove costly.

Genoa regrouped at half-time, making an immediate substitution and pressing for an equaliser. Johan Vásquez delivered it in the 50th minute, restoring parity and shifting the momentum firmly toward the hosts. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Genoa win as the most likely outcome at 41%, and while the Ligurians could not find a winner, they did avoid defeat. Both sides pushed hard in the closing stages — the xG figures of 1.86 and 1.85 reflecting just how evenly contested the match ultimately was.

The game ended in controversy as Vásquez, already on a yellow card, received a second booking in the 87th minute and was dismissed, leaving Genoa to see out the final moments with ten men. The point leaves both sides searching for consistency in the early Serie A campaign.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

0–1 14'
Giorgi Kvernadze assist: Romano Schmid
16'
Giorgio Cittadini Yellow Card
Lorenzo Colombo Missed Penalty
45+1'
HT 0–1
Tommaso Baldanzi ⇄ Junior Messias
46'
46'
Giorgio Cittadini ⇄ Ilario Monterisi
Kingsley Ehizibue Yellow Card
49'
Johan Vásquez assist: Djibril Sow
50' 1–1
Kingsley Ehizibue ⇄ Stephan El Shaarawy
60'
62'
Gabriele Bracaglia Yellow Card
Johan Vásquez Yellow Card
67'
Lorenzo Colombo ⇄ Vitinha
70'
71'
Romano Schmid ⇄ Luis Hasa
73'
Farès Ghedjemis ⇄ Seydou Fini
73'
Antonio Raimondo ⇄ T. Bobček
Djibril Sow ⇄ Alexsandro Amorim
79'
Mikael Ellertsson ⇄ Franz-Ethan Meichtry
80'
Johan Vásquez Yellow Card
87'
Johan Vásquez Red Card
87'
87'
Giorgi Kvernadze ⇄ Alessio Zerbin
FT 1–1
Genoa

Match Stats

Frosinone
45% Ball Possession 55%
1.86 Expected Goals (xG) 1.85
17 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 8
6 Blocked Shots 13
12 Shots insidebox 15
5 Shots outsidebox 11
8 Corner Kicks 9
2 Offsides 3
12 Fouls 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
274 Total passes 346
175 Passes accurate 268
64% Passes % 77%
-0.12 goals_prevented -0.12
Genoa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Johan Vásquez D 7.5 86' 1 2 31 (17%) 3
5 Leo Østigård D 7.2 93' 2 25 (19%) 1
10 Junior Messias F 7.2 48' 1 13 (9%) 1
97 Djibril Sow M 6.9 79' 1 26 (20%) 1
1 Justin Bijlow G 6.9 93' 43 (19%)
77 Mikael Ellertsson M 6.9 80' 20 (12%) 5
27 Alessandro Marcandalli D 6.9 93' 26 (18%) 1
32 Morten Frendrup M 6.9 93' 21 (14%) 1
4 Alexsandro Amorim M 6.9 14' 4 (3%) 1
9 Vitinha F 6.7 23' 1 4 (2%)
11 Franz-Ethan Meichtry M 6.6 13' 2 (2%)
8 Tommaso Baldanzi M 6.6 45' 1 10 (8%)
92 Stephan El Shaarawy F 6.3 33' 9 (8%)
3 Kingsley Ehizibue M 6.3 60' 1 19 (12%) 2
18 Milutin Osmajić F 6.3 93' 1 10 (7%)
29 Lorenzo Colombo F 5.6 70' 2 11 (5%) 1
Frosinone
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Giorgi Kvernadze M 8.0 87' 1 2 9 (8%) 1
3 Gabriele Calvani D 7.0 93' 22 (16%) 2
22 Lorenzo Palmisani G 6.9 93' 22 (9%)
30 Ilario Monterisi D 6.9 48' 1 15 (13%) 2
14 Giacomo Calò M 6.9 93' 3 73 (60%)
40 Seydou Fini F 6.9 21' 10 (9%)
70 Luis Hasa M 6.7 22' 2 12 (10%)
73 Patrizio Masini M 6.5 93' 2 38 (27%) 1
9 Antonio Raimondo F 6.5 71' 7 (5%)
7 Farès Ghedjemis M 6.3 72' 1 20 (18%)
10 Romano Schmid M 6.3 71' 1 28 (22%) 1
2 Giorgio Cittadini D 6.3 45' 21 (19%) 1
79 Gabriele Bracaglia D 6.3 93' 27 (17%) 1
89 T. Bobček F 6.3 22' 1 3 (3%) 1
20 Anthony Oyono D 6.2 93' 1 39 (32%)
24 Alessio Zerbin F 6'
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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación
Genoa o empate
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Genoa
LWDLL
Frosinone
WDWDW
Last 3 meetings Genoa · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Genoa faces Frosinone in an upcoming Serie A clash, with both teams looking to secure valuable points. Genoa has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Frosinone struggles on the road, with only 10% of their away games resulting in victories. Offensively, Genoa has a slight edge, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match compared to Frosinone's 1.1. The match's outcome may hinge on Genoa's ability to capitalize on Frosinone's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly given their recent struggles away from home. Expect a tightly contested match with potential for Genoa to leverage their offensive strengths.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
41%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
30%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Genoa

No scorer data.

Frosinone
A. Raimondo 4 gls
G. Kvernadze 3 gls

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Head to Head: Genoa vs Frosinone

0 Genoa Wins
2 Draws
1 Frosinone Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Mar 2024 Genoa 1 - 1 Frosinone
26 Nov 2023 Frosinone 2 - 1 Genoa
03 Mar 2019 Genoa 0 - 0 Frosinone
Ver los 6 encuentros — Premium

Genoa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Parma L 2 - 1
15 Sep H Sudtirol W 1 - 0
12 Sep H Frosinone D 1 - 1
04 Sep H Como L 1 - 4
30 Aug A Lazio L 1 - 0

Frosinone — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Como W 2 - 0
12 Sep A Genoa D 1 - 1
06 Sep H Venezia W 3 - 2
02 Sep A Sassuolo D 1 - 1
29 Aug A Fiorentina W 0 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Genoa

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Daniele De Rossi
1 Bijlow
22 Vásquez
5 Østigård
27 Marcandalli
77 Ellertsson
97 Sow
8 Baldanzi
32 Frendrup
3 Ehizibue
18 Osmajić
29 Colombo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Justin Bijlow G
27 Alessandro Marcandalli D
5 Leo Østigård D
22 Johan Vásquez D
3 Kingsley Ehizibue M
32 Morten Frendrup M
8 Tommaso Baldanzi M
97 Djibril Sow M
77 Mikael Ellertsson M
29 Lorenzo Colombo F
18 Milutin Osmajić F

Substitutes

99 Franz Stolz G
39 Daniele Sommariva G
34 Sebastian Otoa D
31 David Puczka D
2 Mario Mitaj D
16 Cody Drameh D
11 Franz-Ethan Meichtry M
4 Alexsandro Amorim M
71 Samuel Wiafe M
25 Hamed Junior Traorè M
20 Stefano Sabelli D
9 Vitinha F
92 Stephan El Shaarawy F
10 Junior Messias F

Frosinone

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Massimiliano Alvini
22 Palmisani
79 Bracaglia
2 Cittadini
3 Calvani
20 Oyono
73 Masini
14 Calò
17 Kvernadze
10 Schmid
7 Ghedjemis
9 Raimondo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 Lorenzo Palmisani G
20 Anthony Oyono D
3 Gabriele Calvani D
2 Giorgio Cittadini D
79 Gabriele Bracaglia D
14 Giacomo Calò M
73 Patrizio Masini M
7 Farès Ghedjemis M
10 Romano Schmid M
17 Giorgi Kvernadze M
9 Antonio Raimondo F

Substitutes

91 Sebastiano Desplanches G
12 Matteo Pisseri G
30 Ilario Monterisi D
90 Enzo Tchato Mbiayi D
5 Wisdom Amey D
25 Kevin Akpoguma D
71 Aleksa Terzić D
74 Omar Fayed D
70 Luis Hasa M
16 Matteo Cichella M
34 Anouar El Azzouzi M
24 Alessio Zerbin F
89 Tomáš Bobček F
11 Daniel Bîrligea F
40 Seydou Fini F

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