Genoa vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

22 Aug 2026, 18:45

Post on X

Napoli

Away

AI call Difficult Genoa win or draw

50%

30%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Genoa vs Napoli prediction: Sportiko gives Genoa a 50% chance of winning, Napoli 20% and the draw 30%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:46.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Genoa

WDLLD

Napoli

WWWWL

Last 3 meetings Genoa · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Genoa faces Napoli in a Serie A clash on August 22, 2026. Napoli enters this match with a strong attacking record, having averaged 2.1 goals per game in the previous season, while Genoa's defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.5 goals per game. The contrasting styles may see Napoli dominate possession and create more chances, leveraging their attacking prowess. Genoa will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks to secure a positive result. Key player form and injury status could significantly influence the match outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Napoli goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	7	3	1
1	13	14	5	1
2	11	9	4	1
3	5	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1

↑ Genoa goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

30%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

30%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.5%	6.7%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%
1	13.0%	13.9%	5.2%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.8%	9.1%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.3%	4.5%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.0%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Genoa	Draw	Napoli
Genoa	31.2%	3.9%	1.0%
Draw	18.6%	19.8%	8.4%
Napoli	2.0%	3.9%	11.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Genoa vs Napoli

0 Genoa Wins

1 Draws

2 Napoli Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Feb 2026	Genoa	2 - 3	Napoli
05 Oct 2025	Napoli	2 - 1	Genoa
11 May 2025	Napoli	2 - 2	Genoa

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Leicester	W	0 - 1
25 Jul	H Vicenza Virtus	D	2 - 2
24 May	A Lecce	L	1 - 0
17 May	H AC Milan	L	1 - 2
10 May	A Fiorentina	D	0 - 0

Napoli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	H Osasuna	W	2 - 1
26 Jul	H Carrarese	W	2 - 0
24 May	H Udinese	W	1 - 0
17 May	A Pisa	W	0 - 3
11 May	H Bologna	L	2 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.