Genoa vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 1
FT
Post on X
AI call Napoli or draw
22%
29%
49%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Genoa vs Napoli prediction: Sportiko gives Genoa a 22% chance of winning, Napoli 49% and the draw 29%. Last updated 23 Aug 2026, 03:00.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Over 1.5 Goals 74%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Match Report

Genoa and Napoli played out a goalless first half at the Luigi Ferraris, with neither side creating much of note. Napoli edged possession and generated the greater threat, though clear-cut chances were scarce in the opening 45 minutes.

The second half proved more eventful. A flurry of substitutions reshaped both teams around the hour mark, and Napoli gradually asserted control. Kevin De Bruyne broke the deadlock in the 82nd minute, and Antonio Vergara added a second just five minutes later to seal a comfortable victory for the visitors. The expected goals figures told the story clearly, with Napoli finishing on 0.58 against Genoa's meagre 0.10, reflecting the away side's dominance in the final third.

Genoa rarely threatened, managing only one shot on target across the entire match. Yellow cards for Leo Østigård and Stefano Sabelli added some late ill-temper to proceedings. The result was a deserved Napoli win — an outcome the pre-match AI model had identified as the most likely result at 49%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
▮ 54'
Matteo Politano Yellow Card
Leo Østigård ⇄ Sebastian Otoa
66' ⇄
Tommaso Baldanzi ⇄ Junior Messias
66' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Alisson Santos ⇄ N. Lang
⇄ 67'
Matteo Politano ⇄ Antonio Vergara
⇄ 67'
Frank Anguissa ⇄ Kevin De Bruyne
Lorenzo Colombo ⇄ Franz-Ethan Meichtry
74' ⇄
Alexsandro Amorim ⇄ Djibril Sow
75' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Rasmus Højlund ⇄ Lorenzo Lucca
⇄ 81'
Rafa Marín ⇄ Mathías Olivera
⚽ 0–1 82'
Kevin De Bruyne assist: Antonio Vergara
Leo Østigård Yellow Card
85' ▮
Stefano Sabelli Yellow Card
85' ▮
⚽ 0–2 87'
Antonio Vergara assist: Kevin De Bruyne
Johan Vásquez
87' ⇄
FT 0–2
Genoa

Match Stats

Napoli
52% Ball Possession 48%
0.58 Expected Goals (xG) 0.10
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 0
3 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Corner Kicks 3
0 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
355 Total passes 324
315 Passes accurate 286
89% Passes % 88%
0.02 goals_prevented 0.02
Genoa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Justin Bijlow G 7.0 64' – – – 39 (28%) –
4 Alexsandro Amorim M 7.0 64' – – 1 44 (41%) 2
22 Johan Vásquez D 6.9 64' – – – 55 (48%) 1
5 Leo Østigård D 6.9 64' – – – 52 (48%) 2
77 Mikael Ellertsson M 6.9 64' – – – 14 (13%) 1
32 Morten Frendrup M 6.9 64' – – 1 41 (40%) 1
27 Alessandro Marcandalli D 6.6 64' – – – 41 (39%) –
8 Tommaso Baldanzi F 6.6 64' – – – 30 (27%) –
15 Brooke Norton-Cuffy M 6.6 64' – – – 19 (14%) –
29 Lorenzo Colombo F 6.5 64' – – – 9 (8%) –
9 Vitinha F 5.9 64' – – 3 11 (9%) –
Napoli
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Amir Rrahmani D 7.9 64' – – – 50 (42%) 5
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D 7.2 64' – – – 34 (31%) 2
68 Stanislav Lobotka M 6.9 64' – – – 48 (46%) 2
16 Rafa Marín D 6.9 64' – – – 33 (30%) –
8 Scott McTominay M 6.7 64' – – – 20 (19%) –
1 Alex Meret G 6.7 64' – – – 28 (23%) –
37 Leonardo Spinazzola D 6.6 64' – – 1 39 (36%) –
99 Frank Anguissa M 6.5 64' – – – 29 (25%) 2
27 Alisson Santos F 6.3 64' – – 2 15 (11%) –
21 Matteo Politano F 6.3 64' – – – 21 (18%) 2
19 Rasmus Højlund F 6.3 64' – – – 7 (5%) –
Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Genoa vs Napoli

  • All 70+ probability markets
  • AI Deep-Dive match report
  • Value Edge — model vs market
  • Pick types you choose
Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean
Napoli or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Genoa
LWDLL
Napoli
DWLLL
Last 3 meetings Genoa · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Genoa faces Napoli in a Serie A clash on August 22, 2026. Napoli enters this match with a strong attacking record, having averaged 2.1 goals per game in the previous season, while Genoa's defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.5 goals per game. The contrasting styles may see Napoli dominate possession and create more chances, leveraging their attacking prowess. Genoa will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks to secure a positive result. Key player form and injury status could significantly influence the match outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Genoa vs Napoli

0 Genoa Wins
1 Draws
2 Napoli Wins
Date Home Score Away
07 Feb 2026 Genoa 2 - 3 Napoli
05 Oct 2025 Napoli 2 - 1 Genoa
11 May 2025 Napoli 2 - 2 Genoa
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Genoa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Parma L 2 - 1
15 Sep H Sudtirol W 1 - 0
12 Sep H Frosinone D 1 - 1
04 Sep H Como L 1 - 4
30 Aug A Lazio L 1 - 0

Napoli — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Fiorentina D 1 - 1
13 Sep H Bologna W 1 - 0
09 Sep H Arsenal L 0 - 1
05 Sep A Inter L 3 - 2
30 Aug H Como L 1 - 2

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Napoli

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
1 Meret
37 Spinazzola
16 Marín
13 Rrahmani
22 Lorenzo
8 McTominay
68 Lobotka
99 Anguissa
27 Santos
19 Højlund
21 Politano

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Alex Meret G
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
16 Rafa Marín D
37 Leonardo Spinazzola D
99 Frank Anguissa M
68 Stanislav Lobotka M
8 Scott McTominay M
21 Matteo Politano F
19 Rasmus Højlund F
27 Alisson Santos F

Substitutes

32 Vanja Milinković-Savić G
14 Nikita Contini G
47 Christian Garofalo D
31 Sam Beukema D
17 Mathías Olivera D
2 Costantino Favasuli D
11 Kevin De Bruyne M
6 Billy Gilmour M
23 Giovane F
26 Antonio Vergara M
20 Lorenzo Lucca F
70 Noa Lang F
7 David Neres F

Genoa

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Daniele De Rossi
1 Bijlow
22 Vásquez
5 Østigård
27 Marcandalli
77 Ellertsson
4 Amorim
32 Frendrup
15 Norton-Cuffy
9 Vitinha
8 Baldanzi
29 Colombo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Justin Bijlow G
27 Alessandro Marcandalli D
5 Leo Østigård D
22 Johan Vásquez D
15 Brooke Norton-Cuffy M
32 Morten Frendrup M
4 Alexsandro Amorim M
77 Mikael Ellertsson M
8 Tommaso Baldanzi F
9 Vitinha F
29 Lorenzo Colombo F

Substitutes

39 Daniele Sommariva G
99 Franz Stolz G
74 Mamedi Doucoure D
34 Sebastian Otoa D
31 David Puczka D
2 Mario Mitaj D
97 Djibril Sow M
11 Franz-Ethan Meichtry M
71 Samuel Wiafe M
3 Aarón Martín D
20 Stefano Sabelli D
80 Adam Zulevic F
10 Junior Messias F

Sportiko Assistant

Features, the contest, or football

Sign up free to chat with the Sportiko Assistant — ask about predictions, the contest, anything football.

Sign up free Already have an account? Log in