Elche vs Celta Vigo Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 8

11 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Celta Vigo

Away

AI call Difficult Elche win or draw

61%

25%

14%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Elche vs Celta Vigo prediction: Sportiko gives Elche a 61% chance of winning, Celta Vigo 14% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Premium picks

Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — the AI's sharpest picks across all 70+ markets are Premium.

72%

See Premium picks

Free account

Unlock all of today's AI predictions — free

You've seen today's free previews. Create a free account for the AI call, win probabilities and confidence on every match — plus follow your teams and get the daily digest.

Already have an account? Log in

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Elche vs Celta Vigo

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Elche

WLDLL

Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Last 3 meetings Elche · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Elche faces Celta Vigo in a La Liga clash on October 11, 2026. Elche's defense has struggled this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Celta Vigo has shown a more solid defensive record, allowing 1.2 goals per game. Offensively, Celta has a slight edge, averaging 1.4 goals per match compared to Elche's 1.1. Key players to watch include Elche's striker, who is crucial for their attack, and Celta's creative midfielder, who has been instrumental in their build-up play. This match could hinge on Elche's ability to tighten their defense against Celta's attacking threats.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celta Vigo goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	12	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	8	6	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Elche goals · most likely 2–0 (12.1%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

81% Home (No Draw) 19% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	4.1%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
1	11.3%	11.7%	4.3%	1.2%	0.2%
2	12.1%	9.9%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
3	7.7%	6.3%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%
4	3.7%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Elche	Draw	Celta Vigo
Elche	39.9%	3.5%	0.9%
Draw	20.3%	15.4%	6.0%
Celta Vigo	2.5%	3.5%	7.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Elche vs Celta Vigo

1 Elche Wins

0 Draws

2 Celta Vigo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	Celta Vigo	3 - 1	Elche
28 Sep 2025	Elche	2 - 1	Celta Vigo
26 Apr 2023	Celta Vigo	1 - 0	Elche

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.