Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: Sportiko gives Sevilla a 42% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano 28% and the draw 30%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 00:03.
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Premium- Home to Score 76%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
- Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Match Report
Rayo Vallecano made a bright start at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, with Álvaro García breaking the deadlock in the fourth minute to give the visitors an early lead. Rayo's momentum was checked when a Isi Palazón effort was ruled out by VAR for a foul on the half-hour mark, and the hosts went into the break trailing but still in the contest.
Sevilla turned the game around swiftly after the interval. A penalty converted by Jon Guridi on 52 minutes drew the hosts level, and despite a match that grew increasingly fractious — featuring eight yellow cards and a red card for Kike Salas in the 88th minute — Sevilla held their nerve. Deep into stoppage time, Peque Fernández stepped up to convert a second penalty and seal a dramatic 2–1 victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Sevilla win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that proved correct.
Sevilla edged the expected goals battle at 2.30 to 2.00 and registered 13 total shots to Rayo's six, reflecting their dominance in the second half despite the early setback.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Sevilla
Match Stats
Sevilla
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Odysseas Vlachodimos G | 7.2 | 102' | – | – | – | 29 (17%) | – |
| 30 Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega M | 7.2 | 70' | – | – | – | 16 (9%) | 1 |
| 2 Juan Iglesias D | 7.0 | 102' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | 2 |
| 28 Manu Bueno M | 7.0 | 20' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 9 Robbie Ure F | 6.9 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 4 Kike Salas D | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 44 (31%) | 3 |
| 17 Gabriel Suazo D | 6.9 | 102' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | 3 |
| 10 Peque Fernández F | 6.9 | 57' | 1 | – | 2 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 18 Jon Guridi M | 6.6 | 82' | 1 | – | 2 | 20 (19%) | – |
| 6 Lucien Agoumé M | 6.6 | 102' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | 4 |
| 27 Nico Guillén M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 3 |
| 19 Oso M | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 17 (8%) | 1 |
| 11 Rubén Vargas M | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 6 (2%) | 1 |
| 21 Chidera Ejuke F | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 12 Arouna Sangante D | 6.2 | 102' | – | – | – | 47 (39%) | 1 |
| 16 Isaac Romero F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 13 (8%) | – |
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Unai López M | 7.0 | 78' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | 2 |
| 7 Isi Palazón M | 6.9 | 64' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | 2 |
| 9 Alemão F | 6.9 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 18 Álvaro García M | 6.9 | 70' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (8%) | 2 |
| 6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss D | 6.7 | 102' | – | – | – | 53 (46%) | – |
| 24 Florian Lejeune D | 6.7 | 102' | – | – | 2 | 49 (36%) | 5 |
| 23 Óscar Valentín M | 6.7 | 78' | – | – | – | 23 (15%) | 1 |
| 4 Pedro Díaz M | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 13 Augusto Batalla G | 6.6 | 102' | – | – | – | 35 (20%) | – |
| 19 Jorge de Frutos M | 6.5 | 102' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | 3 |
| 21 Fran Pérez F | 6.5 | 32' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 11 Randy Nteka F | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 10 Sergio Camello F | 6.3 | 38' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 20 Iván Balliu D | 6.3 | 102' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | 1 |
| 22 Pelayo Fernández D | 6.2 | 24' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 2 Andrei Rațiu D | 5.9 | 102' | – | – | 1 | 26 (16%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar 2026 | Sevilla | 1 - 1 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 - 1 | Sevilla |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 - 1 | Sevilla |
Sevilla — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Barcelona | L | 1 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | A Deportivo La Coruna | W | 0 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | H Valencia | W | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Espanyol | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Atletico Madrid | L | 1 - 3 |
Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Osasuna | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Espanyol | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Real Madrid | L | 4 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Racing Santander | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | A Barcelona | L | 5 - 2 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Sevilla
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Luis Garcia Plaza
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odysseas Vlachodimos | G |
| 2 | Juan Iglesias | D |
| 12 | Arouna Sangante | D |
| 4 | Kike Salas | D |
| 17 | Gabriel Suazo | D |
| 6 | Lucien Agoumé | M |
| 27 | Nico Guillén | M |
| 30 | Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega | M |
| 18 | Jon Guridi | M |
| 19 | Oso | M |
| 16 | Isaac Romero | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | Peque Fernández | F |
| 9 | Robbie Ure | F |
| 11 | Rubén Vargas | M |
| 21 | Chidera Ejuke | F |
| 28 | Manu Bueno | M |
| 13 | Fran González | G |
| 22 | José Ángel Carmona | D |
| 3 | Julio Díaz | D |
| 5 | Andres Castrin | D |
| 34 | Iker Muñoz | D |
| 37 | Ibra Sow | F |
| 39 | Edu Altozano | M |
Rayo Vallecano
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Benat San Jose
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Augusto Batalla | G |
| 2 | Andrei Rațiu | D |
| 24 | Florian Lejeune | D |
| 6 | Pathé Ismaël Ciss | D |
| 20 | Iván Balliu | D |
| 8 | Unai López | M |
| 23 | Óscar Valentín | M |
| 19 | Jorge de Frutos | M |
| 7 | Isi Palazón | M |
| 18 | Álvaro García | M |
| 11 | Randy Nteka | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | Sergio Camello | F |
| 9 | Alemão | F |
| 21 | Fran Pérez | F |
| 22 | Pelayo Fernández | D |
| 4 | Pedro Díaz | M |
| 1 | Dani Cárdenas | G |
| 33 | Jozhua Vertrouwd | D |
| 26 | Marco de las Sias | D |
| 27 | Sergio Lozano | D |
| 31 | Marco Román | M |
| 34 | Ivan Alonso Martin | D |