Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prognose

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Rayo Vallecano

Away

KI-Tipp Sevilla oder Unentschieden

42%

30%

28%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Sevilla eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 42%, für Rayo Vallecano 28% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 16 Aug 2026, 00:03.

Premium-Tipps

Premium

Heimteam trifft 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Über 1,5 Tore 72%

Premium-Mitglieder hatten diese Tipps vor dem Anpfiff. Premium-Analysen ansehen

Match Report

Rayo Vallecano made a bright start at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, with Álvaro García breaking the deadlock in the fourth minute to give the visitors an early lead. Rayo's momentum was checked when a Isi Palazón effort was ruled out by VAR for a foul on the half-hour mark, and the hosts went into the break trailing but still in the contest.

Sevilla turned the game around swiftly after the interval. A penalty converted by Jon Guridi on 52 minutes drew the hosts level, and despite a match that grew increasingly fractious — featuring eight yellow cards and a red card for Kike Salas in the 88th minute — Sevilla held their nerve. Deep into stoppage time, Peque Fernández stepped up to convert a second penalty and seal a dramatic 2–1 victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Sevilla win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that proved correct.

Sevilla edged the expected goals battle at 2.30 to 2.00 and registered 13 total shots to Rayo's six, reflecting their dominance in the second half despite the early setback.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 4'

Álvaro García

🖵 32'

Isi Palazón Goal Disallowed - Foul

Isaac Romero Yellow Card

45+3' ▮

HT 0–1

Isaac Romero ⇄ Robbie Ure

46' ⇄

⇄ Peque Fernández

46' ⇄

Jon Guridi Penalty

52' ⚽ 1–1

Jon Guridi Yellow Card

60' ▮

⇄ 64'

Isi Palazón ⇄ Sergio Camello

⇄ 65'

Randy Nteka ⇄ Alemão

▮ 67'

Álvaro García Yellow Card

Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega ⇄ Rubén Vargas

70' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Álvaro García ⇄ Fran Pérez

▮ 75'

Unai López Yellow Card

▮ 76'

Fran Pérez Yellow Card

Oso ⇄ Chidera Ejuke

78' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Unai López ⇄ Pedro Díaz

⇄ 78'

Óscar Valentín ⇄ Pelayo Fernández

Gabriel Suazo Yellow Card

81' ▮

Jon Guridi ⇄ Manu Bueno

82' ⇄

Kike Salas Red Card

88' ▮

Peque Fernández Penalty

90+7' ⚽ 2–1

Lucien Agoumé Yellow Card

90+12' ▮

▮ 90+12'

Alemão Yellow Card

FT 2–1

Sevilla

Match Stats

Rayo Vallecano

49% Ball Possession 51%

2.30 Expected Goals (xG) 2.00

13 Total Shots 6

4 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 3

3 Blocked Shots 0

9 Shots insidebox 5

4 Shots outsidebox 1

1 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 1

18 Fouls 18

4 Yellow Cards 4

1 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

318 Total passes 337

232 Passes accurate 246

73% Passes % 73%

-0.21 goals_prevented -0.21

Sevilla

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Odysseas Vlachodimos G	7.2	102'	–	–	–	29 (17%)	–
30 Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega M	7.2	70'	–	–	–	16 (9%)	1
2 Juan Iglesias D	7.0	102'	–	–	–	27 (18%)	2
28 Manu Bueno M	7.0	20'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
9 Robbie Ure F	6.9	57'	–	–	1	6 (6%)	–
4 Kike Salas D	6.9	88'	–	–	1	44 (31%)	3
17 Gabriel Suazo D	6.9	102'	–	–	–	33 (27%)	3
10 Peque Fernández F	6.9	57'	1	–	2	11 (10%)	–
18 Jon Guridi M	6.6	82'	1	–	2	20 (19%)	–
6 Lucien Agoumé M	6.6	102'	–	–	–	34 (25%)	4
27 Nico Guillén M	6.6	45'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	3
19 Oso M	6.5	78'	–	–	1	17 (8%)	1
11 Rubén Vargas M	6.3	32'	–	–	1	6 (2%)	1
21 Chidera Ejuke F	6.3	24'	–	–	–	–	–
12 Arouna Sangante D	6.2	102'	–	–	–	47 (39%)	1
16 Isaac Romero F	6.2	45'	–	–	2	13 (8%)	–

Rayo Vallecano

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Unai López M	7.0	78'	–	–	–	34 (25%)	2
7 Isi Palazón M	6.9	64'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	2
9 Alemão F	6.9	37'	–	–	1	5 (5%)	1
18 Álvaro García M	6.9	70'	1	–	1	13 (8%)	2
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss D	6.7	102'	–	–	–	53 (46%)	–
24 Florian Lejeune D	6.7	102'	–	–	2	49 (36%)	5
23 Óscar Valentín M	6.7	78'	–	–	–	23 (15%)	1
4 Pedro Díaz M	6.7	24'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
13 Augusto Batalla G	6.6	102'	–	–	–	35 (20%)	–
19 Jorge de Frutos M	6.5	102'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	3
21 Fran Pérez F	6.5	32'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
11 Randy Nteka F	6.3	65'	–	–	1	5 (5%)	1
10 Sergio Camello F	6.3	38'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	–
20 Iván Balliu D	6.3	102'	–	–	–	27 (18%)	1
22 Pelayo Fernández D	6.2	24'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
2 Andrei Rațiu D	5.9	102'	–	–	1	26 (16%)	–

Premium

Vollständige KI-Analyse für Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano freischalten

Alle 70+ Wahrscheinlichkeitsmärkte
KI Deep-Dive Spielbericht
Value Edge — Modell vs. Markt
Von dir gewählte Tipp-Typen

Zu Premium wechseln

Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Sevilla oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Sevilla

LWWDL

Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

Last 3 meetings Sevilla · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga match, Sevilla will face Rayo Vallecano. Sevilla has historically performed well at home, boasting a strong defensive record, conceding just 1.1 goals per match last season. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, has struggled against top-tier teams, averaging only 0.9 goals scored per away game. This match could hinge on Sevilla's ability to capitalize on set pieces, where they have excelled, while Rayo will need to improve their away form to challenge effectively. Expect Sevilla to leverage their experience and tactical discipline to secure a favorable result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rayo Vallecano goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Sevilla goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Sevilla

No scorer data.

Rayo Vallecano

Sergio Camello 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Warum diese Auswahl? · Premium KI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	7.2%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%
1	10.4%	14.3%	6.6%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.6%	9.0%	4.7%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.1%	4.3%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sevilla	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla	26.9%	4.7%	1.8%
Draw	16.4%	19.3%	11.6%
Rayo Vallecano	1.9%	3.9%	13.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

1 Sevilla Wins

2 Draws

0 Rayo Vallecano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	Sevilla	1 - 1	Rayo Vallecano
28 Sep 2025	Rayo Vallecano	0 - 1	Sevilla
01 Mar 2025	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	Sevilla

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Sevilla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Barcelona	L	1 - 3
16 Sep	A Deportivo La Coruna	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Valencia	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Espanyol	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Atletico Madrid	L	1 - 3

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Osasuna	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Espanyol	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Barcelona	L	5 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Sevilla

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Luis Garcia Plaza

1 Vlachodimos

17 Suazo

4 Salas

12 Sangante

2 Iglesias

27 Guillén

6 Agoumé

19 Oso

18 Guridi

30 Ortega

16 Romero

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Odysseas Vlachodimos	G
2	Juan Iglesias	D
12	Arouna Sangante	D
4	Kike Salas	D
17	Gabriel Suazo	D
6	Lucien Agoumé	M
27	Nico Guillén	M
30	Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega	M
18	Jon Guridi	M
19	Oso	M
16	Isaac Romero	F

Substitutes

10	Peque Fernández	F
9	Robbie Ure	F
11	Rubén Vargas	M
21	Chidera Ejuke	F
28	Manu Bueno	M
13	Fran González	G
22	José Ángel Carmona	D
3	Julio Díaz	D
5	Andres Castrin	D
34	Iker Muñoz	D
37	Ibra Sow	F
39	Edu Altozano	M

Rayo Vallecano

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Benat San Jose

13 Batalla

20 Balliu

6 Ciss

24 Lejeune

2 Rațiu

23 Valentín

8 López

18 García

7 Palazón

19 Frutos

11 Nteka

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Augusto Batalla	G
2	Andrei Rațiu	D
24	Florian Lejeune	D
6	Pathé Ismaël Ciss	D
20	Iván Balliu	D
8	Unai López	M
23	Óscar Valentín	M
19	Jorge de Frutos	M
7	Isi Palazón	M
18	Álvaro García	M
11	Randy Nteka	F

Substitutes

10	Sergio Camello	F
9	Alemão	F
21	Fran Pérez	F
22	Pelayo Fernández	D
4	Pedro Díaz	M
1	Dani Cárdenas	G
33	Jozhua Vertrouwd	D
26	Marco de las Sias	D
27	Sergio Lozano	D
31	Marco Román	M
34	Ivan Alonso Martin	D