Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

22 Aug 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Leeds

Away

AI call Leeds or draw

32%

29%

39%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds prediction: Sportiko gives Nottingham Forest a 32% chance of winning, Leeds 39% and the draw 29%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:43.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Nottingham Forest

LWDLD

Leeds

WWLLW

Last 3 meetings Nottingham Forest · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Nottingham Forest faces Leeds in an intriguing Premier League matchup. Both teams have shown varying degrees of form, with Nottingham looking to capitalize on their attacking prowess, averaging 1.3 goals per match last season. Leeds, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per match, which could be a critical factor. Set pieces and midfield control will be essential for both sides, particularly for Leeds to disrupt Nottingham’s rhythm. Expect a tactical battle with potential for high stakes as both teams seek to improve their standings early in the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

39%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Leeds goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	8	7	3	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Nottingham Forest goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

32%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

32%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

55% Away (No Draw) 45% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	7.5%	6.7%	3.3%	1.2%
1	6.6%	13.6%	8.8%	4.3%	1.6%
2	5.4%	7.9%	5.8%	2.9%	1.1%
3	2.4%	3.5%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.8%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nottingham Forest	Draw	Leeds
Nottingham Forest	19.0%	4.6%	2.3%
Draw	12.3%	17.3%	14.3%
Leeds	2.0%	4.6%	23.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nottingham Forest vs Leeds

1 Nottingham Forest Wins

0 Draws

2 Leeds Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Feb 2026	Leeds	3 - 1	Nottingham Forest
09 Nov 2025	Nottingham Forest	3 - 1	Leeds
04 Apr 2023	Leeds	2 - 1	Nottingham Forest

See all 4 meetings — Premium

Nottingham Forest — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	A Sporting CP	L	4 - 1
22 Jul	H Blackburn	W	3 - 0
24 May	H Bournemouth	D	1 - 1
17 May	A Manchester United	L	3 - 2
10 May	H Newcastle	D	1 - 1

Leeds — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A Liverpool	W	2 - 4
30 Jul	A Sunderland	W	0 - 1
25 Jul	A Wrexham	L	3 - 2
24 May	A West Ham	L	3 - 0
17 May	H Brighton	W	1 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.