Leon vs CF Pachuca Prediction
AI call
Difficult CF Pachuca win or draw
21%
24%
55%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Leon vs CF Pachuca prediction: Sportiko gives Leon a 21% chance of winning, CF Pachuca 55% and the draw 24%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 03:07.
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Timeline
Yellow Card
24'
▮
Juan Guevara
Yellow Card
32'
▮
▮
34'
Oussama Idrissi
Yellow Card
Sebastián Vegas
Yellow Card
37'
▮
Daniel Arcila
41'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
▮
52'
Francisco Venegas
Yellow Card
⇄
57'
Francisco Venegas
⇄ Mauricio Isais
⇄
57'
Nicolás Vallejo
⇄ Gael Álvarez
⇄ Diber Cambindo
57'
⇄
▮
62'
Christian Rivera
Red Card
⇄
64'
Rodolfo Pizarro
⇄ Alan Bautista
Daniel Arcila
⇄ Luis Valadez
69'
⇄
Edgar Guerra
⇄ Jesús Lara
69'
⇄
▮
75'
Eduardo Bauermann
Yellow Card
⇄
75'
Oussama Idrissi
⇄ Alexei Domínguez
⇄
75'
Salomón Rondón
⇄ Adrián Alcaraz
▮
82'
Carlos Moreno
Yellow Card
Rodrigo Echeverría
Yellow Card
82'
▮
▮
84'
Sergio Barreto
Yellow Card
▮
87'
Adrián Alcaraz
Yellow Card
Iván Moreno
⇄ Bryan Colula
90'
⇄
▮
90+2'
Alan Mozo
Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Leon
Match Stats
CF Pachuca
52%
Ball Possession
48%
0.98
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
15
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
1
6
Shots off Goal
4
3
Blocked Shots
3
10
Shots insidebox
5
5
Shots outsidebox
3
4
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
4
9
Fouls
17
4
Yellow Cards
7
0
Red Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
407
Total passes
354
345
Passes accurate
298
85%
Passes %
84%
0.11
goals_prevented
0.11
Leon
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Daniel Arcila F | 7.7 | 69' | 1 | – | 2 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 3 Juan Guevara D | 7.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 67 (64%) | 3 |
| 7 Iván Moreno D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (27%) | 4 |
| 16 Jordi Cortizo M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 40 (32%) | 6 |
| 29 José Rodríguez M | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 42 (37%) | – |
| 14 Jhohan Romaña D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 42 (40%) | 1 |
| 20 Rodrigo Echeverría M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 35 (31%) | 1 |
| 18 Edgar Guerra M | 6.9 | 69' | – | – | 2 | 22 (15%) | 1 |
| 6 Fernando Beltrán M | 6.7 | 57' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 23 Oscar García G | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | – |
| 5 Sebastián Vegas D | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | 3 | 50 (41%) | 2 |
| 203 Jesús Lara D | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 27 Diber Cambindo F | 6.3 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 35 Luis Valadez M | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 4 Bryan Colula D | — | 4' | – | – | – | – | – |
CF Pachuca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Carlos Moreno G | 7.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | – |
| 10 Elías Montiel M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 44 (37%) | 4 |
| 22 Alan Mozo D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | 4 |
| 2 Sergio Barreto D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 45 (39%) | 2 |
| 7 Rodolfo Pizarro M | 6.9 | 64' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 6 Mauricio Isais D | 6.9 | 37' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 11 Oussama Idrissi M | 6.7 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 27 (20%) | 1 |
| 23 Salomón Rondón F | 6.7 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 26 Alan Bautista M | 6.7 | 30' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | 2 |
| 15 Francisco Venegas D | 6.5 | 57' | – | – | – | 46 (35%) | 1 |
| 8 Alexei Domínguez F | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 187 Gael Álvarez F | 6.3 | 37' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 21 Nicolás Vallejo M | 6.2 | 57' | – | – | 2 | 10 (8%) | 2 |
| 9 Adrián Alcaraz M | 6.2 | 19' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 4 Eduardo Bauermann D | 6.0 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 38 (32%) | 1 |
| 16 Christian Rivera M | 5.7 | 62' | – | – | – | 33 (29%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult CF Pachuca win or draw
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Leon
DWLWL
CF Pachuca
DWWDD
Last 2 meetings
Leon · 0W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the Liga MX clash, León will face CF Pachuca, both teams showcasing strong attacking capabilities. León has demonstrated impressive home form, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Pachuca has maintained a solid away record, scoring 1.8 goals per match. Defensive statistics reveal that León has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, while Pachuca's defense has been slightly more porous with 1.4 goals against per match. This match could hinge on León's ability to exploit defensive lapses from Pachuca, making it a potentially high-scoring affair.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
21%
10%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
55%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Leon
D. Arcila
4 gls
D. Cambindo
3 gls
CF Pachuca
S. Rondón
10 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Leon vs CF Pachuca
0
Leon Wins
1
Draws
1
CF Pachuca Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | CF Pachuca | 2 - 1 | Leon |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Leon | 1 - 1 | CF Pachuca |
Leon — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | A Club Queretaro | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Atletico San Luis | W | 2 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | A U.N.A.M. - Pumas | L | 3 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Club America | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | A Toluca | L | 2 - 0 |
CF Pachuca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | H Club Tijuana | D | 2 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Atlante FC | W | 0 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A FC Juarez | W | 0 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Guadalajara Chivas | D | 1 - 1 |
| 23 Aug | A Atletico San Luis | D | 1 - 1 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Club America
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Club Queretaro
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |
CF Pachuca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atlante FC
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Necaxa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 |
CF Pachuca
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Benjamin Mora
25
Moreno
15
Venegas
2
Barreto
4
Bauermann
22
Mozo
10
Montiel
16
Rivera
11
Idrissi
7
Pizarro
21
Vallejo
23
Rondón
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Carlos Moreno | G |
| 22 | Alan Mozo | D |
| 4 | Eduardo Bauermann | D |
| 2 | Sergio Barreto | D |
| 15 | Francisco Venegas | D |
| 16 | Christian Rivera | M |
| 10 | Elías Montiel | M |
| 21 | Nicolás Vallejo | M |
| 7 | Rodolfo Pizarro | M |
| 11 | Oussama Idrissi | M |
| 23 | Salomón Rondón | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | Mauricio Isais | D |
| 187 | Gael Álvarez | F |
| 26 | Alan Bautista | M |
| 31 | Jose Eulogio | G |
| 13 | Jorge Berlanga | D |
| 14 | Carlos Sánchez | D |
| 8 | Alexei Domínguez | F |
| 19 | Illian Hernandez | F |
| 211 | Cristóbal Hernández | F |
| 9 | Adrián Alcaraz | M |
Leon
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Javier Gandolfi
23
García
5
Vegas
3
Guevara
14
Romaña
7
Moreno
29
Rodríguez
18
Guerra
6
Beltrán
20
Echeverría
16
Cortizo
13
Arcila
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Oscar García | G |
| 7 | Iván Moreno | D |
| 14 | Jhohan Romaña | D |
| 3 | Juan Guevara | D |
| 5 | Sebastián Vegas | D |
| 29 | José Rodríguez | M |
| 16 | Jordi Cortizo | M |
| 20 | Rodrigo Echeverría | M |
| 6 | Fernando Beltrán | M |
| 18 | Edgar Guerra | M |
| 13 | Daniel Arcila | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | Diber Cambindo | F |
| 4 | Bryan Colula | D |
| 25 | Paul Bellón | D |
| 185 | Christopher Mora | D |
| 22 | Sebastián Santos | M |
| 35 | Luis Valadez | M |
| 203 | Jesús Lara | D |
| 247 | Isaac Espinosa | M |
| 181 | Irving Martinez | G |
| 197 | Gael Camarena | M |