Leon vs CF Pachuca Previsão

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 3
FT
Post on X
Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do CF Pachuca
21%
24%
55%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Leon x CF Pachuca: O Sportiko estima 21% de probabilidade de vitória para o Leon, 55% para o CF Pachuca e 24% de empate. Atualizado 2 Aug 2026, 03:07.

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Timeline

Yellow Card
24' ▮
Juan Guevara Yellow Card
32' ▮
▮ 34'
Oussama Idrissi Yellow Card
Sebastián Vegas Yellow Card
37' ▮
Daniel Arcila
41' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
▮ 52'
Francisco Venegas Yellow Card
⇄ 57'
Francisco Venegas ⇄ Mauricio Isais
⇄ 57'
Nicolás Vallejo ⇄ Gael Álvarez
⇄ Diber Cambindo
57' ⇄
▮ 62'
Christian Rivera Red Card
⇄ 64'
Rodolfo Pizarro ⇄ Alan Bautista
Daniel Arcila ⇄ Luis Valadez
69' ⇄
Edgar Guerra ⇄ Jesús Lara
69' ⇄
▮ 75'
Eduardo Bauermann Yellow Card
⇄ 75'
Oussama Idrissi ⇄ Alexei Domínguez
⇄ 75'
Salomón Rondón ⇄ Adrián Alcaraz
▮ 82'
Carlos Moreno Yellow Card
Rodrigo Echeverría Yellow Card
82' ▮
▮ 84'
Sergio Barreto Yellow Card
▮ 87'
Adrián Alcaraz Yellow Card
Iván Moreno ⇄ Bryan Colula
90' ⇄
▮ 90+2'
Alan Mozo Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Leon

Match Stats

CF Pachuca
52% Ball Possession 48%
0.98 Expected Goals (xG) 0.71
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 4
9 Fouls 17
4 Yellow Cards 7
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
407 Total passes 354
345 Passes accurate 298
85% Passes % 84%
0.11 goals_prevented 0.11
Leon
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Daniel Arcila F 7.7 69' 1 – 2 9 (5%) –
3 Juan Guevara D 7.6 94' – – – 67 (64%) 3
7 Iván Moreno D 7.3 90' – – 1 34 (27%) 4
16 Jordi Cortizo M 7.3 94' – – 1 40 (32%) 6
29 José Rodríguez M 7.2 94' – – – 42 (37%) –
14 Jhohan Romaña D 7.0 94' – – 1 42 (40%) 1
20 Rodrigo Echeverría M 6.9 94' – – 1 35 (31%) 1
18 Edgar Guerra M 6.9 69' – – 2 22 (15%) 1
6 Fernando Beltrán M 6.7 57' – – – 22 (18%) –
23 Oscar García G 6.6 94' – – – 27 (23%) –
5 Sebastián Vegas D 6.6 94' – – 3 50 (41%) 2
203 Jesús Lara D 6.6 25' – – – 8 (5%) –
27 Diber Cambindo F 6.3 37' – – 1 4 (3%) 1
35 Luis Valadez M 6.3 25' – – – 5 (4%) –
4 Bryan Colula D — 4' – – – – –
CF Pachuca
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Carlos Moreno G 7.7 94' – – – 25 (24%) –
10 Elías Montiel M 7.3 94' – – – 44 (37%) 4
22 Alan Mozo D 7.2 94' – – – 32 (27%) 4
2 Sergio Barreto D 7.0 94' – – – 45 (39%) 2
7 Rodolfo Pizarro M 6.9 64' – – – 17 (14%) 1
6 Mauricio Isais D 6.9 37' – – – 9 (7%) –
11 Oussama Idrissi M 6.7 75' – – 1 27 (20%) 1
23 Salomón Rondón F 6.7 75' – – 1 8 (7%) –
26 Alan Bautista M 6.7 30' – – – 8 (8%) 2
15 Francisco Venegas D 6.5 57' – – – 46 (35%) 1
8 Alexei Domínguez F 6.5 19' – – – 3 (2%) –
187 Gael Álvarez F 6.3 37' – – – 8 (8%) –
21 Nicolás Vallejo M 6.2 57' – – 2 10 (8%) 2
9 Adrián Alcaraz M 6.2 19' – – – 1 (1%) –
4 Eduardo Bauermann D 6.0 94' – – 1 38 (32%) 1
16 Christian Rivera M 5.7 62' – – – 33 (29%) 2
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Vitória ou empate difícil do CF Pachuca
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Leon
DWLWL
CF Pachuca
DWWDD
Last 2 meetings Leon · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the Liga MX clash, León will face CF Pachuca, both teams showcasing strong attacking capabilities. León has demonstrated impressive home form, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Pachuca has maintained a solid away record, scoring 1.8 goals per match. Defensive statistics reveal that León has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, while Pachuca's defense has been slightly more porous with 1.4 goals against per match. This match could hinge on León's ability to exploit defensive lapses from Pachuca, making it a potentially high-scoring affair.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
21%
10%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
55%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Leon
D. Arcila 4 gls
D. Cambindo 3 gls
CF Pachuca
S. Rondón 10 gls

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Head to Head: Leon vs CF Pachuca

0 Leon Wins
1 Draws
1 CF Pachuca Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Jan 2026 CF Pachuca 2 - 1 Leon
23 Aug 2025 Leon 1 - 1 CF Pachuca

Leon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
21 Sep A Club Queretaro D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Atletico San Luis W 2 - 0
11 Sep A U.N.A.M. - Pumas L 3 - 1
06 Sep H Club America W 1 - 0
03 Sep A Toluca L 2 - 0

CF Pachuca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
21 Sep H Club Tijuana D 2 - 2
12 Sep A Atlante FC W 0 - 3
05 Sep A FC Juarez W 0 - 2
29 Aug H Guadalajara Chivas D 1 - 1
23 Aug A Atletico San Luis D 1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Toluca
9 6 1 2 +11 19
2
Guadalajara Chivas
9 5 3 1 +9 18
3
Club America
8 5 2 1 +9 17
4
Cruz Azul
9 5 0 4 +1 15
5
Club Queretaro
8 4 2 2 +3 14
6
Club Tijuana
8 4 2 2 +2 14
7
Leon
9 4 2 3 +2 14
8
Puebla
9 4 2 3 0 14
9
Atlas
9 4 2 3 -2 14
10
Monterrey
8 4 1 3 +4 13
11
CF Pachuca
9 3 3 3 +5 12
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Atletico San Luis
9 2 3 4 -5 9
14
Atlante FC
9 1 5 3 -5 8
15
Necaxa
9 2 2 5 -6 8
16
Tigres UANL
9 1 4 4 -4 7
17
Santos Laguna
9 2 1 6 -6 7
18
FC Juarez
9 1 0 8 -17 3

CF Pachuca

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Benjamin Mora
25 Moreno
15 Venegas
2 Barreto
4 Bauermann
22 Mozo
10 Montiel
16 Rivera
11 Idrissi
7 Pizarro
21 Vallejo
23 Rondón

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 Carlos Moreno G
22 Alan Mozo D
4 Eduardo Bauermann D
2 Sergio Barreto D
15 Francisco Venegas D
16 Christian Rivera M
10 Elías Montiel M
21 Nicolás Vallejo M
7 Rodolfo Pizarro M
11 Oussama Idrissi M
23 Salomón Rondón F

Substitutes

6 Mauricio Isais D
187 Gael Álvarez F
26 Alan Bautista M
31 Jose Eulogio G
13 Jorge Berlanga D
14 Carlos Sánchez D
8 Alexei Domínguez F
19 Illian Hernandez F
211 Cristóbal Hernández F
9 Adrián Alcaraz M

Leon

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Javier Gandolfi
23 García
5 Vegas
3 Guevara
14 Romaña
7 Moreno
29 Rodríguez
18 Guerra
6 Beltrán
20 Echeverría
16 Cortizo
13 Arcila

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Oscar García G
7 Iván Moreno D
14 Jhohan Romaña D
3 Juan Guevara D
5 Sebastián Vegas D
29 José Rodríguez M
16 Jordi Cortizo M
20 Rodrigo Echeverría M
6 Fernando Beltrán M
18 Edgar Guerra M
13 Daniel Arcila F

Substitutes

27 Diber Cambindo F
4 Bryan Colula D
25 Paul Bellón D
185 Christopher Mora D
22 Sebastián Santos M
35 Luis Valadez M
203 Jesús Lara D
247 Isaac Espinosa M
181 Irving Martinez G
197 Gael Camarena M

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