Gnistan vs KuPS Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

KuPS

Away

Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki

AI call KuPS or draw

30%

27%

43%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Gnistan vs KuPS prediction: Sportiko gives Gnistan a 30% chance of winning, KuPS 43% and the draw 27%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 17:56.

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Home to Score 71%
Under 3.5 Goals 71%
1st Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 2'

S. Savolainen assist: S. Heiskanen

A. Akinyemi Yellow Card

5' ▮

HT 0–1

J. Latonen ⇄ A. Atarah

57' ⇄

O. Hannula ⇄ R. Eremenko

57' ⇄

▮ 60'

B. Armah Yellow Card

63' ⇄

⇄ 69'

C. Antwi ⇄ N. Kujasalo

⇄ 69'

P. Parzyszek

▮ 73'

Yellow Card

⇄ 78'

B. Armah

⇄ 78'

S. Heiskanen ⇄ T. Hämäläinen

⇄ D. Pérez

82' ⇄

⇄ 84'

⇄ A. Heinonen

FT 0–1

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean

KuPS or draw

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Gnistan

LDLLL

KuPS

DLDDL

Last 2 meetings Gnistan · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, Gnistan will face KuPS at their home ground. Gnistan has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, while KuPS has a strong away record, scoring 2.1 goals per match. KuPS’s offensive prowess, led by their top scorer, will be crucial in capitalizing on any defensive lapses from Gnistan. The match could be pivotal for both teams' league standings, with KuPS aiming to maintain their top position. Expect a competitive encounter, with KuPS likely to leverage their attacking strength against Gnistan’s leaky defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

43%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Gnistan

A. Akinyemi 5 gls

KuPS

J. Moreno 7 gls

B. Armah 4 gls

P. Pennanen 3 gls

J. Luyeye-Lutumba 3 gls

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Head to Head: Gnistan vs KuPS

0 Gnistan Wins

2 Draws

0 KuPS Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Oct 2026	KuPS	1 - 1	Gnistan
08 Sep 2026	Gnistan	1 - 1	KuPS

Gnistan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Nov	A Inter Turku	L	4 - 3
29 Oct	A KuPS	D	1 - 1
24 Oct	H AC Oulu	L	3 - 4
17 Oct	A HJK Helsinki	L	4 - 0
12 Oct	A VPS	L	1 - 0

KuPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Nov	H Gent	D	0 - 0
01 Nov	A AC Oulu	L	2 - 0
29 Oct	H Gnistan	D	1 - 1
25 Oct	A HJK Helsinki	D	2 - 2
22 Oct	A Borac Banja Luka	L	2 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	HJK Helsinki	31	17	7	7	63	36	+27	58
2	Inter Turku	31	16	10	5	41	27	+14	58
3	KuPS	31	14	11	6	46	31	+15	53
4	AC Oulu	31	14	5	12	38	37	+1	47
5	Gnistan	31	11	10	10	47	46	+1	43
6	VPS	31	11	7	13	31	38	-7	40

Relegration Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	27	11	6	10	35	26	+9	39
2	Ilves	27	11	5	11	45	39	+6	38
3	Turku PS	27	8	8	11	29	33	-4	32
4	SJK	27	6	9	12	29	37	-8	27
5	FF Jaro	27	4	9	14	22	49	-27	21
6	Mariehamn	27	4	7	16	22	49	-27	19

KuPS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Miika Nuutinen

12 Riihimäki

25 Antwi

28 Magassa

23 Lötjönen

6 Savolainen

16 Jyry

10 Gasc

24 Armah

21 Luyeye-Lutumba

3 Heiskanen

20 Parzyszek

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Hemmo Riihimäki	G
6	Saku Savolainen	D
23	Arttu Lötjönen	D
28	Brahima Magassa	D
25	Clinton Antwi	D
10	Valentín Gasc	M
16	Tommi Jyry	M
3	Saku Heiskanen	M
21	Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba	M
24	Bob Nii Armah	D
20	Piotr Parzyszek	F

Substitutes

13	Niilo Kujasalo	M
11	Jaime Moreno	F
37	Kasperi Silen	G
33	Taneli Hämäläinen	D
29	Akseli Puukko	D
30	Jorginho	D
17	Arttu Heinonen	M
22	Saikou Touray	M
19	Calvin Kabuye	F

Gnistan

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Jussi Leppalahti

13 Lyberopoulos

4 Costa

67 Obileye

24 Gnanou

12 Arko-Mensah

15 Europaeus

31 Jouhi

27 Hannula

23 Ylätupa

17 Akinyemi

10 Latonen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Oskar Lyberopoulos	G
24	Rachide Gnanou	D
67	Ayo Obileye	D
4	Marcelo Costa	D
27	Otto Hannula	M
31	Adam Jouhi	M
15	Gabriel Europaeus	M
12	Edmund Arko-Mensah	D
10	Joakim Latonen	F
17	Adeleke Akinyemi	F
23	Saku Ylätupa	M

Substitutes

26	Roman Eremenko	F
7	Artur Atarah	F
2	Benjamin Dahlström	D
32	Niklas Lindström	G
95	Matej Juricka	G
40	Juhani Ojala	D
14	Sergei Eremenko	M
11	Danny Pérez	F