Gnistan vs KuPS Previsione

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 18

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KuPS

Away

Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki

Previsione AI KuPS o pareggio

30%

27%

43%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Gnistan vs KuPS: Sportiko assegna a Gnistan una probabilità di vittoria del 30%, a KuPS del 43% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 1 Aug 2026, 17:56.

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Casa a Segno 71%
Under 3.5 Gol 71%
1st Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 2'

S. Savolainen assist: S. Heiskanen

A. Akinyemi Yellow Card

5' ▮

HT 0–1

J. Latonen ⇄ A. Atarah

57' ⇄

O. Hannula ⇄ R. Eremenko

57' ⇄

▮ 60'

B. Armah Yellow Card

63' ⇄

⇄ 69'

C. Antwi ⇄ N. Kujasalo

⇄ 69'

P. Parzyszek

▮ 73'

Yellow Card

⇄ 78'

B. Armah

⇄ 78'

S. Heiskanen ⇄ T. Hämäläinen

⇄ D. Pérez

82' ⇄

⇄ 84'

⇄ A. Heinonen

FT 0–1

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

KuPS o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Gnistan

DWDDW

KuPS

WDDLW

Last 1 meetings Gnistan · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, Gnistan will face KuPS at their home ground. Gnistan has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, while KuPS has a strong away record, scoring 2.1 goals per match. KuPS’s offensive prowess, led by their top scorer, will be crucial in capitalizing on any defensive lapses from Gnistan. The match could be pivotal for both teams' league standings, with KuPS aiming to maintain their top position. Expect a competitive encounter, with KuPS likely to leverage their attacking strength against Gnistan’s leaky defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

43%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

KuPS goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	8	7	4	1
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Gnistan goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

Gnistan

A. Akinyemi 3 gls

KuPS

J. Moreno 5 gls

J. Luyeye-Lutumba 3 gls

B. Armah 3 gls

P. Pennanen 2 gls

G. Engvall 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

30%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

30%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Away (No Draw) 41% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 29% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	8.1%	7.4%	3.7%	1.4%
1	6.3%	13.6%	9.1%	4.6%	1.8%
2	4.9%	7.4%	5.7%	2.9%	1.1%
3	2.0%	3.1%	2.3%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gnistan	Draw	KuPS
Gnistan	17.2%	4.4%	2.3%
Draw	11.3%	17.3%	14.9%
KuPS	1.9%	4.6%	26.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gnistan vs KuPS

0 Gnistan Wins

1 Draws

0 KuPS Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Sep 2026	Gnistan	1 - 1	KuPS

Gnistan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A AC Oulu	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H KuPS	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	H Turku PS	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A HJK Helsinki	W	2 - 3

KuPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VPS	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	0 - 0
08 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
27 Aug	H Shamrock Rovers	W	1 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

KuPS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Miika Nuutinen

12 Riihimäki

25 Antwi

28 Magassa

23 Lötjönen

6 Savolainen

16 Jyry

10 Gasc

24 Armah

21 Luyeye-Lutumba

3 Heiskanen

20 Parzyszek

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Hemmo Riihimäki	G
6	Saku Savolainen	D
23	Arttu Lötjönen	D
28	Brahima Magassa	D
25	Clinton Antwi	D
10	Valentín Gasc	M
16	Tommi Jyry	M
3	Saku Heiskanen	M
21	Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba	M
24	Bob Nii Armah	D
20	Piotr Parzyszek	F

Substitutes

13	Niilo Kujasalo	M
11	Jaime Moreno	F
37	Kasperi Silen	G
33	Taneli Hämäläinen	D
29	Akseli Puukko	D
30	Jorginho	D
17	Arttu Heinonen	M
22	Saikou Touray	M
19	Calvin Kabuye	F

Gnistan

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Jussi Leppalahti

13 Lyberopoulos

4 Costa

67 Obileye

24 Gnanou

12 Arko-Mensah

15 Europaeus

31 Jouhi

27 Hannula

23 Ylätupa

17 Akinyemi

10 Latonen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Oskar Lyberopoulos	G
24	Rachide Gnanou	D
67	Ayo Obileye	D
4	Marcelo Costa	D
27	Otto Hannula	M
31	Adam Jouhi	M
15	Gabriel Europaeus	M
12	Edmund Arko-Mensah	D
10	Joakim Latonen	F
17	Adeleke Akinyemi	F
23	Saku Ylätupa	M

Substitutes

26	Roman Eremenko	F
7	Artur Atarah	F
2	Benjamin Dahlström	D
32	Niklas Lindström	G
95	Matej Juricka	G
40	Juhani Ojala	D
14	Sergei Eremenko	M
11	Danny Pérez	F