Lecce vs Monza Tahmin

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 4
FT
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Yapay zeka tahmini Lecce veya beraberlik
36%
31%
33%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Lecce - Monza tahmini: Sportiko, Lecce takımına %36 kazanma olasılığı, Monza takımına %33 ve beraberliğe %31 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 13 Sep 2026, 15:01.

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  • Ev Sahibi Gol Atar 70%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 70%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 70%
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Match Report

Lecce claimed a dramatic 3-2 home victory over Monza in a breathless first half that effectively decided the contest. Lassana Coulibaly opened the scoring inside three minutes, but Tiago Gabriel levelled for Monza on ten minutes. Ricardo Mangas then put the visitors ahead before Coulibaly struck again in the 21st minute to restore parity, and a frantic opening period concluded with Lecce leading 3-1 at the break, though the manner in which that third goal arrived is not specified in the record.

Despite Monza dominating possession at 61% and generating an expected goals figure of 2.74 against Lecce's 1.08, the home side's clinical finishing proved the difference. Monza mustered ten shots on goal to Lecce's three, underlining how the visitors created the better opportunities without converting them sufficiently. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lecce win as the most likely outcome at 36%, a call that proved correct.

Exequiel Zeballos pulled one back for Monza in the 89th minute to set up a tense finish, but Lecce held on to secure all three points despite the late pressure.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Lassana Coulibaly assist: Ivan Ilić
3' ⚽ 1–0
Tiago Gabriel assist: Ivan Ilić
10' ⚽ 2–0
⚽ 2–1 20'
Ricardo Mangas assist: Samuele Birindelli
Lassana Coulibaly assist: Danilo Veiga
21' ⚽ 3–1
Konan N'Dri Yellow Card
38' ▮
HT 3–1
⇄ 46'
Ricardo Mangas ⇄ Adam Bakoune
Konan N'Dri ⇄ Santiago Pierotti
46' ⇄
⇄ 64'
Jay Robinson ⇄ Patrick Cutrone
⇄ 64'
Andrea Colpani ⇄ Exequiel Zeballos
Ivan Ilić ⇄ Oumar Ngom
66' ⇄
Joël Monteiro ⇄ Amar Fatah
74' ⇄
Nikola Štulić ⇄ Paco Esteban
74' ⇄
⇄ 75'
Gustavo Varela ⇄ Omari Forson
⇄ 84'
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro ⇄ Mathis Mout
Youssef Maleh ⇄ Mohamed Kaba
85' ⇄
⚽ 3–2 89'
Exequiel Zeballos
Danilo Veiga Yellow Card
90' ▮
FT 3–2
Lecce

Match Stats

Monza
39% Ball Possession 61%
1.08 Expected Goals (xG) 2.74
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 10
3 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 13
1 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Corner Kicks 4
0 Offsides 3
14 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
Red Cards
7 Goalkeeper Saves 0
315 Total passes 486
232 Passes accurate 401
74% Passes % 83%
-1.34 goals_prevented -1.34
Lecce
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
29 Lassana Coulibaly M 8.9 92' 2 – 3 30 (25%) 4
17 Danilo Veiga D 7.7 92' – 1 – 22 (18%) 6
20 Ivan Ilić M 7.7 66' – 2 – 38 (32%) 1
30 Wladimiro Falcone G 7.6 92' – – – 39 (18%) –
44 Tiago Gabriel D 7.6 92' 1 – 1 30 (27%) 4
25 Antonino Gallo D 7.3 92' – – – 35 (21%) 3
79 Oumar Ngom M 7.0 26' – – – 9 (7%) 1
99 Joël Monteiro F 6.9 74' – – – 18 (14%) 3
22 Paco Esteban F 6.9 18' – – – 3 (2%) 2
7 Amar Fatah F 6.5 18' – – 1 5 (4%) –
14 Youssef Maleh M 6.3 85' – – 1 30 (25%) 1
5 Jamil Siebert D 6.3 92' – – – 29 (21%) 2
50 Santiago Pierotti F 6.3 47' – – – 8 (7%) 3
11 Konan N'Dri F 6.2 45' – – – 7 (3%) 3
9 Nikola Štulić F 6.2 74' – – – 12 (8%) –
77 Mohamed Kaba M — 7' – – – – –
Monza
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Ricardo Mangas M 7.3 45' 1 – 1 15 (12%) 1
22 Exequiel Zeballos F 7.3 28' 1 – 1 12 (9%) 1
19 Samuele Birindelli M 7.2 92' – 1 1 30 (26%) 1
90 Michael Folorunsho M 6.9 92' – – – 67 (53%) 3
9 Gustavo Varela F 6.9 75' – – 2 12 (9%) –
44 Andrea Carboni D 6.9 92' – – – 80 (69%) 2
46 Jay Robinson F 6.7 64' – – 3 15 (11%) 1
80 Mathis Mout M 6.6 8' – – – 9 (8%) 1
3 Lorenzo Lucchesi D 6.6 92' – – 1 64 (61%) 3
10 Patrick Cutrone F 6.5 28' – – 2 8 (4%) 1
28 Andrea Colpani F 6.5 64' – – 3 15 (13%) –
14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M 6.3 84' – – – 59 (54%) 1
11 Omari Forson F 6.3 17' – – – 3 (3%) –
24 Adam Bakoune D 6.3 47' – – 1 18 (10%) –
60 Eddy Kouadio D 6.2 92' – – – 55 (44%) 7
20 Demba Thiam G 5.6 92' – – – 24 (15%) –
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Lecce vs Monza maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

  • 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
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  • Seçtiğiniz tahmin türleri
Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
Lecce veya beraberlik
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Lecce
LWLLW
Monza
WLDWL
Last 3 meetings Lecce · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Lecce will face Monza in a Serie A clash, both teams looking to solidify their positions in the league. Lecce has shown solid defensive organization, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Monza's attack has been inconsistent, averaging 1 goal per match. Key players to watch include Lecce's top scorer, who has netted 5 goals thus far, and Monza's playmaker, who leads the team in assists. The match could hinge on Lecce's ability to maintain defensive solidity against Monza's attacking threats.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
36%
45%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
33%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lecce
L. Coulibaly 2 gls
Monza
Gustavo Varela 4 gls

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Head to Head: Lecce vs Monza

1 Lecce Wins
2 Draws
0 Monza Wins
Date Home Score Away
16 Feb 2025 Monza 0 - 0 Lecce
15 Dec 2024 Lecce 2 - 1 Monza
27 Apr 2024 Lecce 1 - 1 Monza
Tüm 6 karşılaşmayı gör — Premium

Lecce — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A AC Milan L 3 - 0
13 Sep H Monza W 3 - 2
07 Sep A Cagliari L 1 - 0
31 Aug H AS Roma L 0 - 4
23 Aug A Venezia W 0 - 2

Monza — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Sassuolo W 2 - 1
13 Sep A Lecce L 3 - 2
06 Sep A Parma D 1 - 1
01 Sep A Torino W 0 - 1
29 Aug H Udinese L 2 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Lecce

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
30 Falcone
25 Gallo
44 Gabriel
5 Siebert
17 Veiga
14 Maleh
20 Ilić
29 Coulibaly
99 Monteiro
9 Štulić
11 Konan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 Wladimiro Falcone G
17 Danilo Veiga D
5 Jamil Siebert D
44 Tiago Gabriel D
25 Antonino Gallo D
29 Lassana Coulibaly M
20 Ivan Ilić M
14 Youssef Maleh M
11 N'Dri Konan F
9 Nikola Štulić F
99 Joël Monteiro F

Substitutes

50 Santiago Pierotti F
79 Oumar Ngom M
32 Alexandru Borbei G
1 Marco Bleve G
4 Kialonda Gaspar D
3 Corrie Ndaba D
18 Gaby Jean D
2 Ali Dembélé D
31 Elijah Scott D
77 Mohamed Kaba M
8 Sadik Fofana M
28 Olaf Gorter M
7 Amar Fatah F
22 Paco Esteban F

Monza

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Ivan Juric
20 Thiam
44 Carboni
3 Lucchesi
60 Kouadio
7 Mangas
14 Akinsanmiro
90 Folorunsho
19 Birindelli
46 Robinson
28 Colpani
9 Varela

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 Demba Thiam G
60 Eddy Kouadio D
3 Lorenzo Lucchesi D
44 Andrea Carboni D
19 Samuele Birindelli M
90 Michael Folorunsho M
14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M
7 Ricardo Mangas M
28 Andrea Colpani F
46 Jay Robinson F
9 Gustavo Varela F

Substitutes

24 Adam Bakoune D
22 Exequiel Zeballos F
10 Patrick Cutrone F
1 Noel Törnqvist G
43 Aljaz Strajnar G
5 Yvan Maye D
2 Saba Goglichidze D
6 Valentin Antov D
8 Manga Foe Ondoa M
21 Leonardo Colombo M
80 Mathis Mout M
11 Omari Forson F
47 Dany Mota F

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