Uruguay vs Spain Tahmin

World Cup · Group Stage - 3

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Spain

Away

Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

Yapay zeka tahmini Spain kazanır veya berabere kalır

24%

67%

Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Uruguay - Spain tahmini: Sportiko, Uruguay takımına %9 kazanma olasılığı, Spain takımına %67 ve beraberliğe %24 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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3.5 Altı Gol 79%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Spain secured a 1-0 victory over Uruguay in their World Cup group stage finale, with Alex Baena's goal just before half-time proving the decisive moment. The Spanish midfielder struck in the 42nd minute to give his side the lead they would carry through to the final whistle, though he was immediately booked at the start of the second half, eventually being withdrawn in the 66th minute.

Uruguay struggled to assert themselves despite a lively second half that saw a flurry of yellow cards distributed to Juan Sanabria, Guillermo Varela, and Nicolás de la Cruz, while Agustín Canobbio was dismissed in stoppage time. The South Americans made several changes in search of an equaliser, including the early loss of goalkeeper Fernando Muslera to substitution at half-time, but could not convert their limited opportunities.

Spain's dominance was reflected in the statistics — 67% possession and six corner kicks to Uruguay's one — though both sides managed only a single shot on target. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Spain win as the most likely outcome at 67%, a call that proved accurate. Spain advance with the three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 42'

Alex Baena assist: Marcos Llorente

Manuel Ugarte ⇄ Nicolás de la Cruz

45' ⇄

HT 0–1

▮ 46'

Alex Baena Yellow Card

Fernando Muslera ⇄ Sergio Rochet

46' ⇄

Juan Sanabria Yellow Card

54' ▮

Federico Valverde ⇄ Federico Viñas

57' ⇄

Guillermo Varela Yellow Card

58' ▮

⇄ 60'

Pedri ⇄ Fabián Ruiz

⇄ 60'

Mikel Merino ⇄ Dani Olmo

⇄ 66'

Alex Baena ⇄ Yéremy Pino

Juan Sanabria ⇄ Brian Rodríguez

70' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Lamine Yamal ⇄ Nico Williams

⇄ 76'

Mikel Oyarzabal ⇄ Ferran Torres

Nicolás de la Cruz Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

Agustín Canobbio Red Card

90+5' ▮

FT 0–1

Uruguay

Match Stats

Spain

33% Ball Possession 67%

0.20 Expected Goals (xG) 0.86

5 Total Shots 6

1 Shots on Goal 1

3 Shots off Goal 4

1 Blocked Shots 1

2 Shots insidebox 5

3 Shots outsidebox 1

1 Corner Kicks 6

5 Offsides 2

14 Fouls 14

3 Yellow Cards 1

1 Red Cards 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

298 Total passes 622

227 Passes accurate 552

76% Passes % 89%

0.10 goals_prevented 0.10

Uruguay

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Mathías Olivera D	7.5	95'	–	–	–	46 (38%)	6
6 Rodrigo Bentancur M	6.9	95'	–	–	1	42 (35%)	3
20 Maximiliano Araújo M	6.9	95'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	–
25 Juan Sanabria D	6.9	70'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	7
7 Nicolás de la Cruz M	6.9	50'	–	–	1	18 (14%)	1
8 Federico Valverde M	6.7	57'	–	–	–	15 (10%)	2
5 Manuel Ugarte M	6.6	45'	–	–	–	15 (10%)	3
18 Brian Rodríguez F	6.5	25'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	–
13 Guillermo Varela D	6.3	95'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	–
21 Federico Viñas F	6.3	38'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	2
1 Sergio Rochet G	6.3	50'	–	–	–	17 (8%)	–
9 Darwin Núñez F	6.3	95'	–	–	1	19 (12%)	–
3 Sebastián Cáceres D	6.2	95'	–	–	–	36 (32%)	–
14 Agustín Canobbio M	6.2	95'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
23 Fernando Muslera G	5.7	45'	–	–	–	13 (7%)	–

Spain

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Unai Simón G	7.3	95'	–	–	–	35 (30%)	–
14 Aymeric Laporte D	7.3	95'	–	–	–	101 (93%)	–
5 Marcos Llorente D	7.2	95'	–	1	–	50 (47%)	4
22 Pau Cubarsí D	7.2	95'	–	–	1	87 (85%)	–
15 Alex Baena M	7.2	66'	1	–	1	24 (18%)	2
20 Pedri M	7.0	60'	–	–	–	49 (43%)	3
10 Dani Olmo M	6.9	35'	–	–	1	17 (14%)	–
24 Marc Cucurella D	6.6	95'	–	–	–	42 (36%)	1
8 Fabián Ruiz M	6.6	35'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	–
16 Rodri M	6.6	95'	–	–	–	106 (100%)	5
7 Ferran Torres F	6.6	19'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	–
17 Nico Williams F	6.6	19'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	–
6 Mikel Merino M	6.5	60'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	1
19 Lamine Yamal M	6.5	76'	–	–	–	27 (19%)	1
11 Yéremy Pino M	6.2	29'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
21 Mikel Oyarzabal F	6.0	76'	–	–	1	20 (15%)	–

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Uruguay vs Spain maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz

Spain kazanır veya berabere kalır

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.1%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Uruguay

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Spain

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Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup clash on June 27, 2026, Uruguay will host Spain in what promises to be a tactical battle. Uruguay, known for their robust defense and counter-attacking style, will rely on their experienced forwards, including Luis Suárez and Edinson Cavani, to exploit any gaps in Spain's backline. Spain's possession-based approach, led by their midfield maestros, aims to control the game and create scoring opportunities through quick passing and movement. Historically, both teams have shown strong performances in World Cups, with Spain winning in 2010 and Uruguay in 1930 and 1950. The match will likely hinge on Uruguay's ability to withstand Spain's attacking prowess while capitalizing on set pieces and counterattacks. Expect a closely contested encounter that could be decided by a moment of brilliance or a defensive error.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

67%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Spain goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	16	16	10	4	2
1	4	11	9	5	2	1
2	1	3	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Uruguay goals · most likely 0–1 (16.1%)

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Players in form

Uruguay

No scorer data.

Spain

Mikel Oyarzabal 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

24%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

24%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

88% Away (No Draw) 12% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	16.1%	15.8%	9.7%	4.4%
1	3.9%	10.6%	8.6%	5.2%	2.4%
2	1.4%	2.5%	2.3%	1.4%	0.6%
3	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Uruguay	Draw	Spain
Uruguay	4.9%	2.7%	1.9%
Draw	4.3%	16.5%	22.8%
Spain	0.5%	2.7%	43.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

58%

31%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Uruguay vs Spain

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Uruguay — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Jun	H Spain	L	0 - 1
21 Jun	H Cape Verde Islands	D	2 - 2
15 Jun	A Saudi Arabia	D	1 - 1
13 Jul	A Canada	D	2 - 2
10 Jul	H Colombia	L	0 - 1

Spain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Jul	H Argentina	W	1 - 0
14 Jul	A France	W	0 - 2
10 Jul	H Belgium	W	2 - 1
06 Jul	A Portugal	W	0 - 1
02 Jul	H Austria	W	3 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Spain

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Luis de la Fuente

23 Simón

24 Cucurella

14 Laporte

22 Cubarsí

5 Llorente

16 Rodri

20 Pedri

15 Baena

6 Merino

19 Yamal

21 Oyarzabal

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Unai Simón	G
5	Marcos Llorente	D
22	Pau Cubarsí	D
14	Aymeric Laporte	D
24	Marc Cucurella	D
20	Pedri	M
16	Rodri	M
19	Lamine Yamal	M
6	Mikel Merino	M
15	Alex Baena	M
21	Mikel Oyarzabal	F

Substitutes

8	Fabián Ruiz	M
10	Dani Olmo	M
13	Joan García	G
1	David Raya	G
2	Marc Pubill	D
4	Eric García	D
12	Pedro Porro	D
9	Pablo Gavi	M
18	Martín Zubimendi	M
17	Nico Williams	F
3	Alejandro Grimaldo	D
26	Borja Iglesias	F
7	Ferran Torres	F
11	Yéremy Pino	M
25	Víctor Muñoz	F

Uruguay

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Marcelo Bielsa

23 Muslera

25 Sanabria

16 Olivera

3 Cáceres

13 Varela

5 Ugarte

20 Araújo

8 Valverde

6 Bentancur

14 Canobbio

9 Núñez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Fernando Muslera	G
13	Guillermo Varela	D
3	Sebastián Cáceres	D
16	Mathías Olivera	D
25	Juan Sanabria	D
5	Manuel Ugarte	M
14	Agustín Canobbio	M
6	Rodrigo Bentancur	M
8	Federico Valverde	M
20	Maximiliano Araújo	M
9	Darwin Núñez	F

Substitutes

7	Nicolás de la Cruz	M
1	Sergio Rochet	G
21	Federico Viñas	F
12	Santiago Mele	G
17	Matías Viña	D
24	Santiago Bueno	D
2	José María Giménez	D
4	Ronald Araújo	D
22	Joaquín Piquerez	D
18	Brian Rodríguez	F
15	Emiliano Martínez	M
10	Giorgian de Arrascaeta	M
11	Facundo Pellistri	M
19	Rodrigo Aguirre	F
26	Rodrigo Zalazar	M