Lazio vs Pisa Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

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Pisa

Away

AI poziv Lazio pobeđuje

70%

23%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Lazio vs Pisa prediction: Sportiko gives Lazio a 70% chance of winning, Pisa 7% and the draw 23%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Lazio secured a 2–1 victory over Pisa in their final Serie A fixture of the regular season, with all three goals arriving in a frantic first-half spell. Pisa drew first blood through Stefano Moreo on 23 minutes, but Lazio responded swiftly with Fisayo Dele-Bashiru levelling on 33 minutes before Pedro put the hosts ahead just two minutes later. The pre-match AI model had rated a Lazio win as most likely at 70%, a call that proved correct.

The second half was largely uneventful in terms of goals, with both managers turning to their benches heavily from the 61st minute onwards. Lazio held firm despite Pisa enjoying marginally more possession at 51%, and the visitors managed only two shots on target across the entire match compared to Lazio's nine.

Mario Gila Fuentes picked up an early yellow card and was substituted at half-time, while Tijjani Noslin and Gabriele Piccinini also entered the referee's book. Lazio's superior efficiency in front of goal ultimately proved the decisive factor in a lively but controlled home performance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Mario Gila Fuentes Yellow Card

10' ▮

⚽ 0–1 23'

Stefano Moreo assist: Michel Aebischer

Tijjani Noslin Yellow Card

29' ▮

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru assist: Reda Belahyane

33' ⚽ 1–1

Pedro assist: Tijjani Noslin

35' ⚽ 2–1

HT 2–1

Mario Gila Fuentes ⇄ Oliver Provstgaard

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Ebenezer Akinsanmiro ⇄ Malthe Højholt

Pedro ⇄ Boulaye Dia

61' ⇄

⇄ 61'

Michel Aebischer ⇄ Felipe Loyola

⇄ 62'

Filip Stojilković ⇄ Gabriele Piccinini

Matteo Cancellieri ⇄ Daniel Maldini

71' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Mehdi Léris ⇄ Juan Cuadrado

▮ 72'

Gabriele Piccinini Yellow Card

⇄ 77'

Arturo Calabresi ⇄ Brando Bettazzi

Luca Pellegrini ⇄ Manuel Lazzari

82' ⇄

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru ⇄ Adrian Przyborek

82' ⇄

FT 2–1

Lazio

Match Stats

Pisa

49% Ball Possession 51%

1.11 Expected Goals (xG) 1.56

15 Total Shots 8

9 Shots on Goal 2

5 Shots off Goal 4

1 Blocked Shots 2

8 Shots insidebox 8

7 Shots outsidebox 0

5 Corner Kicks 1

2 Offsides 0

9 Fouls 8

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 7

536 Total passes 552

474 Passes accurate 488

88% Passes % 88%

1.06 goals_prevented 1.06

Lazio

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M	7.9	82'	1	–	1	42 (39%)	1
9 Pedro F	7.9	61'	1	–	2	37 (33%)	1
22 Matteo Cancellieri F	7.3	71'	–	–	1	24 (20%)	3
21 Reda Belahyane M	7.0	90'	–	1	2	43 (38%)	3
13 Alessio Romagnoli D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	59 (56%)	–
25 Oliver Provstgaard D	6.9	45'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	–
27 Daniel Maldini F	6.9	19'	–	–	1	7 (6%)	1
26 Toma Bašić M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	72 (62%)	1
14 Tijjani Noslin F	6.7	90'	–	1	2	22 (19%)	–
28 Adrian Przyborek M	6.7	8'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	–
3 Luca Pellegrini D	6.7	82'	–	–	1	56 (48%)	–
55 Alessio Furlanetto G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	–
19 Boulaye Dia F	6.5	29'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
77 Adam Marušić D	6.3	90'	–	–	2	64 (59%)	–
29 Manuel Lazzari M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
34 Mario Gila Fuentes D	6.2	45'	–	–	–	34 (30%)	–

Pisa

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Adrian Šemper G	8.3	90'	–	–	–	36 (29%)	–
32 Stefano Moreo F	7.5	90'	1	–	2	26 (18%)	–
3 Samuele Angori M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	49 (45%)	–
11 Juan Cuadrado M	7.2	19'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	2
20 Michel Aebischer M	7.0	61'	–	1	–	39 (37%)	1
7 Mehdi Léris M	7.0	71'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	3
5 Simone Canestrelli D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	83 (80%)	1
8 Malthe Højholt M	6.9	45'	–	–	–	34 (31%)	2
35 Felipe Loyola D	6.7	29'	–	–	–	27 (26%)	–
42 Brando Bettazzi M	6.6	13'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	1
81 Filip Stojilković F	6.5	62'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M	6.5	45'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	–
33 Arturo Calabresi D	6.3	77'	–	–	–	44 (38%)	2
36 Gabriele Piccinini M	6.3	28'	–	–	1	8 (6%)	1
2 Rosen Bozhinov D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	85 (77%)	1
21 Isak Vural M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	35 (30%)	1

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

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Lazio pobeđuje

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Lazio

WWWWL

Pisa

LLLLL

Last 1 meetings Lazio · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Lazio hosts Pisa at the Stadio Olimpico. Lazio has been strong at home, boasting a solid win percentage of around 70% in their last 10 league matches, with a potent attack averaging 2.1 goals per game. Pisa, on the other hand, struggles away, indicating a win rate of just 25% and a defense that concedes 1.8 goals per match on the road. With Lazio fighting for European qualification and Pisa battling relegation, motivation will be high, but Lazio's form and depth give them the upper hand in this encounter. Expect Lazio to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Pisa goals →

	0	1	2
0	14	5	1
1	23	7	1
2	19	6	1
3	10	3	1
4	4	1
5	1

↑ Lazio goals · most likely 1–0 (23.3%)

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Head to Head: Lazio vs Pisa

0 Lazio Wins

1 Draws

0 Pisa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Oct 2025	Pisa	0 - 0	Lazio

Lazio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	H Ostia Mare	W	4 - 0
02 Aug	A Ascoli	W	1 - 2
01 Aug	H Avellino	W	6 - 3
23 May	H Pisa	W	2 - 1
17 May	A AS Roma	L	2 - 0

Pisa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 May	A Lazio	L	2 - 1
17 May	H Napoli	L	0 - 3
10 May	A Cremonese	L	3 - 0
01 May	H Lecce	L	1 - 2
25 Apr	A Parma	L	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lazio

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Maurizio Sarri

55 Furlanetto

3 Pellegrini

13 Romagnoli

34 Gila

77 Marusic

21 Belahyane

26 Basic

7 Dele-Bashiru

9 Pedro

14 Noslin

22 Cancellieri

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
55	A. Furlanetto	G
77	A. Marusic	D
34	M. Gila	D
13	A. Romagnoli	D
3	L. Pellegrini	D
7	F. Dele-Bashiru	M
26	T. Basic	M
21	R. Belahyane	M
22	M. Cancellieri	F
14	T. Noslin	F
9	Pedro	F

Substitutes

99	G. Giacomone	G
72	N. Pannozzo	G
23	E. Hysaj	D
29	M. Lazzari	M
4	Patric	D
2	S. Gigot	D
18	G. Isaksen	F
19	B. Dia	F
27	D. Maldini	F
25	O. Provstgaard	D
20	P. Ratkov	F
28	A. Przyborek	M
71	V. Farcomeni	M

Pisa

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Oscar Hiljemark

1 Semper

2 Bozhinov

5 Canestrelli

33 Calabresi

3 Angori

21 Vural

14 Akinsanmiro

20 Aebischer

7 Leris

81 Stojilkovic

32 Moreo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Semper	G
33	A. Calabresi	D
5	S. Canestrelli	D
2	R. Bozhinov	D
7	M. Leris	M
20	M. Aebischer	M
14	E. Akinsanmiro	M
21	I. Vural	M
3	S. Angori	M
32	S. Moreo	F
81	F. Stojilkovic	F

Substitutes

12	Nicolas Andrade	G
22	S. Scuffet	G
39	R. Albiol	D
11	J. Cuadrado	M
15	I. Toure	M
8	M. Hojholt	M
19	S. Iling Junior	F
9	H. Meister	F
42	B. Bettazzi	M
23	C. Stengs	M
36	G. Piccinini	M
35	F. Loyola	D
17	R. Durosinmi	F