Lorient vs Toulouse Predviđanje

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
AI poziv Lorient ili nerešeno
39%
29%
32%
Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Lorient vs Toulouse: Sportiko procenjuje da Lorient ima 39% šanse za pobedu, Toulouse 32%, a nerešeno 29%. Poslednje ažuriranje 12 Sep 2026, 20:38.

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  • Domaćin daje gol 75%
  • Više od 1.5 golova 76%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
  • Gosti daju gol 72%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 73%
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Match Report

Lorient looked to be cruising at the Stade du Moustoir after a dominant first half, with Ibrahima Baldé and Noah Mbamba putting the hosts two goals to the good in the space of two minutes late in the first period. Lorient controlled possession throughout, finishing with 60% of the ball and 13 total shots, and appeared well on course for a comfortable home victory.

Toulouse, however, showed considerable resilience after the break. Casper Tengstedt pulled one back almost immediately after the restart in the 48th minute, and Thomas Jørgensen levelled matters on 68 minutes to complete a remarkable turnaround. The visitors' recovery was aided by a flurry of substitutions from both sides in the second half, which disrupted Lorient's rhythm at a critical stage.

The final scoreline of 2–2 denied Lorient all three points despite their statistical superiority on the night. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Lorient win as the most probable outcome at 39%, and while the hosts did lead for long stretches, they were ultimately unable to hold on for the victory.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Panos Katseris Yellow Card
17' ▮
Ibrahima Baldé assist: Panos Katseris
37' ⚽ 1–0
Noah Mbamba assist: Panos Katseris
39' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 45'
Rafik Messali ⇄ Niko Sigur
⇄ 45'
Santiago Hidalgo ⇄ Casper Tengstedt
HT 2–0
⚽ 2–1 48'
Casper Tengstedt assist: Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Panos Katseris ⇄ Théo Le Bris
58' ⇄
Gabin Bernardeau ⇄ Isak Steiner Jensen
58' ⇄
⇄ 67'
Ilyas Azizi ⇄ Sion Oppong
⚽ 2–2 68'
Thomas Jørgensen assist: Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Ibrahima Baldé ⇄ Mamadou Koné
69' ⇄
Noah Mbamba ⇄ Arthur Avom Ebong
69' ⇄
⇄ 84'
Niklas Schmidt ⇄ Alexis Vossah
⇄ 84'
Christ Tapé ⇄ Ismail Diallo
FT 2–2
Lorient

Match Stats

Toulouse
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 13
3 Shots outsidebox 0
4 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
443 Total passes 653
370 Passes accurate 578
18 Free Kicks 8
Lorient
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
72 Noah Mbamba M 7.9 69' 1 – 1 28 (27%) 2
18 Ibrahima Baldé F 7.8 69' 1 – 1 13 (9%) –
77 Panos Katseris M 7.1 58' – 2 – 18 (14%) 2
3 Montassar Talbi D 6.8 90' – – 2 40 (38%) 1
43 Arsène Kouassi M 6.7 90' – – 1 40 (34%) 1
32 Nathaniel Adjei D 6.7 90' – – – 65 (61%) 1
10 Isak Steiner Jensen F 6.6 32' – – 1 7 (6%) –
20 Dembo Sylla D 6.5 90' – – – 45 (38%) 4
42 Mamadou Koné F 6.5 21' – – – 2 (1%) –
8 Noah Cadiou M 6.4 90' – – 1 58 (45%) 1
62 Arthur Avom Ebong M 6.3 21' – – – 18 (15%) 2
17 Jean-Victor Makengo M 6.3 90' – – 2 36 (31%) 2
11 Théo Le Bris M 6.2 32' – – 1 6 (6%) 4
38 Yvon Mvogo G 6.0 90' – – – 49 (32%) –
33 Gabin Bernardeau M 5.9 58' – – – 18 (13%) –
Toulouse
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Cristian Cásseres Jr. M 8.6 90' – 2 1 133 (121%) 6
20 Casper Tengstedt F 7.5 44' 1 – 2 14 (12%) –
8 Thomas Jørgensen M 7.4 90' 1 – 5 35 (25%) –
11 Sion Oppong F 6.9 23' – – – 13 (12%) –
31 Niklas Schmidt M 6.7 84' – – – 108 (98%) 2
14 Niko Sigur M 6.6 44' – – – 21 (19%) –
3 Mark McKenzie D 6.5 90' – – – 83 (79%) –
12 Christ Tapé D 6.5 84' – – – 48 (42%) –
5 Seny Koumbassa D 6.4 90' – – – 74 (66%) 1
37 Ilyas Azizi M 6.4 67' – – 2 36 (31%) 2
94 Ismail Diallo D 6.2 6' – – – 8 (8%) 1
22 Rafik Messali D 6.2 46' – – – 29 (22%) 2
13 Jacen Russell-Rowe F 6.1 90' – – 3 19 (17%) –
6 Alexis Vossah M 6.0 6' – – – 7 (5%) –
60 Mathys Niflore G 6.0 90' – – – 20 (19%) –
9 Santiago Hidalgo M 5.9 46' – – – 5 (2%) –
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza
Lorient ili nerešeno
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Lorient
LDWLD
Toulouse
WDLDL
Last 3 meetings Lorient · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Lorient will host Toulouse on September 12, 2026. Lorient has struggled with consistency this season, evidenced by their current position in the league, while Toulouse has shown a more robust attacking form, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Both teams have been defensively vulnerable, with Lorient conceding 1.7 goals per game and Toulouse allowing 1.4. Key players to watch include Lorient's top scorer, who will be crucial for their offensive efforts, and Toulouse's playmaker, who has been instrumental in creating chances. This match could hinge on which side can tighten their defense while capitalizing on scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
32%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lorient

No scorer data.

Toulouse
C. Tengstedt 3 gls
T. Jørgensen 2 gls

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Head to Head: Lorient vs Toulouse

0 Lorient Wins
1 Draws
2 Toulouse Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Toulouse 1 - 0 Lorient
09 Nov 2025 Lorient 1 - 1 Toulouse
28 Apr 2024 Lorient 1 - 2 Toulouse
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Lorient — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Le Mans L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Toulouse D 2 - 2
05 Sep A Lens W 0 - 1
29 Aug H Estac Troyes L 1 - 2
22 Aug A Nice D 0 - 0

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Le Havre W 3 - 2
12 Sep A Lorient D 2 - 2
03 Sep H Lille L 0 - 1
29 Aug A Stade Brestois 29 D 2 - 2
22 Aug H Lyon L 0 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Toulouse

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
60 Niflore
12 Tapé
3 McKenzie
5 Koumbassa
22 Messali
23 Cásseres
31 Schmidt
37 Azizi
8 Jørgensen
9 Hidalgo
13 Russell-Rowe

Starting XI

# Player Pos
60 M. Niflore G
22 R. Messali D
5 S. Koumbassa D
3 M. McKenzie D
12 C. Tapé D
31 N. Schmidt M
23 C. Cásseres M
9 S. Hidalgo M
8 T. Jørgensen M
37 Y. Azizi M
13 J. Russell-Rowe F

Substitutes

18 M. Amougou M
1 T. Collin G
94 I. Diallo D
6 A. Vossah M
19 D. Odogu D
11 S. Oppong F
14 N. Sigur M
20 C. Tengstedt F
7 Julián Vignolo F

Lorient

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: A. Dujeux
38 Mvogo
32 Adjei
3 Talbi
20 Sylla
43 Kouassi
72 Mbamba
8 Cadiou
77 Katseris
17 Makengo
33 Bernardeau
18 Baldé

Starting XI

# Player Pos
38 Y. Mvogo G
20 D. Sylla D
3 M. Talbi D
32 N. Adjei D
77 P. Katseris M
8 N. Cadiou M
72 N. Mbamba M
43 K. Kouassi M
33 G. Bernardeau M
17 J. Makengo M
18 I. Baldé F

Substitutes

19 S. Faye F
2 A. Georgen D
21 B. Kamara G
42 M. Kone F
55 N. Obaretin D
10 I. Jensen F
11 T. Le Bris M
62 A. Avom M
15 A. Tosin F

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