Panama vs Croatia Predviđanje

World Cup · Group Stage - 2

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Croatia

Away

BMO Field, Toronto

AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za Croatia

20%

27%

53%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Panama vs Croatia: Sportiko procenjuje da Panama ima 20% šanse za pobedu, Croatia 53%, a nerešeno 27%. Poslednje ažuriranje 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Manje od 3.5 golova 73%
Više od 1.5 golova 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 76%

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Match Report

Panama 0–1 Croatia

A goalless first half gave little indication of what was to come, with both sides creating minimal chances and the statistics reflecting a cagey, low-intensity opening 45 minutes. Croatia made a bold double substitution at the break, introducing Petar Musa and Joško Gvardiol, and the changes paid immediate dividends.

Ante Budimir broke the deadlock nine minutes into the second half, converting what proved to be the only goal of the match and, remarkably, the only shot on target across the entire game. The expected goals figures — just 0.05 for Panama and 0.06 for Croatia — underlined how little either side threatened, making Budimir's finish the decisive and defining moment. Panama's Yoel Bárcenas was cautioned in the 61st minute as the hosts grew frustrated.

Croatia managed their lead comfortably despite Panama's 64% possession, with Luka Modrić among the later substitutes as the Croatians rotated with one eye on squad management. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Croatia win as the most likely outcome at 53%, a call that proved correct. The three points move Croatia into a strong position in the group.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

Petar Musa ⇄ Ante Budimir

⇄ 46'

Joško Gvardiol ⇄ Andrej Kramarić

⚽ 0–1 54'

Ante Budimir assist: Josip Stanišić

Yoel Bárcenas Yellow Card

61' ▮

⇄ 72'

Marco Pašalić ⇄ Luka Sučić

⇄ 72'

Mateo Kovačić ⇄ Petar Sučić

Jiovany Ramos ⇄ Cecilio Waterman

77' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Luka Modrić ⇄ Mario Pašalić

José Fajardo ⇄ Azarias Londoño

83' ⇄

Yoel Bárcenas ⇄ Tomás Rodríguez

90' ⇄

César Blackman ⇄ Éric Davis

90' ⇄

▮ 90+2'

Petar Sučić Yellow Card

FT 0–1

Panama

Match Stats

Croatia

36% Ball Possession 64%

0.06 Expected Goals (xG) 0.05

1 Total Shots 2

0 Shots on Goal 1

0 Shots off Goal 1

1 Blocked Shots 0

1 Shots insidebox 1

0 Shots outsidebox 1

0 Corner Kicks 1

Offsides

9 Fouls 5

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 0

172 Total passes 310

136 Passes accurate 272

79% Passes % 88%

0.00 goals_prevented 0.00

Panama

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Yoel Bárcenas M	7.0	49'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	1
13 Jiovany Ramos D	6.9	49'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	1
16 Andrés Andrade D	6.9	49'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	–
23 Amir Murillo D	6.9	49'	–	–	–	13 (9%)	1
2 César Blackman D	6.9	49'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	–
17 José Fajardo F	6.9	49'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	2
3 José Córdoba D	6.7	49'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	–
22 Orlando Mosquera G	6.6	49'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	–
6 Cristian Martínez M	6.6	49'	–	–	–	19 (14%)	–
14 Carlos Harvey M	6.2	49'	–	–	–	16 (10%)	–
7 José Luis Rodríguez M	6.2	49'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	1

Croatia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Josip Šutalo D	7.2	49'	–	–	–	51 (46%)	–
10 Luka Modrić M	6.9	49'	–	–	1	57 (52%)	2
1 Dominik Livaković G	6.7	49'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–
2 Josip Stanišić D	6.7	49'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–
14 Ivan Perišić M	6.7	49'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	2
4 Joško Gvardiol D	6.6	49'	–	–	–	29 (23%)	1
16 Martin Baturina M	6.6	49'	–	–	1	13 (11%)	–
3 Marin Pongračić D	6.6	49'	–	–	–	47 (41%)	–
24 Marco Pašalić M	6.6	49'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	1
26 Petar Musa F	6.3	49'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	1
8 Mateo Kovačić M	6.3	49'	–	–	–	50 (48%)	1

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza

Teška pobeda ili remi za Croatia

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Panama

LLLWL

Croatia

LWWLL

Match summary

In this World Cup matchup on June 23, 2026, Panama will face Croatia, showcasing a clash between a CONCACAF underdog and a European powerhouse. Panama, known for their resilient defense, will aim to leverage set pieces to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Croatia. Conversely, Croatia, with a midfield led by their experienced stars, will likely dominate possession and attempt to break down Panama with quick, incisive passing. Historically, Croatia has a superior FIFA ranking and has performed well in recent international tournaments, giving them a clear advantage. However, if Panama can maintain their defensive structure and exploit counter-attacks, they could challenge Croatia's ambitions in this pivotal group stage encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Croatia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	10	10	6	2	1
1	5	13	10	6	2	1
2	3	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Panama goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

27%

Home Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

27%

Home Win

20%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 28% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	10.4%	10.1%	5.7%	2.4%
1	5.3%	13.0%	9.8%	5.6%	2.4%
2	3.3%	5.6%	4.8%	2.7%	1.1%
3	1.1%	1.8%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Panama	Draw	Croatia
Panama	11.4%	4.1%	2.5%
Draw	8.1%	17.0%	18.6%
Croatia	1.2%	4.0%	33.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

50%

1.5

50%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Panama vs Croatia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Panama — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Jun	H England	L	0 - 2
23 Jun	H Croatia	L	0 - 1
17 Jun	A Ghana	L	1 - 0
04 Jun	H Dominican Republic	W	3 - 2
06 Jul	A Colombia	L	5 - 0

Croatia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Jul	A Portugal	L	2 - 1
27 Jun	H Ghana	W	2 - 1
23 Jun	A Panama	W	0 - 1
17 Jun	A England	L	4 - 2
01 Apr	A Brazil	L	3 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Croatia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Zlatko Dalic

1 Livaković

4 Gvardiol

3 Pongračić

6 Šutalo

2 Stanišić

8 Kovačić

10 Modrić

14 Perišić

16 Baturina

24 Pašalić

26 Musa

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Dominik Livaković	G
2	Josip Stanišić	D
6	Josip Šutalo	D
3	Marin Pongračić	D
4	Joško Gvardiol	D
10	Luka Modrić	M
8	Mateo Kovačić	M
24	Marco Pašalić	M
16	Martin Baturina	M
14	Ivan Perišić	M
26	Petar Musa	F

Substitutes

12	Ivor Pandur	G
23	Dominik Kotarski	G
5	Duje Ćaleta-Car	D
22	Luka Vušković	D
25	Martin Erlić	D
18	Kristijan Jakić	M
7	Nikola Moro	M
13	Nikola Vlašić	M
15	Mario Pašalić	M
17	Petar Sučić	M
19	Toni Fruk	M
21	Luka Sučić	M
9	Andrej Kramarić	F
11	Ante Budimir	F
20	Igor Matanović	F

Panama

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Thomas Christiansen

22 Mosquera

2 Blackman

16 Andrade

3 Córdoba

13 Ramos

23 Murillo

7 Rodríguez

11 Bárcenas

14 Harvey

6 Martínez

17 Fajardo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Orlando Mosquera	G
23	Amir Murillo	D
13	Jiovany Ramos	D
3	José Córdoba	D
16	Andrés Andrade	D
2	César Blackman	D
6	Cristian Martínez	M
14	Carlos Harvey	M
11	Yoel Bárcenas	M
7	José Luis Rodríguez	M
17	José Fajardo	F

Substitutes

1	Luis Mejía	G
12	César Samudio	G
4	Fidel Escobar	D
5	Edgardo Fariña	D
15	Éric Davis	D
25	Roderick Miller	D
26	Jorge Gutiérrez	D
8	Adalberto Carrasquilla	M
10	Ismael Díaz	F
19	Alberto Quintero	F
20	Aníbal Godoy	M
21	César Yanis	F
24	Azarias Londoño	F
9	Tomás Rodríguez	F
18	Cecilio Waterman	F