Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Parashikim

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 30
FT
Post on X
Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Parashikim AI Rayo Vallecano ose barazim
48%
28%
24%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: Sportiko i jep Rayo Vallecano 48% probabilitet fitese, Elche 24% dhe barazimit 28%. Përditësuar së fundmi 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

Rayo Vallecano claimed all three points at home in La Liga's 30th matchday, defeating Elche 1–0 in a match that proved far more eventful than the scoreline suggests. The first half ended goalless but was far from quiet, with a red card reducing Elche to ten men before the interval, alongside a flurry of yellow cards that set a combative tone for the contest.

Playing against a depleted side, Rayo dominated possession with 60% of the ball and launched 21 shots in total, though only five troubled the goalkeeper. The decisive moment arrived in the 74th minute when a goal finally separated the sides, rewarding Rayo's sustained pressure. Their expected goals figure of 1.35 compared to Elche's 0.44 underlined the home side's clear superiority on the day, with nine corner kicks further illustrating their territorial advantage.

The result was the most probable outcome according to our pre-match AI model, which rated a Rayo win at 48%. Elche, already hampered by the early red card, struggled to threaten meaningfully and ultimately had little answer to their hosts' dominance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 22'
Yellow Card
▮ 39'
Yellow Card
▮ 39'
Red Card
▮ 45'
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
⇄ 46'
▮ 63'
Yellow Card
66' ⇄
66' ⇄
74' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 77'
⇄ 77'
⇄ 77'
83' ⇄
⇄ 83'
⇄ Pacha
84' ⇄
90+3' ⇄
FT 1–0
Rayo Vallecano

Match Stats

Elche
60% Ball Possession 40%
1.35 Expected Goals (xG) 0.44
21 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 6
10 Shots outsidebox 3
9 Corner Kicks 4
Offsides
17 Fouls 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
410 Total passes 286
348 Passes accurate 210
85% Passes % 73%
0.12 goals_prevented 0.12
Rayo Vallecano
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
24 Florian Lejeune D 8.3 90' – – 2 54 (46%) 4
2 Andrei Rațiu D 8.2 90' – – 1 44 (39%) 2
13 Augusto Batalla G 7.3 90' – – – 32 (26%) –
23 Óscar Valentín M 7.3 66' – – – 36 (33%) 4
17 Unai López M 7.3 90' – – 1 56 (48%) 1
11 Randy Nteka M 7.3 24' 1 – 1 6 (5%) –
5 Luiz Felipe D 7.2 90' – – – 40 (37%) 3
3 Josep Chavarría D 7.0 90' – – 2 48 (42%) 1
19 Jorge de Frutos F 6.9 89' – – 3 12 (9%) 1
18 Álvaro García F 6.9 84' – 1 3 26 (20%) 1
4 Pedro Díaz M 6.9 24' – – 2 16 (13%) 1
7 Isi Palazón M 6.6 66' – – – 22 (18%) 1
22 Pacha D 6.3 11' – – – 1 (1%) –
9 Alemão F 6.3 83' – – – 14 (10%) –
10 Sergio Camello F 6.2 12' – – – 2 (1%) –
14 Carlos Martín F — 1' – – – 1 1
Elche
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Matías Dituro G 7.7 90' – – – 53 (31%) –
15 Tete Morente M 7.3 90' – – – 20 (14%) 8
11 Germán Valera F 7.2 90' – – – 24 (21%) 1
8 Marc Aguado M 7.0 77' – – – 21 (18%) 2
14 Aleix Febas M 7.0 77' – – – 14 (14%) 1
22 David Affengruber D 6.9 90' – – – 45 (31%) 1
9 André Silva F 6.9 13' – – – 4 (2%) –
20 Álvaro Rodriguez F 6.7 77' – – – 15 (10%) 1
5 Federico Redondo M 6.7 13' – – – 10 (9%) –
21 Léo Pétrot D 6.6 90' – – – 16 (12%) 2
42 Buba Sangare M 6.6 83' – – – 18 (11%) 1
12 Gonzalo Villar M 6.6 13' – – – 8 (8%) –
10 Rafa Mir F 6.5 45' – – 4 13 (7%) 3
3 Adrià Pedrosa D 6.3 45' – – 1 11 (10%) –
7 Yago Santiago F 6.3 12' – – – 2 (2%) –
6 Pedro Bigas D 6.2 39' – – 1 12 (10%) –
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Rayo Vallecano ose barazim
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Rayo Vallecano
DWLWL
Elche
WLDLL
Last 3 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash on April 5, 2026, Rayo Vallecano hosts Elche at Vallecas Stadium. Rayo has shown a solid home record, with a win rate of 60% in their last ten home matches, while Elche struggles on the road, managing only 15% of their away matches as wins this season. Key players for Rayo, particularly their forward line, have been prolific, contributing to their offensive strength with an average of 2 goals per game at home. Conversely, Elche’s defense has been porous, allowing an average of 2.5 goals per game away. This match is crucial for both teams, but Rayo Vallecano appears to hold the upper hand based on current form and home advantage.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Rayo Vallecano
Sergio Camello 7 gls
Elche
Fer Niño 5 gls

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Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Elche

1 Rayo Vallecano Wins
0 Draws
2 Elche Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Dec 2025 Elche 4 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
29 Apr 2023 Elche 4 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
03 Oct 2022 Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Elche
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Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Osasuna D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Espanyol W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Real Madrid L 4 - 1
05 Sep H Racing Santander W 3 - 2
31 Aug A Barcelona L 5 - 2

Elche — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Espanyol W 1 - 3
15 Sep H Real Madrid L 2 - 3
12 Sep A Athletic Club D 1 - 1
07 Sep H Real Sociedad L 2 - 3
28 Aug A Racing Santander L 3 - 2

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Rayo Vallecano

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Inigo Perez
13 Batalla
3 Chavarria
5 Felipe
24 Lejeune
2 Ratiu
17 Lopez
23 Valentin
7 Palazon
18 Garcia
9 Alemao
19 Frutos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
5 Luiz Felipe D
3 P. Chavarria D
7 I. Palazon M
23 O. Valentin M
17 U. Lopez M
19 J. de Frutos F
9 Alemao F
18 A. Garcia F

Substitutes

1 D. Cardenas G
40 A. Molina G
15 G. Gumbau M
22 Pacha D
4 P. Diaz M
14 C. Martin F
33 J. Vertrouwd D
32 N. Mendy D
20 I. Balliu D
16 A. Mumin D
11 R. Nteka M
10 S. Camello F

Elche

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Eder Sarabia
1 Dituro
21 Petrot
6 Bigas
22 Affengruber
15 Morente
14 Febas
8 Aguado
42 Sangare
10 Mir
20 Rodriguez
11 Valera

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Dituro G
22 D. Affengruber D
6 P. Bigas D
21 L. Petrot D
42 Buba Sangare M
8 M. Aguado M
14 A. Febas M
15 Tete Morente M
11 G. Valera F
20 A. Rodriguez F
10 R. Mir F

Substitutes

13 I. Pena G
45 A. Iturbe G
9 Andre Silva F
17 Josan M
7 Y. Santiago F
16 M. Neto M
5 F. Redondo Solari M
12 G. Villar M
3 A. Pedrosa D
24 L. Cepeda F
31 D. Delgado D
43 A. Herraiz M

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