Venezia vs Fiorentina Parashikim

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 4
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28%
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Parashikimi Venezia vs Fiorentina: Sportiko i jep Venezia 36% probabilitet fitese, Fiorentina 36% dhe barazimit 28%. Përditësuar së fundmi 11 Sep 2026, 20:44.

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
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Match Report

Venezia made a bright start when Akor Adams opened the scoring in the 22nd minute, but Fiorentina responded swiftly with two goals in as many minutes from Franco Mastantuono at the 29th and 30th marks to turn the match on its head before the break. The visitors carried a 2–1 advantage into half-time despite Venezia enjoying little of the ball, with Fiorentina commanding 62% possession throughout.

The home side pulled level through Mateo Pellegrino on 66 minutes, briefly raising hopes of a comeback, but Fiorentina reasserted control in the closing stages. Mastantuono completed a hat-trick in the 84th minute before Antoine Hainaut added a fourth two minutes later to seal a comprehensive victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Venezia win as the most likely outcome at 36%, a call that proved well wide of the mark.

The underlying numbers told a stark story — Venezia registered 10 shots on goal to Fiorentina's four, yet the visitors' expected goals figure of just 0.71 against the hosts' 3.35 underlined how clinical and efficient Fiorentina were on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Akor Adams assist: Gianluca Busio
22' 1–0
1–1 29'
Franco Mastantuono assist: Álex Jiménez
1–2 30'
Franco Mastantuono assist: Beto
Joel Schingtienne Yellow Card
38'
Gianluca Busio ⇄ Þórir Jóhann Helgason
44'
HT 1–2
60'
Arthur Atta ⇄ Wilfried Gnonto
60'
Beto ⇄ Mateo Pellegrino
1–3 66'
Mateo Pellegrino assist: Nicolò Fagioli
Richie Sagrado ⇄ Thierry Correia
69'
Matias Moreno ⇄ Juan Jesus
69'
72'
Alieu Njie Yellow Card
Simon Sohm Yellow Card
73'
John Yeboah ⇄ Toni Fernández
80'
Simon Sohm ⇄ Lion Lauberbach
80'
80'
Alieu Njie ⇄ Pedro Gonçalves
1–4 84'
Franco Mastantuono
Antoine Hainaut assist: Ridgeciano Haps
86' 2–4
89'
Luca Ranieri ⇄ Marin Pongračić
89'
Franco Mastantuono ⇄ Marco Brescianini
FT 2–4
Venezia

Match Stats

Fiorentina
62% Ball Possession 38%
0.71 Expected Goals (xG) 3.35
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Goal 10
6 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 15
2 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
544 Total passes 337
485 Passes accurate 272
89% Passes % 81%
-1.08 goals_prevented -1.08
Venezia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Filip Stanković G 8.5 92' 52 (45%)
18 Antoine Hainaut M 7.7 92' 1 1 54 (46%) 1
45 Akor Adams F 7.3 92' 1 3 12 (10%)
6 Gianluca Busio M 7.0 44' 1 23 (21%) 2
10 John Yeboah F 6.9 80' 3 20 (19%) 2
14 Thierry Correia D 6.7 23' 12 (9%)
2 Matias Moreno D 6.6 69' 51 (43%) 1
19 Simon Sohm M 6.3 80' 53 (49%)
21 Þórir Jóhann Helgason M 6.3 48' 1 25 (21%) 1
15 Juan Jesus D 6.3 23' 21 (21%) 2
3 Joel Schingtienne D 6.3 92' 75 (72%) 1
71 Kike Pérez M 6.3 92' 1 63 (53%) 2
20 Richie Sagrado M 6.3 69' 1 17 (15%)
29 Lion Lauberbach F 6.3 12'
77 Toni Fernández M 6.3 12' 5 (5%)
5 Ridgeciano Haps D 6.2 92' 1 61 (56%) 1
Fiorentina
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
30 Franco Mastantuono M 9.9 89' 3 6 27 (22%) 1
44 Nicolò Fagioli M 7.7 92' 1 1 59 (51%) 4
32 Mateo Pellegrino F 7.6 32' 1 1 8 (3%)
25 Alieu Njie M 7.3 80' 3 20 (16%) 3
14 Arthur Atta M 6.9 60' 28 (23%)
3 Radu Drăguşin D 6.9 92' 20 (14%) 1
27 Cher Ndour M 6.7 92' 1 37 (32%) 2
33 Viery D 6.3 92' 31 (25%) 5
28 Pedro Gonçalves M 6.3 12' 6 (5%)
43 David De Gea G 6.2 92' 21 (12%)
6 Luca Ranieri D 6.2 89' 1 29 (25%) 1
20 Álex Jiménez D 6.2 92' 1 1 34 (31%) 1
29 Wilfried Gnonto F 6.2 32' 11 (9%)
23 Beto F 5.6 60' 1 2 6 (4%)
5 Marin Pongračić D 3'
4 Marco Brescianini M 3'
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

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Venezia
LLLLL
Fiorentina
DWWLL
Last 3 meetings Venezia · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Venezia will face Fiorentina. Venezia's recent form has been inconsistent, with a tendency to struggle in defense, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last five outings. Conversely, Fiorentina has shown stronger attacking capabilities, averaging 2 goals per game in the same period. Key players to watch include Fiorentina's forward, who has been pivotal in their offensive plays. The match will be crucial for Venezia to secure points and improve their standings, while Fiorentina will aim to capitalize on their momentum.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
36%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
36%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Venezia

No scorer data.

Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

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Head to Head: Venezia vs Fiorentina

1 Venezia Wins
1 Draws
1 Fiorentina Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 May 2025 Venezia 2 - 1 Fiorentina
25 Aug 2024 Fiorentina 0 - 0 Venezia
16 Apr 2022 Fiorentina 1 - 0 Venezia
Shiko të gjitha 4 ndeshjet — Premium

Venezia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Lazio L 0 - 2
11 Sep H Fiorentina L 2 - 4
06 Sep A Frosinone L 3 - 2
02 Sep A Udinese L 2 - 1
28 Aug A AC Milan L 2 - 0

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Napoli D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Pisa W 3 - 0
11 Sep A Venezia W 2 - 4
05 Sep H Torino L 1 - 2
29 Aug H Frosinone L 0 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Fiorentina

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Paolo Vanoli
43 Gea
33 Viery
6 Ranieri
3 Drăguşin
20 Jiménez
44 Fagioli
27 Ndour
25 Njie
14 Atta
30 Mastantuono
23 Beto

Starting XI

# Player Pos
43 David De Gea G
20 Álex Jiménez D
3 Radu Drăguşin D
6 Luca Ranieri D
33 Viery D
27 Cher Ndour M
44 Nicolò Fagioli M
30 Franco Mastantuono M
14 Arthur Atta M
25 Alieu Njie M
23 Beto F

Substitutes

32 Mateo Pellegrino F
29 Wilfried Gnonto F
28 Pedro Gonçalves M
53 Oliver Christensen G
19 Luca Lezzerini G
21 Víctor Valdepeñas D
2 Dodô D
5 Marin Pongračić D
17 João Mário D
42 Christ Inao Oulaï M
4 Marco Brescianini M

Venezia

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Giovanni Stroppa
1 Stanković
5 Haps
2 Moreno
3 Schingtienne
20 Sagrado
19 Sohm
6 Busio
71 Pérez
18 Hainaut
45 Adams
10 Yeboah

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Filip Stanković G
3 Joel Schingtienne D
2 Matias Moreno D
5 Ridgeciano Haps D
18 Antoine Hainaut M
71 Kike Pérez M
6 Gianluca Busio M
19 Simon Sohm M
20 Richie Sagrado M
10 John Yeboah F
45 Akor Adams F

Substitutes

21 Þórir Jóhann Helgason M
15 Juan Jesus D
14 Thierry Correia D
77 Toni Fernández M
29 Lion Lauberbach F
96 Lorenzo Montipò G
25 Redouane Halhal D
16 Rufai Mohammed D
95 Ale Gomes D
36 Lorenzo Berardi M
56 Kornel Lisman F
8 Lamine Fanne M
55 Simone Panada M
70 Pasquale Mazzocchi D
7 Albion Rrahmani F

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