Bournemouth vs Leeds Napoved

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

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Leeds

Away

Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset

UI napoved Bournemouth ali neodločeno

50%

34%

16%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Bournemouth proti Leeds: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Bournemouth na 50%, za Leeds na 16%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 34%. Zadnja posodobitev: 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

A first half of cards but no goals gave way to a dramatic second period at the Vitality Stadium. Eli Junior Kroupi, who had been booked earlier in the match, broke the deadlock on 60 minutes to put Leeds ahead, before James Hill's own goal three minutes later levelled things up for Bournemouth. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bournemouth win as the most likely outcome at 50%, though the match ultimately ended in a share of the points.

The closing stages produced further twists. Rayan restored Leeds' lead on 85 minutes, only for Sean Longstaff to equalise deep into stoppage time and secure a point for Bournemouth. A VAR review then cancelled what would have been a late winner for Evanilson, with the striker subsequently picking up a yellow card in the final moments.

Bournemouth dominated possession at 60% and created the greater volume of chances, registering 17 total shots and 12 corner kicks to Leeds' one, though an expected goals figure of 1.65 to 0.81 ultimately went unrewarded as both sides had to settle for a 2–2 draw.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Eli Junior Kroupi Yellow Card

25' ▮

Álex Jiménez Yellow Card

41' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

Jayden Bogle ⇄ Joe Rodon

Eli Junior Kroupi assist: Marcos Senesi

60' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 64'

Jaka Bijol ⇄ Lukas Nmecha

⇄ 64'

Noah Okafor ⇄ Wilfried Gnonto

David Brooks ⇄ Rayan

67' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 68'

James Hill Own Goal

Eli Junior Kroupi ⇄ Tyler Adams

73' ⇄

Ryan Christie ⇄ Amine Adli

73' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Brenden Aaronson ⇄ Sean Longstaff

Rayan assist: Tyler Adams

85' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 89'

Ao Tanaka ⇄ Joël Piroe

⚽ 2–2 90'

Sean Longstaff

Marcus Tavernier ⇄ Alex Tóth

90+1' ⇄

Evanilson Goal cancelled

90+2' 🖵

Evanilson Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

FT 2–2

Bournemouth

Match Stats

Leeds

60% Ball Possession 40%

1.65 Expected Goals (xG) 0.81

17 Total Shots 10

7 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 5

5 Blocked Shots 2

12 Shots insidebox 10

5 Shots outsidebox 0

12 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 1

6 Fouls 10

3 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

473 Total passes 315

378 Passes accurate 236

80% Passes % 75%

0.02 goals_prevented 0.02

Bournemouth

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Eli Junior Kroupi M	8.2	73'	1	–	1	21 (18%)	–
3 Adrien Truffert D	7.5	90'	–	–	1	59 (53%)	3
8 Alex Scott M	7.5	90'	–	–	2	60 (51%)	1
5 Marcos Senesi D	7.3	90'	–	1	1	74 (55%)	–
37 Rayan F	7.0	23'	1	–	2	4 (3%)	–
10 Ryan Christie M	7.0	73'	–	–	2	32 (25%)	–
20 Álex Jiménez D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	48 (40%)	3
12 Tyler Adams M	6.9	17'	–	1	–	12 (9%)	–
21 Amine Adli F	6.9	17'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
1 Đorđe Petrović G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	19 (9%)	–
16 Marcus Tavernier M	6.5	89'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	1
27 Alex Tóth M	6.5	8'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
7 David Brooks M	6.3	67'	–	–	1	25 (17%)	–
23 James Hill D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	46 (38%)	2
9 Evanilson F	5.9	90'	–	–	1	19 (14%)	–

Leeds

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Gabriel Gudmundsson M	7.6	90'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	2
8 Sean Longstaff M	7.5	15'	1	–	1	4 (1%)	–
5 Pascal Struijk D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	26 (22%)	3
4 Ethan Ampadu M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	39 (33%)	4
15 Jaka Bijol D	7.2	64'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–
11 Brenden Aaronson F	7.0	84'	–	–	1	24 (20%)	–
26 Karl Darlow G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	30 (17%)	1
24 James Justin D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	3
22 Ao Tanaka M	6.7	89'	–	–	–	39 (37%)	1
2 Jayden Bogle M	6.7	45'	–	–	–	15 (7%)	4
14 Lukas Nmecha F	6.7	26'	–	–	2	6 (5%)	–
29 Wilfried Gnonto F	6.6	26'	–	–	1	10 (6%)	2
19 Noah Okafor F	6.5	64'	–	–	2	13 (10%)	1
9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F	6.3	90'	–	–	–	25 (13%)	–
10 Joël Piroe F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
6 Joe Rodon D	6.2	45'	–	–	1	18 (11%)	1

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Bournemouth ali neodločeno

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Bournemouth

LWDWD

Leeds

DWLDD

Last 3 meetings Bournemouth · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Bournemouth will host Leeds in what promises to be a crucial Premier League clash on April 25, 2026. Bournemouth's home form has been solid, with an average of 1.5 goals scored per game at the Vitality Stadium, while Leeds has struggled defensively away from home, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game. Leeds, however, boasts a more potent attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game overall, which could exploit Bournemouth's defensive vulnerabilities. The outcome may hinge on Bournemouth's ability to contain Leeds' counter-attacking prowess, making it a tightly contested affair. Both teams will be eager for points, with potential implications for relegation battles or mid-table security.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Leeds goals →

	0	1	2
0	22	10	2
1	23	11	3
2	12	6	1
3	4	2
4	1	1
5

↑ Bournemouth goals · most likely 1–0 (23.0%)

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Players in form

Bournemouth

M. Tavernier 3 gls

Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin 3 gls

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Head to Head: Bournemouth vs Leeds

1 Bournemouth Wins

1 Draws

1 Leeds Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Sep 2025	Leeds	2 - 2	Bournemouth
30 Apr 2023	Bournemouth	4 - 1	Leeds
05 Nov 2022	Leeds	4 - 3	Bournemouth

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Liverpool	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Brentford	D	2 - 2
08 Sep	H Lincoln	W	4 - 0
05 Sep	A Newcastle	D	2 - 2

Leeds — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Crystal Palace	D	0 - 0
14 Sep	H Newcastle	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Chelsea	L	6 - 3
05 Sep	A Brighton	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Brentford	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2