Bahia vs Mirassol Napoved

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

11 Oct 2026, 20:00

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Mirassol

Away

UI napoved Bahia ali neodločeno

45%

26%

29%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Bahia proti Mirassol: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Bahia na 45%, za Mirassol na 29%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 26%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Bahia

LWWWW

Mirassol

WDWLD

Last 3 meetings Bahia · 1W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

45%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

29%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Mirassol goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	8	5	2
1	11	12	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5		1

↑ Bahia goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Players in form

Bahia

Luciano Juba 9 gls

Mirassol

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

29%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

27%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

29%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

27%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

19%

25%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	8.3%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.9%	12.3%	7.0%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.1%	9.2%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.0%	4.6%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bahia	Draw	Mirassol
Bahia	15.4%	8.8%	9.8%
Draw	19.1%	10.9%	12.1%
Mirassol	10.8%	6.2%	6.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bahia vs Mirassol

1 Bahia Wins

1 Draws

1 Mirassol Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Mirassol	1 - 2	Bahia
31 Aug 2025	Mirassol	5 - 1	Bahia
13 Apr 2025	Bahia	1 - 1	Mirassol

Bahia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Paranaense	L	2 - 1
14 Sep	H Remo	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A RB Bragantino	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Internacional	W	3 - 2
23 Aug	A Vitoria	W	0 - 2

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Botafogo	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Vitoria	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Coritiba	W	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Palmeiras	D	1 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.