Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia Napoved

First League · Regular Season - 9

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Septemvri Sofia

Away

Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad

UI napoved Ludogorets zmaga ali remi

73%

19%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Ludogorets proti Septemvri Sofia: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Ludogorets na 73%, za Septemvri Sofia na 8%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 19%. Zadnja posodobitev: 14 Sep 2026, 19:24.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%
Home 2H Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

⇄ 14'

Son

19' 🖵

Ivajlo Chochev

21' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

▮ 50'

Yellow Card

Son Yellow Card

56' ▮

▮ 58'

Yellow Card

Caio Vidal ⇄ Erick Marcus

58' ⇄

59' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 62'

Yellow Card

Ivajlo Chochev ⇄ Filip Kaloč

68' ⇄

Son ⇄ Joel Andersson

68' ⇄

Bernard Tekpetey

68' ⇄

⇄ 76'

⚽ 2–1 81'

⇄ 87'

88' ⇄

FT 2–1

Ludogorets

Match Stats

Septemvri Sofia

47% Ball Possession 53%

14 Total Shots 6

8 Shots on Goal 2

6 Shots off Goal 4

0 Blocked Shots 0

5 Corner Kicks 5

1 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence High (73%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Ludogorets zmaga ali remi

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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Ludogorets

WWDDW

Septemvri Sofia

LLLDW

Last 1 meetings Ludogorets · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

73%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Septemvri Sofia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	2	1
1	10	9	3	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	11	8	3	1
4	6	5	2
5	3	2	1

↑ Ludogorets goals · most likely 2–0 (13.3%)

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Players in form

Ludogorets

No scorer data.

Septemvri Sofia

André Filipe Rio Liberal 0 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

50% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	2.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
1	10.1%	8.9%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%
2	13.3%	9.5%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%
3	10.7%	7.6%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
4	6.4%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ludogorets	Draw	Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets	52.0%	3.0%	0.7%
Draw	20.5%	11.3%	3.8%
Septemvri Sofia	2.2%	2.4%	4.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

81%

3.5

19%

Home Exact Goals

23%

27%

22%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia

1 Ludogorets Wins

0 Draws

0 Septemvri Sofia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 Jul 2026	Ludogorets	1 - 0	Septemvri Sofia

Ludogorets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
14 Sep	H Septemvri Sofia	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Lokomotiv Sofia	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Spartak Varna	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Slavia Sofia	D	1 - 1
15 Aug	H Botev Plovdiv	W	2 - 0

Septemvri Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Botev Plovdiv	L	0 - 3
14 Sep	A Ludogorets	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	H Botev Vratsa	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Slavia Sofia	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H CSKA 1948	W	1 - 0

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5

Ludogorets

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: T. Reis

39 Bonmann

17 Son

4 Abdelmaguid

42 Shishkov

3 Nedyalkov

23 Duarte

37 Tekpetey

18 Chochev

20 Camara

11 Vidal

12 Cruz

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
39	H. Bonmann	G
3	A. Nedyalkov	D
42	S. Shishkov	D
4	Hossam Abdelmaguid	D
17	Son	M
23	Deroy Duarte	M
11	Caio Vidal	F
20	A. Camara	M
18	I. Chochev	M
37	B. Tekpetey	F
12	Rwan Cruz	F

Substitutes

5	G. Terziev	D
2	J. Andersson	D
77	Erick Marcus	F
13	I. Grbić	G
26	F. Kaloč	M
15	E. Kurtulus	D
40	A. Marinov	F
67	A. Panayotov	G
22	M. Polendakov	D
14	P. Stanić	M

Septemvri Sofia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Randin Rande

12 Ivanov

3 Wade

5 Baurenski

4 Hristov

13 Önaşçı

8 Penchev

6 Ferreira

29 Herard

33 Ivanov

19 Igor

7 Ribeiro

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	V. Ivanov	G
13	K. Önaşçı	M
4	M. Hristov	D
5	Y. Baurenski	M
3	Sebastian Wade	D
6	Pedro Ferreira	M
8	B. Penchev	M
19	Pedro Igor	F
33	G. Ivanov	M
29	F. Herard	F
7	E. Ribeiro	F

Substitutes

30	Viktor Dobrev	M
11	A. Dzhamov	F
15	P. Gospodinov	D
10	N. Iliev	M
27	André Filipe Rio Liberal	F
16	V. Mihaylov	M
26	V. Ozornwafor	D
1	A. Radkov	G
28	S. Stoichkov	F
20	B. Tomovski	D
24	Z. Atanasov	M