SC Braga vs Estrela Napoved

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20

31 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Estrela

Away

UI napoved Estrela ali neodločeno

24%

33%

44%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved SC Braga proti Estrela: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za SC Braga na 24%, za Estrela na 44%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 33%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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SC Braga

DWLWW

Estrela

LDWDW

Last 3 meetings SC Braga · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

SC Braga faces Estrela in an upcoming Primeira Liga clash, where Braga has typically shown strong form at home. Historically, Braga boasts a solid home record, with a high win percentage against mid-table teams like Estrela. Estrela, while competitive, has struggled defensively in away matches, often conceding more goals than they score. Braga's offensive capabilities, led by their key players, could exploit this weakness effectively. This matchup will be crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their league positions.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

24%

45%

Draw

33%

45%

Away

44%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estrela goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	14	10	4	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	4	5	3	1
3	1	2	1
4
5

↑ SC Braga goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

SC Braga

Pau Victor 3 gls

Estrela

A. Marcus 4 gls

L. Antonetti 4 gls

I. Stoica 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

33%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

33%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

65% Away (No Draw) 35% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 33% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.3%	13.9%	9.6%	3.9%	1.2%
1	8.9%	14.8%	8.0%	3.3%	1.0%
2	4.5%	5.5%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%
3	1.3%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SC Braga	Draw	Estrela
SC Braga	13.4%	4.0%	1.7%
Draw	10.2%	22.8%	17.3%
Estrela	1.1%	3.9%	25.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: SC Braga vs Estrela

0 SC Braga Wins

2 Draws

1 Estrela Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 Sep 2026	Estrela	2 - 1	SC Braga
16 May 2026	SC Braga	2 - 2	Estrela
03 Jan 2026	Estrela	3 - 3	SC Braga

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SC Braga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Santa Clara	D	0 - 0
14 Sep	H Estoril	W	1 - 0
10 Sep	A Estrela	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Alverca	W	1 - 2
31 Aug	H Vitória SC	W	1 - 0

Estrela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Academico Viseu	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Rio Ave	D	3 - 3
10 Sep	H SC Braga	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Famalicao	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Nacional	W	2 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.