Sporting CP vs Estrela Napoved

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

17 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Estrela

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Sporting CP

54%

25%

20%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Sporting CP proti Estrela: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Sporting CP na 54%, za Estrela na 20%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Sporting CP

DDWWW

Estrela

LDWDW

Last 3 meetings Sporting CP · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Sporting CP enters this match with a strong home record, having secured a significant number of points at their ground this season. Their attack has been potent, averaging over 2 goals per match, while Estrela struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. Estrela will need to focus on tightening their defense and capitalizing on counter-attacking opportunities to challenge Sporting's dominance. Overall, Sporting CP appears favored based on their current form and offensive capabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estrela goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	4	3	1
1	8	12	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Sporting CP goals · most likely 1–1 (12.0%)

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Players in form

Sporting CP

L. Suárez 6 gls

Flávio Gonçalves 3 gls

F. Ioannidis 2 gls

Estrela

A. Marcus 4 gls

L. Antonetti 4 gls

I. Stoica 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

25%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

25%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

73% Home (No Draw) 27% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	4.2%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
1	8.5%	12.0%	5.7%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.3%	10.0%	5.4%	2.0%	0.5%
3	5.9%	6.3%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.8%	3.0%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sporting CP	Draw	Estrela
Sporting CP	35.0%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	18.3%	15.2%	8.5%
Estrela	2.6%	3.8%	10.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sporting CP vs Estrela

2 Sporting CP Wins

1 Draws

0 Estrela Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Aug 2026	Estrela	2 - 2	Sporting CP
11 Apr 2026	Estrela	0 - 1	Sporting CP
30 Nov 2025	Sporting CP	4 - 0	Estrela

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Sporting CP — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arouca	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Famalicao	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	H Galatasaray	W	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Nacional	W	2 - 0
28 Aug	A Rio Ave	W	0 - 4

Estrela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Academico Viseu	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Rio Ave	D	3 - 3
10 Sep	H SC Braga	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Famalicao	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Nacional	W	2 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.