Estoril vs Vitória SC Napoved

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 13

06 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Vitória SC

Away

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

UI napoved Vitória SC ali neodločeno

22%

30%

48%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Estoril proti Vitória SC: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Estoril na 22%, za Vitória SC na 48%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 30%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Estoril

LLDLL

Vitória SC

DLDLW

Last 3 meetings Estoril · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Estoril will face Guimaraes. Estoril has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match, while Guimaraes has been more solid at the back, allowing just 0.9 goals per game. Offensively, Guimaraes boasts a slight edge, averaging 1.4 goals scored per match compared to Estoril's 1.1. The match will be crucial for both teams as they look to improve their standings in the league. Expect a tactical battle, with Guimaraes likely aiming to exploit Estoril's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

22%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

48%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vitória SC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	12	10	5	2
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	4	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Estoril goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

30%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

30%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

68% Away (No Draw) 32% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.4%	12.3%	10.0%	4.8%	1.7%
1	7.2%	14.2%	9.0%	4.3%	1.5%
2	4.0%	5.7%	4.0%	1.9%	0.7%
3	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estoril	Draw	Vitória SC
Estoril	12.6%	4.1%	2.1%
Draw	9.2%	20.0%	18.0%
Vitória SC	1.1%	4.0%	28.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estoril vs Vitória SC

2 Estoril Wins

0 Draws

1 Vitória SC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Estoril	4 - 2	Vitória SC
16 Aug 2025	Vitória SC	3 - 2	Estoril
26 Jan 2025	Estoril	1 - 0	Vitória SC

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Estoril — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Casa Pia	L	1 - 2
14 Sep	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Arouca	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Benfica	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Rio Ave	L	0 - 2

Vitória SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Moreirense	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Academico Viseu	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Casa Pia	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
23 Aug	H Nacional	W	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.