Estac Troyes vs Monaco Napoved

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

23 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Monaco

Away

UI napoved Monaco zmaga ali remi

19%

73%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Estac Troyes proti Monaco: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Estac Troyes na 7%, za Monaco na 73%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 19%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 15.4%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Estac Troyes

LLLWD

Monaco

WDWWW

Last 3 meetings Estac Troyes · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Estac Troyes faces Monaco in this Ligue 1 clash, with both teams bringing distinct strengths to the pitch. Troyes, typically solid defensively, has struggled with consistency, while Monaco boasts a potent attack, ranking among the top in goals scored this season. Troyes will need to tighten their defense to cope with Monaco's offensive threats, particularly their key forwards’ pace and finishing ability. Historical data shows that Monaco has generally performed well against lower-ranked teams, which could be a factor in this matchup. Overall, the outcome will likely hinge on Troyes' ability to neutralize Monaco's attacking prowess.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

73%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monaco goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	13	15	11	6	3
1	3	9	9	7	4	2
2	1	2	3	2	1
3			1
4
5

↑ Estac Troyes goals · most likely 0–2 (15.4%)

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Players in form

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

Monaco

Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

73%

Draw

19%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

73%

Draw

19%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

91% Away (No Draw) 9% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

49% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Away Scores More 19% Equal Goals 7% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	12.9%	15.4%	11.3%	6.3%
1	2.6%	9.1%	8.9%	6.6%	3.6%
2	1.1%	2.3%	2.6%	1.9%	1.1%
3	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estac Troyes	Draw	Monaco
Estac Troyes	3.9%	2.5%	2.2%
Draw	3.3%	12.6%	22.2%
Monaco	0.5%	2.5%	50.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

56%

32%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Away Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estac Troyes vs Monaco

1 Estac Troyes Wins

1 Draws

1 Monaco Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Mar 2023	Estac Troyes	2 - 2	Monaco
31 Aug 2022	Monaco	2 - 4	Estac Troyes
10 Apr 2022	Monaco	2 - 1	Estac Troyes

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Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Angers	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Lille	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Strasbourg	L	2 - 6
29 Aug	A Lorient	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Paris FC	D	0 - 0

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Lens	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Strasbourg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Paris Saint Germain	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Marseille	W	2 - 0
27 Aug	H Gornik Zabrze	W	4 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.