Lecce vs Parma Napoved

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

06 Jan 2027, 17:30

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Parma

Away

UI napoved Lecce ali neodločeno

48%

32%

20%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Lecce proti Parma: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Lecce na 48%, za Parma na 20%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 32%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Lecce

LWLLW

Parma

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Lecce · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A match, Lecce will host Parma. Lecce has shown a solid defensive record at home, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Parma's away form has been inconsistent, with 1.5 goals conceded per game. Lecce will look to capitalize on their home advantage, aiming to control possession and create goal-scoring opportunities. Parma needs to improve their attacking output, having scored only 1.1 goals per match on the road. This clash could hinge on Lecce's ability to maintain defensive solidity against Parma's transitional play.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Parma goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	8	4	1
1	15	14	5	1
2	11	8	3	1
3	5	4	1
4	2	1
5

↑ Lecce goals · most likely 1–0 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Lecce

L. Coulibaly 2 gls

Parma

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

32%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

32%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.0%	7.9%	3.7%	0.9%	0.2%
1	14.7%	14.2%	4.9%	1.3%	0.2%
2	10.8%	8.3%	3.2%	0.8%	0.2%
3	4.8%	3.7%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lecce	Draw	Parma
Lecce	28.8%	3.7%	0.9%
Draw	18.7%	22.2%	8.8%
Parma	1.8%	3.9%	11.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lecce vs Parma

2 Lecce Wins

0 Draws

1 Parma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Jan 2026	Lecce	1 - 2	Parma
04 Oct 2025	Parma	0 - 1	Lecce
31 Jan 2025	Parma	1 - 3	Lecce

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Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Parma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Genoa	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Como	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Monza	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	H Cremonese	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Juventus	L	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.