Newcastle vs Brighton Napoved

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

30 Jan 2027, 15:00

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Brighton

Away

UI napoved Brighton zmaga

18%

79%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Newcastle proti Brighton: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Newcastle na 4%, za Brighton na 79%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 18%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Newcastle

WLWDW

Brighton

WWWDL

Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Premier League clash, Newcastle will face Brighton on January 30, 2027. Newcastle has shown a strong home record, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, which includes a high conversion rate from set pieces and open play. Brighton, known for their tactical flexibility and defensive resilience, will need to leverage their counter-attacking ability to unsettle Newcastle's backline. Both teams will aim to secure crucial points, with Newcastle seeking to solidify their position in the top half, while Brighton aims for mid-table stability. Key matchups between Newcastle's forward line and Brighton's defense will likely determine the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

79%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Brighton goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	19	20	14	7	3
1	2	7	6	4	2	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Newcastle goals · most likely 0–2 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Newcastle

J. Willock 2 gls

Brighton

P. Groß 3 gls

C. Kostoulas 2 gls

M. Yalcouyé 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

79%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

79%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

96% Away (No Draw) 4% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Away Scores More 18% Equal Goals 4% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	18.9%	20.4%	14.2%	7.4%
1	2.1%	6.7%	6.1%	4.3%	2.2%
2	0.4%	0.9%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%
3	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

36%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Newcastle	Draw	Brighton
Newcastle	2.0%	1.6%	1.3%
Draw	1.8%	13.4%	24.5%
Brighton	0.1%	1.4%	53.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Newcastle vs Brighton

1 Newcastle Wins

1 Draws

1 Brighton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 May 2026	Newcastle	3 - 1	Brighton
18 Oct 2025	Brighton	2 - 1	Newcastle
04 May 2025	Brighton	1 - 1	Newcastle

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Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hull City	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Leeds	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tottenham	W	0 - 2

Brighton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arsenal	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Manchester United	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	A Coventry	W	0 - 5
05 Sep	H Leeds	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Chelsea	L	4 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.