Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 2

30 Aug 2026, 13:00

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Brighton

Away

Stamford Bridge, London

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Brighton

19%

29%

52%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Chelsea vs Brighton prediction: Sportiko gives Chelsea a 19% chance of winning, Brighton 52% and the draw 29%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:42.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Chelsea

LLWDL

Brighton

LLWLW

Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Chelsea faces Brighton. Chelsea has shown a strong offensive capability, averaging 1.8 goals per match last season, while Brighton's defense has been solid, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Both teams employ a possession-based style, but Chelsea's pressing game could disrupt Brighton's build-up play. Key player performances will be crucial, especially in midfield, where both teams will battle for control. Expect a tactical showdown with potential for goals on both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Brighton goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	13	11	6	2	1
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Chelsea goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

29%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

29%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

73% Away (No Draw) 27% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 19% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.5%	13.2%	11.1%	5.6%	2.1%
1	6.5%	13.7%	9.1%	4.6%	1.7%
2	3.3%	5.0%	3.7%	1.9%	0.7%
3	0.9%	1.4%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Chelsea	Draw	Brighton
Chelsea	9.3%	3.2%	1.7%
Draw	9.2%	19.7%	18.1%
Brighton	1.3%	4.4%	33.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Chelsea vs Brighton

0 Chelsea Wins

0 Draws

3 Brighton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Apr 2026	Brighton	3 - 0	Chelsea
27 Sep 2025	Chelsea	1 - 3	Brighton
14 Feb 2025	Brighton	3 - 0	Chelsea

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Tottenham	L	1 - 2
24 May	A Sunderland	L	2 - 1
19 May	H Tottenham	W	2 - 1
09 May	A Liverpool	D	1 - 1
04 May	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 3

Brighton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 May	H Manchester United	L	0 - 3
17 May	A Leeds	L	1 - 0
09 May	H Wolves	W	3 - 0
02 May	A Newcastle	L	3 - 1
21 Apr	H Chelsea	W	3 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.