Marseille vs Le Mans Predicție

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 11

21 Nov 2026, 16:00

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Le Mans

Away

Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Le Mans

15%

25%

60%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Marseille vs Le Mans: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 15% pentru victoria lui Marseille, 60% pentru Le Mans și 25% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Marseille

LLLLL

Le Mans

WDDLD

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Marseille faces Le Mans. Historically, Marseille has shown strong performances at home, currently averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while maintaining a solid defensive record with only 1.1 goals conceded per game. Le Mans, competing in the lower tiers, will look to capitalize on any defensive lapses but has struggled against top-tier teams, averaging just 0.9 goals per match. The match could hinge on Marseille's ability to exploit Le Mans' defensive vulnerabilities early, potentially leading to a decisive victory for the hosts.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Le Mans goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	11	11	7	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	2	5	4	3	1	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Marseille goals · most likely 1–1 (11.8%)

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Players in form

Marseille

A. Gouiri 4 gls

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

25%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

25%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	10.7%	11.5%	7.3%	3.5%
1	4.1%	11.8%	10.0%	6.4%	3.0%
2	2.4%	4.6%	4.3%	2.8%	1.3%
3	0.7%	1.3%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Marseille	Draw	Le Mans
Marseille	8.5%	3.6%	2.6%
Draw	6.4%	15.4%	19.9%
Le Mans	1.0%	3.7%	39.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Marseille vs Le Mans

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 2
17 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Rennes	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Paris FC	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Monaco	L	2 - 0

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.