Fiorentina vs Napoli Predicție
Predicție Fiorentina vs Napoli: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 29% pentru victoria lui Fiorentina, 42% pentru Napoli și 29% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 20 Sep 2026, 12:31.
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Match Report
Napoli took the lead in the 23rd minute through Billy Gilmour, and the visitors carried that advantage into half-time despite Fiorentina enjoying the majority of possession. The hosts struggled to convert their territorial dominance into clear-cut chances, finishing the half with the xG figures already hinting at a closer contest than the scoreline suggested.
Fiorentina levelled early in the second half when Álex Jiménez equalised in the 51st minute, sparking a flurry of substitutions from both sides as managers looked to find a winning edge. Rasmus Højlund and Matteo Politano were among those introduced, but neither side could find a decisive breakthrough. A yellow card for David De Gea in the 83rd minute added late tension without altering the outcome.
The final scoreline of 1–1 felt a fair reflection of the contest, with Fiorentina edging expected goals at 1.40 to 0.94 despite Napoli registering more total shots. The pre-match AI model had rated a Napoli win as the most likely outcome at 42%, and while the visitors did not claim all three points, they left Florence unbeaten.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Fiorentina
Match Stats
Fiorentina
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 David De Gea G | 8.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 17 (10%) | – |
| 20 Álex Jiménez D | 7.7 | 94' | 1 | – | 1 | 45 (36%) | – |
| 27 Cher Ndour M | 7.2 | 94' | – | 1 | – | 39 (37%) | 1 |
| 3 Radu Drăguşin D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 40 (38%) | – |
| 21 Víctor Valdepeñas D | 7.2 | 49' | – | – | 1 | 18 (13%) | – |
| 30 Franco Mastantuono F | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 3 | 39 (30%) | 1 |
| 44 Nicolò Fagioli M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 3 | 63 (54%) | 1 |
| 29 Wilfried Gnonto F | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 32 Mateo Pellegrino F | 6.6 | 66' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 25 Alieu Njie F | 6.6 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 23 (19%) | 1 |
| 5 Marin Pongračić D | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 6 Luca Ranieri D | 6.5 | 85' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | 2 |
| 23 Beto F | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 28 Pedro Gonçalves M | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 33 Viery D | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | 1 |
| 14 Arthur Atta M | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 26 (26%) | – |
Napoli
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Billy Gilmour M | 8.0 | 94' | 1 | – | 1 | 77 (71%) | 1 |
| 17 Mathías Olivera D | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | 4 | 46 (44%) | 4 |
| 32 Vanja Milinković-Savić G | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 42 (35%) | – |
| 68 Stanislav Lobotka M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (53%) | – |
| 16 Rafa Marín D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 61 (54%) | 3 |
| 13 Amir Rrahmani D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 80 (74%) | 2 |
| 21 Matteo Politano M | 7.0 | 73' | – | 1 | – | 36 (31%) | 1 |
| 7 David Neres F | 6.9 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 70 N. Lang M | 6.6 | 58' | – | – | 2 | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 51 (45%) | 4 |
| 2 Costantino Favasuli D | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | 2 |
| 11 Kevin De Bruyne M | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | – |
| 19 Rasmus Højlund F | 6.3 | 58' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | – |
| 20 Lorenzo Lucca F | 6.3 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | 2 |
| 99 Frank Anguissa M | — | 4' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 67.7%. Late goal chance: 35.9%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 45.1%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Half-time: 0-1. Napoli leads. Win probability: 75.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.7%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Napoli win: 72.7%. BTTS: 58.8%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Franco Mastantuono
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Fiorentina vs Napoli
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Napoli | 2 - 1 | Fiorentina |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Fiorentina | 1 - 3 | Napoli |
| 09 Mar 2025 | Napoli | 2 - 1 | Fiorentina |
Fiorentina — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Napoli | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Pisa | W | 3 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | A Venezia | W | 2 - 4 |
| 05 Sep | H Torino | L | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Frosinone | L | 0 - 3 |
Napoli — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Fiorentina | D | 1 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Bologna | W | 1 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | H Arsenal | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Inter | L | 3 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Como | L | 1 - 2 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Napoli
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Vanja Milinković-Savić | G |
| 22 | Giovanni Di Lorenzo | D |
| 13 | Amir Rrahmani | D |
| 16 | Rafa Marín | D |
| 17 | Mathías Olivera | D |
| 6 | Billy Gilmour | M |
| 68 | Stanislav Lobotka | M |
| 21 | Matteo Politano | M |
| 11 | Kevin De Bruyne | M |
| 70 | Noa Lang | M |
| 19 | Rasmus Højlund | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Claudio Pugliese | G |
| 14 | Nikita Contini | G |
| 31 | Sam Beukema | D |
| 5 | Benoît Badiashile | D |
| 2 | Costantino Favasuli | D |
| 99 | Frank Anguissa | M |
| 20 | Lorenzo Lucca | F |
| 7 | David Neres | F |
| 26 | Antonio Vergara | M |
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Paolo Vanoli
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | David De Gea | G |
| 20 | Álex Jiménez | D |
| 3 | Radu Drăguşin | D |
| 6 | Luca Ranieri | D |
| 33 | Viery | D |
| 27 | Cher Ndour | M |
| 44 | Nicolò Fagioli | M |
| 14 | Arthur Atta | M |
| 30 | Franco Mastantuono | F |
| 32 | Mateo Pellegrino | F |
| 25 | Alieu Njie | F |
Substitutes
| 53 | Oliver Christensen | G |
| 19 | Luca Lezzerini | G |
| 21 | Víctor Valdepeñas | D |
| 17 | João Mário | D |
| 5 | Marin Pongračić | D |
| 2 | Dodô | D |
| 72 | Brando Mazzeo | M |
| 42 | Christ Inao Oulaï | M |
| 4 | Marco Brescianini | M |
| 28 | Pedro Gonçalves | M |
| 29 | Wilfried Gnonto | F |
| 23 | Beto | F |