Sevilla vs Valencia Predicție

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 5
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Predicție AI Sevilla sau egal
46%
31%
23%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Sevilla vs Valencia: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 46% pentru victoria lui Sevilla, 23% pentru Valencia și 31% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 11 Sep 2026, 21:06.

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Match Report

Sevilla edged out Valencia 1–0 in a tight La Liga encounter, with the only goal arriving late to separate two evenly matched sides. The first half ended goalless despite Valencia enjoying the better of the early exchanges, and a 24th-minute injury forced an early substitution in the visitors' ranks.

Valencia dominated large portions of the second half, registering 13 total shots to Sevilla's three and earning six corners, yet they were unable to convert any of their four shots on target. The hosts absorbed the pressure effectively, and substitute Juan Iglesias broke the deadlock in the 81st minute with a decisive finish that proved to be the match-winner. A flurry of late changes from both sides could not alter the outcome, with Pablo Maffeo picking up a yellow card deep into stoppage time.

The result was a somewhat against-the-run-of-play victory for Sevilla, who claimed all three points despite being outshot heavily throughout. The pre-match AI model had rated a Sevilla win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved correct despite Valencia's statistical superiority on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 24'
César Tárrega ⇄ Iker Cordoba
▮ 27'
R. Sato Yellow Card
HT 0–0
⇄ 62'
Arnau Martínez ⇄ Pablo Maffeo
⇄ 62'
R. Sato ⇄ H. Elliott
Isaac Romero ⇄ Robbie Ure
63' ⇄
Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega ⇄ Chidera Ejuke
63' ⇄
Chidera Ejuke Yellow Card
67' ▮
Youssouf Fofana ⇄ Giorgi Kochorashvili
71' ⇄
Juan Iglesias assist: Giorgi Kochorashvili
81' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 83'
Javier Guerra ⇄ Hugo Duro
⇄ 83'
José Luis Gayà ⇄ Jesús Vázquez
Lucas Stassin ⇄ Jon Guridi
83' ⇄
Félix Correia ⇄ Julio Díaz
83' ⇄
▮ 88'
Pablo Maffeo Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Sevilla

Match Stats

Valencia
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Goal 0
5 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 1
5 Shots outsidebox 2
6 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
348 Total passes 428
277 Passes accurate 350
11 Free Kicks 8
Sevilla
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Kike Salas D 7.8 90' – – 2 42 (36%) 3
17 Gabriel Suazo D 7.8 90' – – – 34 (27%) 4
2 Juan Iglesias D 7.6 90' 1 – 1 41 (30%) 1
5 Andres Castrin D 7.4 90' – – 1 38 (33%) 2
8 Giorgi Kochorashvili M 7.2 19' – 1 1 8 (7%) –
24 Youssouf Fofana M 7.1 71' – – 3 29 (26%) 3
3 Julio Díaz D 7.1 7' – – – 1 –
1 Odysseas Vlachodimos G 6.9 90' – – – 11 (9%) –
18 Jon Guridi M 6.8 7' – – – 4 (3%) 1
20 Félix Correia M 6.6 83' – – – 26 (14%) –
6 Lucien Agoumé M 6.6 90' – – 2 45 (38%) 1
9 Robbie Ure F 6.5 27' – – – 5 (4%) –
19 Lucas Stassin F 6.4 83' – – 1 11 (7%) –
30 Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega M 6.4 63' – – 1 16 (14%) –
16 Isaac Romero F 6.3 63' – – 1 23 (19%) 2
21 Chidera Ejuke F 6.3 27' – – – 9 (8%) –
Valencia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 José Luis Gayà D 7.1 83' – – – 34 (30%) 5
36 Iker Cordoba D 7.0 66' – – – 37 (32%) –
5 César Tárrega D 6.9 24' – – – 21 (18%) 1
18 Pepelu D 6.7 90' – – – 62 (51%) 3
21 Jesús Vázquez D 6.7 7' – – – 6 (5%) 1
1 Stole Dimitrievski G 6.6 90' – – – 35 (27%) –
23 Filip Ugrinić M 6.6 90' – – – 39 (36%) 2
15 Aliou Dieng M 6.6 90' – – – 50 (44%) 7
8 Javier Guerra M 6.4 83' – – – 15 (10%) –
10 H. Elliott M 6.4 28' – – – 11 (8%) –
9 Hugo Duro F 6.3 7' – – – 1 (1%) –
27 David Otorbi M 6.3 90' – – 1 22 (16%) 1
24 Pablo Maffeo D 6.2 28' – – – 9 (7%) 1
22 Arnau Martínez D 6.1 62' – – 1 25 (16%) –
39 R. Sato M 6.1 62' – – – 27 (22%) –
7 Arnaut Danjuma F 6.0 90' – – – 24 (18%) –
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Deblochează analiza completă AI pentru Sevilla vs Valencia

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  • Tipuri de selecții alese de tine
Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

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Sevilla sau egal
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Sevilla
LWWDL
Valencia
LWLLL
Last 3 meetings Sevilla · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Sevilla will face Valencia in a La Liga clash, with both teams looking to secure crucial points early in the season. Sevilla's recent form shows a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per match on average in their last five outings, while Valencia has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.8 goals per game. Key players to watch include Sevilla's Youssef En-Nesyri, who can exploit defensive weaknesses, and Valencia's Hugo Duro, who will look to improve their scoring tally. Overall, this matchup could hinge on Sevilla's ability to maintain defensive solidity against Valencia's attacking attempts.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
46%
45%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
23%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Sevilla vs Valencia

0 Sevilla Wins
1 Draws
2 Valencia Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Sevilla 0 - 2 Valencia
07 Dec 2025 Valencia 1 - 1 Sevilla
11 Apr 2025 Valencia 1 - 0 Sevilla
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Sevilla — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Barcelona L 1 - 3
16 Sep A Deportivo La Coruna W 0 - 1
11 Sep H Valencia W 1 - 0
06 Sep A Espanyol D 1 - 1
29 Aug H Atletico Madrid L 1 - 3

Valencia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Real Sociedad L 2 - 3
15 Sep A Alaves W 0 - 1
11 Sep A Sevilla L 1 - 0
06 Sep H Barcelona L 0 - 5
30 Aug A Deportivo La Coruna L 3 - 1

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Valencia

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: David Pagou
1 Dimitrievski
14 Gayà
18 Pepelu
5 Tárrega
22 Martínez
39 Sato
23 Ugrinic
15 Dieng
27 Otorbi
8 Guerra
7 Danjuma

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. Dimitrievski G
22 Arnau Martínez D
5 César Tárrega D
18 Pepelu D
14 José Gayà D
27 David Otorbi M
15 A. Dieng M
23 F. Ugrinic M
39 R. Sato M
8 Javi Guerra M
7 A. Danjuma F

Substitutes

36 Iker Córdoba D
9 Hugo Duro F
38 Jaume Durá M
10 H. Elliott M
24 Pablo Maffeo D
33 Aaron Mayol M
29 Alex Panach D
19 Dani Raba F
21 Jesús Vázquez D
12 J. de Haas D
25 K. van Oevelen G
37 Aimar Blázquez F

Sevilla

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Luis García
1 Vlachodimos
17 Suazo
4 Salas
5 Castrín
2 Iglesias
20 Correia
24 Fofana
6 Agoumé
30 Sierra
16 Isaac
19 Stassin

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 O. Vlachodimos G
2 Juan Iglesias D
5 Andrés Castrín D
4 Kike Salas D
17 G. Suazo D
30 M. Sierra M
6 L. Agoumé M
24 Y. Fofana M
20 Félix Correia M
19 L. Stassin F
16 Isaac F

Substitutes

22 José Ángel Carmona D
14 Manu Bueno M
3 Julio Díaz del Romo D
21 C. Ejuke F
10 Peque Fernández F
7 Alfon González F
13 Fran González G
18 Jon Guridi M
8 G. Kochorashvili M
34 Iker Ortín Muñoz D
9 R. Ure F
23 Marcão D

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