Flamengo vs RB Bragantino Previsão

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

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Flamengo

Home

2 : 1

HT 1 - 0

RB Bragantino

Away

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro

Chamada de IA Flamengo para vencer ou empatar

71%

19%

10%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Flamengo x RB Bragantino: O Sportiko estima 71% de probabilidade de vitória para o Flamengo, 10% para o RB Bragantino e 19% de empate. Atualizado 20 Sep 2026, 23:33.

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1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Ayrton Lucas ⇄ Alex Sandro

5' ⇄

▮ 6'

Fernando Yellow Card

Guillermo Varela assist: Jorge Carrascal

13' ⚽ 1–0

Alex Sandro Yellow Card

37' ▮

⇄ 45'

Rodriguinho ⇄ Alix Vinicius

⇄ 45'

Isidro Pitta ⇄ Henry Mosquera

HT 1–0

Guillermo Varela Yellow Card

51' ▮

⇄ 58'

Vanderlan ⇄ José Herrera

Pedro assist: Jorginho

71' ⚽ 2–0

Jorge Carrascal ⇄ Luiz Araújo

72' ⇄

Pedro ⇄ Bruno Henrique

72' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Fabinho ⇄ Ignacio Sosa

⇄ 78'

Tiago Volpi ⇄ Cleiton

⚽ 2–1 86'

Bruno Henrique Own Goal

Bruno Henrique Yellow Card

89' ▮

Gonzalo Plata ⇄ Joaquin Freitas

90+2' ⇄

Giorgian de Arrascaeta ⇄ Nicolás de la Cruz

90+2' ⇄

▮ 90+6'

José Herrera Yellow Card

▮ 90+8'

Agustin Sant Anna Yellow Card

FT 2–1

Flamengo

Match Stats

RB Bragantino

66% Ball Possession 34%

11 Total Shots 15

6 Shots on Goal 5

4 Shots off Goal 4

1 Blocked Shots 6

9 Shots insidebox 7

2 Shots outsidebox 8

2 Corner Kicks 5

5 Offsides 0

9 Fouls 15

3 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

616 Total passes 304

538 Passes accurate 232

13 Free Kicks 8

Flamengo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Pedro F	8.1	72'	1	–	1	20 (15%)	–
21 Jorginho M	7.7	90'	–	1	1	92 (85%)	2
15 Jorge Carrascal M	7.6	72'	–	1	4	37 (32%)	2
1 Agustín Rossi G	7.6	90'	–	–	–	28 (20%)	–
2 Guillermo Varela D	7.5	90'	1	–	1	51 (48%)	–
4 Léo Pereira D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	71 (67%)	–
3 Léo Ortiz D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	81 (73%)	–
6 Ayrton Lucas D	6.8	5'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	1
26 Alex Sandro D	6.7	85'	–	–	–	57 (51%)	2
7 Luiz Araújo F	6.7	18'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	3
10 Giorgian de Arrascaeta M	6.6	92'	–	–	3	53 (42%)	2
8 Saúl Ñíguez M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	72 (64%)	1
19 Gonzalo Plata M	6.4	92'	–	–	1	38 (32%)	2
27 Bruno Henrique F	6.0	18'	–	–	–	7 (2%)	–

RB Bragantino

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
30 Henry Mosquera F	7.2	44'	–	–	1	13 (10%)	1
18 Tiago Volpi G	6.8	78'	–	–	–	18 (7%)	–
9 Isidro Pitta F	6.7	46'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
4 Alix Vinicius D	6.6	44'	–	–	1	27 (23%)	–
11 Fernando M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	19 (16%)	1
7 Eric Ramires M	6.4	90'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	1
32 José Herrera F	6.4	32'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	3
2 Guzmán Rodríguez D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	46 (38%)	1
12 Vanderlan D	6.2	58'	–	–	1	17 (15%)	1
16 Gustavo Marques D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	33 (26%)	–
21 Lucas Barbosa M	6.1	90'	–	–	2	14 (10%)	–
15 Ignacio Sosa M	6.1	13'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
20 Rodriguinho M	6.0	46'	–	–	2	17 (13%)	2
5 Fabinho M	5.8	77'	–	–	–	28 (21%)	1
1 Cleiton G	5.7	12'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
23 Agustin Sant Anna D	5.5	90'	–	–	4	21 (12%)	4

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Confidence High (71%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência

Flamengo para vencer ou empatar

Most likely score

2:0 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Flamengo

WDWWW

RB Bragantino

LDLLW

Last 3 meetings Flamengo · 2W 0D 1L

Live insights

87' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Flamengo win probability: 95.5%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 12.3%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Flamengo leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.4%. Comeback chance: 0.6%.

72' Goal 85% sure

Flamengo now leads 2-0 with 99.2% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 47.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Flamengo leads. Win probability: 88.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 79.1%.

15' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Flamengo win: 89.6%. BTTS: 49.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

71%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

RB Bragantino goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	5	2	1
1	9	9	3	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	10	8	3	1
4	6	5	2	1
5	3	2	1

↑ Flamengo goals · most likely 2–0 (11.9%)

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Players in form

Flamengo

Pedro 16 gls

Samuel Lino 9 gls

RB Bragantino

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

19%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

19%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

88% Home (No Draw) 12% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

49% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

71% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

22%

23%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	2.2%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
1	8.7%	9.0%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
2	11.9%	9.7%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	9.7%	7.9%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
4	5.9%	4.8%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

16%

25%

28%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Flamengo	Draw	RB Bragantino
Flamengo	45.9%	2.8%	0.8%
Draw	23.5%	11.3%	4.2%
RB Bragantino	3.4%	3.1%	5.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

20%

Home Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Flamengo vs RB Bragantino

2 Flamengo Wins

0 Draws

1 RB Bragantino Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Apr 2026	RB Bragantino	3 - 0	Flamengo
22 Nov 2025	Flamengo	3 - 0	RB Bragantino
23 Jul 2025	RB Bragantino	1 - 2	Flamengo

Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Flamengo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H RB Bragantino	W	2 - 1
18 Sep	H Independiente del Valle	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Corinthians	W	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Independiente del Valle	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Remo	W	0 - 1

RB Bragantino — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Botafogo	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Bahia	L	2 - 3
29 Aug	A Sao Paulo	L	2 - 1
23 Aug	H Gremio	W	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Flamengo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Leonardo Jardim

1 Rossi

6 Lucas

4 Pereira

3 Ortiz

2 Varela

8 Saúl

21 Jorginho

15 Carrascal

10 Arrascaeta

19 Plata

9 Pedro

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Rossi	G
2	G. Varela	D
3	Léo Ortiz	D
4	Léo Pereira	D
6	Ayrton Lucas	D
21	Jorginho	M
8	Saúl	M
19	G. Plata	M
10	G. de Arrascaeta	M
15	J. Carrascal	M
9	Pedro	F

Substitutes

79	Caio Andrade	M
30	J. Freitas	F
22	Emerson Royal	D
26	Alex Sandro	D
27	Bruno Henrique	F
14	A. Valencia	F
44	Vitão	D
42	Andrew	G
13	Danilo	D
7	Luiz Araújo	F
18	N. de la Cruz	M
49	Dyogo	G

RB Bragantino

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

18 Volpi

12 Vanderlan

2 Rodríguez

16 Marques

23 Sant'Anna

5 Fabinho

7 Ramires

11 Fernando

20 Rodriguinho

21 Barbosa

9 Pitta

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	Tiago Volpi	G
23	A. Sant'Anna	D
16	Gustavo Marques	D
2	Guzmán Rodríguez	D
12	Vanderlan	D
7	Eric Ramires	M
5	Fabinho	M
21	Lucas Barbosa	M
20	Rodriguinho	M
11	Fernando	M
9	I. Pitta	F

Substitutes

8	Eduardo Sasha	F
35	Matheus Fernandes	M
6	Gabriel	M
3	Eduardo Santos	D
19	Bruninho	F
32	J. Herrera	F
34	J. Hurtado	D
30	Henry Mosquera	F
51	Cauê Nascimento Santos	D
1	Cleiton	G
15	I. Sosa	M
4	Alix	D