Atletico-MG vs Bahia Previsão

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

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Bahia

Away

Chamada de IA Muito equilibrado para definir

26%

38%

36%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Atletico-MG x Bahia: O Sportiko estima 26% de probabilidade de vitória para o Atletico-MG, 36% para o Bahia e 38% de empate. Atualizado 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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1st Half Home or Draw 75%

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Timeline

45+1' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Santiago Ramos Mingo ⇄ Marcos Victor

⚽ 1–1 57'

Ademir assist: Rodrigo Nestor

67' ⇄

⇄ 73'

Ademir ⇄ Everton Ribeiro

⇄ 73'

Willian José

▮ 77'

José Guilherme Yellow Card

⇄ 80'

José Guilherme ⇄ Iago Borduchi

86' ⇄

▮ 87'

Erick Yellow Card

⇄ 87'

Erick Pulga ⇄ Kauê Furquim

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência

Muito equilibrado para definir

Most likely score

0:0 · 21.3%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

22%

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Atletico-MG

DWLLW

Bahia

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings Atletico-MG · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Atletico-MG will face Bahia in their Serie A clash, where both teams will look to secure crucial points. Atletico-MG has been strong offensively, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Bahia has struggled on the road, conceding an average of 1.5 goals away from home. The matchup will also highlight Atletico-MG's solid defensive record, allowing only 0.9 goals per game. With both teams aiming to improve their standings, tactical discipline and set-piece execution will likely play pivotal roles in determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bahia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	21	16	8	2	1
1	13	15	6	2
2	5	5	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Atletico-MG goals · most likely 0–0 (21.3%)

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Players in form

Atletico-MG

No scorer data.

Bahia

Luciano Juba 9 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Draw

38%

Away Win

36%

Home Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

98%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Match Result

Draw

38%

Away Win

36%

Home Win

26%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

13% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Equal Goals 36% Away Scores More 26% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

98%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

55% Even Total Goals 45% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	21.3%	16.0%	7.9%	2.4%	0.5%
1	12.6%	14.6%	5.8%	1.7%	0.4%
2	5.2%	4.7%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
3	1.3%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%
4	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

49%

34%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

42%

34%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atletico-MG	Draw	Bahia
Atletico-MG	14.5%	3.5%	1.0%
Draw	11.8%	28.9%	15.3%
Bahia	0.8%	3.6%	20.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atletico-MG vs Bahia

1 Atletico-MG Wins

0 Draws

2 Bahia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Nov 2025	Atletico-MG	3 - 0	Bahia
12 Jul 2025	Bahia	2 - 1	Atletico-MG
15 Sep 2024	Bahia	3 - 0	Atletico-MG

Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Atletico-MG — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Chapecoense-sc	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Fluminense	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	A Santos	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Sao Paulo	L	2 - 0
02 Sep	H Cruzeiro	W	2 - 1

Bahia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Paranaense	L	2 - 1
14 Sep	H Remo	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A RB Bragantino	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Internacional	W	3 - 2
23 Aug	A Vitoria	W	0 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Bahia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ceni Rogerio

1 Ronaldo

66 Guilherme

21 Mingo

33 Duarte

31 Gómez

11 Nestor

5 Acevedo

14 Erick

16 Pulga

12 José

7 Ademir

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ronaldo	G
31	Román Gómez	D
33	David Duarte	D
21	Santiago Ramos Mingo	D
66	José Guilherme	D
14	Erick	M
5	Nicolás Acevedo	M
11	Rodrigo Nestor	M
7	Ademir	F
12	Willian José	F
16	Erick Pulga	F

Substitutes

17	Guido Herrera	G
44	Marcos Victor	D
25	Iago Borduchi	D
4	Kanu	D
77	Ruan Pablo	F
63	David Martins	M
15	Michel Araújo	M
23	Mateo Sanabria	F
57	Kauê Furquim	M
6	Jean Lucas	M
10	Everton Ribeiro	M
27	Everaldo	F

Atletico-MG

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Eduardo Dominguez

22 Everson

6 Lodi

4 Ruan

13 Lyanco

2 Natanael

30 Hugo

25 Pérez

8 Maycon

28 Cuello

9 Cassierra

11 Bernard

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Everson	G
2	Natanael	D
13	Lyanco	D
4	Ruan	D
6	Renan Lodi	D
8	Maycon	M
25	Tomás Pérez	M
30	Victor Hugo	M
11	Bernard	F
9	Mateo Cassierra	F
28	Tomás Cuello	F

Substitutes

1	Gabriel Delfim	G
14	Vitor Hugo	D
36	Kauã Pascini	D
39	Mamady Cissé	M
48	João Pedro Porto Lucrécio "Gutte"	M
5	Alexsander	M
19	Reinier	M
17	Igor Gomes	M
29	Cauã Campos Soares	F
92	Dudu	F