CF Pachuca vs Toluca Previsão

Liga MX · Apertura - 17

21 Nov 2026, 23:00

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Toluca

Away

Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do CF Pachuca

57%

28%

15%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite CF Pachuca x Toluca: O Sportiko estima 57% de probabilidade de vitória para o CF Pachuca, 15% para o Toluca e 28% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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71%

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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CF Pachuca

DWWDD

Toluca

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings CF Pachuca · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the Liga MX matchup between CF Pachuca and Toluca, both teams will look to secure crucial points. Pachuca has been effective at home, leveraging their attacking prowess with a solid strike rate this season. Toluca, however, has shown resilience and can exploit defensive lapses, making them a formidable opponent. The match will hinge on Pachuca's ability to control possession and create goal-scoring opportunities while Toluca will aim for swift counterattacks to capitalize on any defensive errors. Expect a competitive encounter as both teams vie for playoff positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Toluca goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	3	1
1	14	13	4	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ CF Pachuca goals · most likely 1–0 (14.3%)

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Players in form

CF Pachuca

S. Rondón 10 gls

Toluca

F. Viñas 4 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

28%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

28%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	5.6%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
1	14.3%	12.8%	4.1%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.7%	9.1%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%
3	6.8%	4.9%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.7%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CF Pachuca	Draw	Toluca
CF Pachuca	34.8%	3.2%	0.7%
Draw	21.3%	18.8%	6.4%
Toluca	2.3%	3.8%	8.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: CF Pachuca vs Toluca

2 CF Pachuca Wins

1 Draws

0 Toluca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	CF Pachuca	2 - 0	Toluca
04 May 2026	Toluca	0 - 1	CF Pachuca
22 Mar 2026	CF Pachuca	1 - 1	Toluca

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CF Pachuca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Club Tijuana	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Atlante FC	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	A FC Juarez	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Guadalajara Chivas	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Atletico San Luis	D	1 - 1

Toluca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Santos Laguna	L	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Puebla	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Atlas	W	5 - 2
07 Sep	H Monterrey	W	2 - 0
03 Sep	H Leon	W	2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.