Arouca vs Moreirense Previsão

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Chamada de IA Arouca ou empate
46%
29%
25%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Arouca x Moreirense: O Sportiko estima 46% de probabilidade de vitória para o Arouca, 25% para o Moreirense e 29% de empate. Atualizado 16 Aug 2026, 18:58.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
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Timeline

▮ 13'
Maracás Yellow Card
Javi Sánchez Yellow Card
16' ▮
Maracás Own Goal
23' ⚽ 1–0
Jose Fontán assist: Hyun-ju Lee
30' ⚽ 2–0
Ivan Barbero Yellow Card
41' ▮
▮ 44'
Kiko Yellow Card
Ivan Barbero assist: Naïs Djouahra
45+1' ⚽ 3–0
HT 3–0
⇄ 46'
Afonso Vieira ⇄ João Veloso
⇄ 46'
⇄ Dinis Pinto
▮ 55'
Nile John Yellow Card
Ivan Barbero ⇄ Dylan Nandín
59' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Landerson ⇄ Kiko Bondoso
▮ 65'
Leandro Santos Yellow Card
Hyun-ju Lee ⇄ Brian Mansilla
72' ⇄
Alfonso Trezza ⇄ Pablo Gozálbez
72' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Rodrigo Alonso ⇄ Mateja Stjepanović
Dylan Nandín Yellow Card
75' ▮
Taichi Fukui ⇄ Pedro Santos
79' ⇄
Espen Van Ee ⇄ Mateo Flores
80' ⇄
⇄ 84'
Leandro Santos ⇄ Michael Dacosta Gonzalez
Dylan Nandín assist: Naïs Djouahra
90+1' ⚽ 4–0
FT 4–0
Arouca

Match Stats

Moreirense
51% Ball Possession 49%
1.50 Expected Goals (xG) 0.49
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 2
5 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
487 Total passes 472
418 Passes accurate 402
86% Passes % 85%
-1.84 goals_prevented -1.84
Arouca
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Jose Fontán D 8.0 90' 1 – 2 90 (81%) 1
7 Naïs Djouahra M 7.7 90' – 1 1 35 (30%) –
10 Pablo Gozálbez M 7.3 18' – – – 3 (1%) –
8 Taichi Fukui M 7.2 79' – – 3 63 (59%) –
28 Tiago Esgaio D 7.0 90' – – – 38 (29%) –
18 Orest Lebedenko D 7.0 90' – – – 45 (38%) 1
12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 6.9 90' – – – 43 (33%) –
15 Javi Sánchez D 6.9 90' – – – 73 (71%) –
6 Espen Van Ee M 6.9 80' – – – 35 (29%) 1
17 Ivan Barbero F 6.9 59' 1 – 2 11 (9%) 1
14 Hyun-ju Lee M 6.7 72' – 1 1 21 (17%) 2
89 Pedro Santos M 6.6 11' – – – 4 (4%) 2
19 Alfonso Trezza M 6.6 72' – – 1 16 (12%) –
24 Brian Mansilla F 6.5 18' – – – 1 (1%) –
21 Mateo Flores M 6.5 10' – – – 6 (3%) –
23 Dylan Nandín F 5.3 31' – – – 3 (1%) –
Moreirense
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
66 Gilberto Batista D 7.2 90' – – – 86 (75%) –
10 Kiko Bondoso F 6.7 27' – – – 15 (15%) –
23 Nile John M 6.7 90' – – 1 39 (35%) 1
8 Mateja Stjepanović M 6.7 18' – – – 9 (7%) 1
76 Dinis Pinto D 6.7 45' – – – 20 (14%) –
20 João Veloso M 6.6 45' – – 1 28 (25%) –
21 Rodrigo Alonso M 6.3 72' – – – 42 (39%) 1
65 Guilherme Liberato M 6.3 45' – – – 32 (26%) 1
13 André Ferreira G 6.2 90' – – – 28 (25%) –
11 Landerson M 6.2 63' – – – 14 (12%) –
2 Leandro Santos D 6.2 85' – – – 30 (24%) –
89 Afonso Vieira M 6.0 45' – – – 6 (5%) –
9 Alexandre Parsemain F 6.0 90' – – 2 8 (1%) –
27 Kiko D 5.6 90' – – – 31 (26%) 1
26 Maracás D 5.3 90' – – – 83 (72%) –
44 Michael Dacosta Gonzalez F — 5' – – – 1 (1%) –
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Arouca ou empate
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Arouca
DLDWL
Moreirense
DWLLW
Last 3 meetings Arouca · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Arouca faces Moreirense in a Primeira Liga clash. Arouca has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while Moreirense struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game this season. Both teams have similar possession stats, hovering around 50%, but Arouca holds a slight edge in passing accuracy at 82%. Key for Arouca will be capitalizing on set pieces, as Moreirense has been vulnerable in that area. Expect a competitive match with Arouca likely looking to maintain their home form.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
46%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
25%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Arouca
Barbero 4 gls
Moreirense

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Arouca vs Moreirense

2 Arouca Wins
0 Draws
1 Moreirense Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca
02 Nov 2025 Arouca 0 - 2 Moreirense
24 Jan 2025 Arouca 1 - 0 Moreirense
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Arouca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Sporting CP D 2 - 2
13 Sep H Santa Clara L 1 - 2
07 Sep A Estoril D 0 - 0
29 Aug H Maritimo W 2 - 1
23 Aug A FC Porto L 2 - 0

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Vitória SC D 1 - 1
14 Sep H Maritimo W 3 - 1
09 Sep H Benfica L 0 - 4
04 Sep A FC Porto L 2 - 1
30 Aug A Casa Pia W 0 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Moreirense

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vasco Costa
13 Ferreira
27 Kiko
26 Maracás
66 Batista
2 Santos
65 Liberato
23 John
11 Landerson
21 Alonso
89 Vieira
9 Parsemain

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 André Ferreira G
2 Leandro Santos D
66 Gilberto Batista D
26 Maracás D
27 Kiko D
23 Nile John M
65 Guilherme Liberato M
89 Afonso Vieira M
21 Rodrigo Alonso M
11 Landerson M
9 Alexandre Parsemain F

Substitutes

76 Dinis Pinto D
20 João Veloso M
10 Kiko Bondoso F
1 Aranha G
4 Kevyn Monteiro D
17 Álvaro Martínez D
8 Mateja Stjepanović M
90 Rodrigo Soares F
44 Michael Dacosta Gonzalez F

Arouca

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vasco Seabra
12 Arruabarrena
18 Lebedenko
3 Fontán
15 Sánchez
28 Esgaio
8 Fukui
6 Ee
7 Djouahra
14 Lee
19 Trezza
17 Barbero

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G
28 Tiago Esgaio D
15 Javi Sánchez D
3 Jose Fontán D
18 Orest Lebedenko D
6 Espen Van Ee M
8 Taichi Fukui M
19 Alfonso Trezza M
14 Hyun-ju Lee M
7 Naïs Djouahra M
17 Ivan Barbero F

Substitutes

23 Dylan Nandín F
1 Jakub Vinarčík G
71 Martim Duarte G
5 Boris Popović D
37 Mario Climent D
10 Pablo Gozálbez M
89 Pedro Santos M
21 Mateo Flores M
24 Brian Mansilla F
9 Fally Mayulu F
77 Si-hoo Park F
97 Costinha F

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