Newcastle vs Bournemouth Previsão

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Chamada de IA Newcastle ou empate
45%
26%
29%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Newcastle x Bournemouth: O Sportiko estima 45% de probabilidade de vitória para o Newcastle, 29% para o Bournemouth e 26% de empate. Atualizado 5 Sep 2026, 13:26.

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  • Visitante Marca 75%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
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Match Report

Newcastle came from behind to claim a 2–2 draw with Bournemouth in a lively Premier League encounter at St. James' Park. Bournemouth made a bright start, with Marcus Tavernier opening the scoring in the ninth minute before a Malick Thiaw own goal put the visitors 2–0 up heading into the break. Newcastle halved the deficit almost immediately through Harvey Barnes in the 37th minute, giving the hosts a foothold heading into the interval.

The second half saw Newcastle dominate possession at 57% but struggle to convert, managing only two shots on target compared to Bournemouth's five. A flurry of substitutions and yellow cards disrupted the flow, with both sides picking up multiple bookings across the ninety minutes. Jacob Ramsey's late equaliser in the 88th minute rescued a point for Newcastle and ensured the spoils were shared.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Newcastle win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that reflected the home side's underlying pressure even if the result fell short of a victory. The draw leaves both clubs with points on the board after an entertaining afternoon.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

0–1 9'
Marcus Tavernier
Anthony Elanga Yellow Card
28'
0–2 35'
Malick Thiaw Own Goal
Harvey Barnes assist: Lewis Hall
37' 1–2
HT 1–2
Yoane Wissa Yellow Card
57'
Joe Willock ⇄ Matías Fernández-Pardo
63'
Lewis Miley ⇄ Jacob Ramsey
63'
66'
J. Kluivert Yellow Card
Yellow Card
71'
76'
Tyler Adams ⇄ Lewis Cook
76'
J. Kluivert ⇄ David Brooks
Nico González ⇄ Sean Steur
77'
Anthony Elanga ⇄ Jacob Murphy
78'
87'
Adrien Truffert Yellow Card
Jacob Ramsey
88' 2–2
89'
Marcus Tavernier ⇄ Daniel Jebbison
89'
Rayan ⇄ Ben Gannon-Doak
Lewis Hall ⇄ Valentino Livramento
90'
90+4'
Adam Smith Yellow Card
90+6'
Alex Scott ⇄ Ryan Christie
FT 2–2
Newcastle

Match Stats

Bournemouth
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 7
5 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 1
19 Fouls 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
442 Total passes 327
360 Passes accurate 252
17 Free Kicks 19
Newcastle
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
41 Jacob Ramsey M 7.5 27' 1 1 16 (13%)
11 Harvey Barnes M 7.3 90' 1 2 20 (16%)
4 Sven Botman D 6.9 90' 68 (59%) 1
21 Lukáš Horníček G 6.7 90' 37 (24%)
3 Lewis Hall D 6.7 90' 1 1 48 (41%) 1
20 Matías Fernández-Pardo F 6.5 27' 7 (5%)
19 Anthony Elanga M 6.4 78' 13 (8%) 2
9 Yoane Wissa F 6.3 90' 22 (17%)
37 Amar Dedić D 6.2 90' 1 39 (31%)
6 Nico González M 6.2 77' 48 (40%)
28 Joe Willock M 6.1 63' 2 18 (16%) 1
14 Sean Steur M 6.0 13' 11 (10%)
23 Jacob Murphy M 6.0 12' 2 (2%)
67 Lewis Miley M 5.9 63' 30 (24%)
12 Malick Thiaw D 5.8 90' 59 (51%)
Bournemouth
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Marcus Tavernier M 8.2 89' 1 5 31 (27%) 1
14 António Silva D 6.9 90' 1 41 (35%) 1
11 Ben Gannon-Doak F 6.6 1' 1 2 (2%) 1
9 Evanilson F 6.5 90' 3 20 (16%)
29 Daniel Jebbison F 6.5 1' 1
19 J. Kluivert M 6.4 76' 2 9 (7%) 1
8 Alex Scott M 6.3 90' 2 41 (32%)
12 Tyler Adams M 6.2 76' 38 (31%) 3
5 James Hill D 6.2 90' 44 (32%)
37 Rayan M 6.1 89' 1 13 (6%) 1
7 David Brooks M 6.0 14' 1
4 Lewis Cook M 6.0 14' 4 (3%)
1 Đorđe Petrović G 5.9 90' 30 (19%)
15 Adam Smith D 5.8 90' 1 20 (15%) 1
3 Adrien Truffert D 5.7 90' 1 30 (26%) 3
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Newcastle ou empate
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Newcastle
WLWDW
Bournemouth
LWDWD
Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Newcastle will face Bournemouth at home. Newcastle has demonstrated a solid defensive record, conceding an average of just 1.1 goals per match this season, alongside a strong attacking output with an average of 1.9 goals scored per game. Bournemouth, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, allowing 2.2 goals per match, which could be a significant factor. Newcastle's home form is particularly robust, suggesting they will capitalize on their scoring opportunities. This match could hinge on Newcastle's ability to convert chances and maintain defensive stability against Bournemouth's attack.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
29%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Newcastle
J. Willock 2 gls
Bournemouth
M. Tavernier 3 gls

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Head to Head: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

0 Newcastle Wins
1 Draws
2 Bournemouth Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Apr 2026 Newcastle 1 - 2 Bournemouth
21 Sep 2025 Bournemouth 0 - 0 Newcastle
18 Jan 2025 Newcastle 1 - 4 Bournemouth
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Hull City W 2 - 1
14 Sep A Leeds L 4 - 1
08 Sep A Millwall W 0 - 1
05 Sep H Bournemouth D 2 - 2
29 Aug A Tottenham W 0 - 2

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Liverpool L 0 - 1
17 Sep A Real Sociedad W 1 - 2
12 Sep H Brentford D 2 - 2
08 Sep H Lincoln W 4 - 0
05 Sep A Newcastle D 2 - 2

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Newcastle

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
21 Horníček
3 Hall
4 Botman
12 Thiaw
37 Dedić
67 Miley
6 González
11 Barnes
28 Willock
19 Elanga
9 Wissa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 L. Horníček G
37 A. Dedić D
12 M. Thiaw D
4 S. Botman D
3 L. Hall D
6 Nico González M
67 L. Miley M
19 A. Elanga M
28 J. Willock M
11 H. Barnes M
9 Y. Wissa F

Substitutes

20 M. Fernandez-Pardo F
23 J. Murphy M
1 N. Pope G
2 T. Livramento D
5 F. Schär D
8 A. Bamba M
14 Sean Steur M
17 B. Touré F
41 J. Ramsey M

Bournemouth

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Rose
1 Petrović
3 Truffert
14 Silva
5 Hill
15 Smith
8 Scott
12 Adams
16 Tavernier
19 Kluivert
37 Rayan
9 Evanilson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Đ. Petrović G
15 A. Smith D
5 J. Hill D
14 António Silva D
3 A. Truffert D
12 T. Adams M
8 A. Scott M
37 Rayan M
19 J. Kluivert M
16 M. Tavernier M
9 Evanilson F

Substitutes

24 Juanlu Sánchez M
11 B. Doak F
10 R. Christie M
7 D. Brooks M
18 B. Diakité D
6 J. Soler D
20 M. Di Gregorio G
29 D. Jebbison F
4 L. Cook M

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