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Australia vs Egypt Prediction

World Cup World Cup · Round of 32
FT
Post on X
Australia

Australia

Home
1 : 1
HT 0 - 1
Egypt

Egypt

Away
Chamada de IA Muito equilibrado para definir
35%
36%
30%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Australia vs Egypt prediction: Sportiko gives Australia a 35% chance of winning, Egypt 30% and the draw 36%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 75%
  • Menos de 2,5 Gols 71%
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Match Report

Egypt took the lead early when Emam Ashour struck in the 13th minute, and the Pharaohs carried that advantage into half-time despite Australia enjoying only 42% of the ball. Egypt's superior expected goals figure of 1.36 to 0.87 reflected their more clinical approach in the opening period, with four shots on target to Australia's one.

The Socceroos levelled almost immediately after the restart when Mohamed Hany turned the ball into his own net in the 55th minute, transforming the contest. Both sides made extensive use of their substitutes as the match stretched into extra time, with Egypt's Omar Marmoush introduced in the 106th minute and Australia making late changes in search of a winner. Yellow cards for Haissem Hassan and Yasser Ibrahim in the closing stages of extra time underlined the tension, but neither side could find a decisive goal.

The match finished 1–1 after 120 minutes, sending the tie to further resolution. Our pre-match AI model had rated a draw as the most likely outcome at 36%, a call that ultimately proved unsettled by the manner in which the game unfolded.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 13'
Emam Ashour assist: Karim Hafez
HT 0–1
Jordan Bos ⇄ Kai Trewin
46' ⇄
Mohamed Hany Own Goal
55' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 67'
Mostafa Ziko ⇄ Haissem Hassan
⇄ 67'
Hamdy Fathy ⇄ Hossam Abdelmaguid
Cristian Volpato ⇄ Ajdin Hrustić
74' ⇄
Nestory Irankunda ⇄ Mohamed Touré
74' ⇄
⇄ 80'
Karim Hafez ⇄ Mahmoud Trézéguet
Connor Metcalfe ⇄ Awer Mabil
91' ⇄
Aiden O'Neill ⇄ Paul Okon-Engstler
91' ⇄
▮ 105'
Haissem Hassan Yellow Card
⇄ 106'
Omar Marmoush ⇄ Hamza Abdelkarim
Patrick Beach ⇄ Mathew Ryan
119' ⇄
▮ 120'
Yasser Ibrahim Yellow Card
⇄ 120+1'
Marwan Attia ⇄ Mahmoud Saber
FT 1–1
Australia

Match Stats

Egypt
42% Ball Possession 58%
0.87 Expected Goals (xG) 1.36
16 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 4
9 Blocked Shots 6
10 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Corner Kicks 7
0 Offsides 3
12 Fouls 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
507 Total passes 723
404 Passes accurate 614
80% Passes % 85%
-0.90 goals_prevented -0.90
Australia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Harry Souttar D 7.7 120' – – – 67 (56%) –
22 Jackson Irvine M 7.7 120' – – – 57 (49%) 1
3 Alessandro Circati D 7.3 120' – – – 71 (56%) 2
13 Aiden O'Neill M 7.3 90' – – 1 51 (42%) –
20 Cristian Volpato F 7.3 74' – – 2 24 (20%) 1
18 Patrick Beach G 6.9 119' – – – 28 (17%) –
24 Paul Okon-Engstler M 6.9 30' – – – 15 (13%) 1
17 Nestory Irankunda F 6.9 74' – – 1 15 (11%) –
10 Ajdin Hrustić M 6.9 46' – – – 18 (15%) –
16 Aziz Behich M 6.7 120' – – 1 34 (23%) 3
11 Awer Mabil M 6.6 30' – – – 9 (5%) –
25 Lucas Herrington D 6.5 120' – – – 52 (45%) –
5 Jordan Bos M 6.3 45' – – – 11 (8%) 1
8 Connor Metcalfe F 6.3 90' – – – 23 (20%) 1
9 Mohamed Touré F 6.3 46' – – 2 4 (1%) –
15 Kai Trewin D 6.3 75' – – – 28 (23%) –
1 Mathew Ryan G — 1' – – – – –
Egypt
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Marwan Attia M 7.9 119' – – 1 117 (96%) 3
8 Emam Ashour M 7.9 120' 1 – 3 75 (68%) –
15 Karim Hafez D 7.2 80' – 1 – 48 (43%) 3
12 Haissem Hassan F 7.2 53' – – – 28 (24%) –
23 Mostafa Shobeir G 7.0 120' – – – 32 (27%) –
14 Hamdy Fathy M 6.9 67' – – – 47 (43%) 1
10 Mohamed Salah F 6.9 120' – – 2 39 (29%) –
5 Rami Rabia D 6.9 120' – – 1 83 (70%) 1
2 Yasser Ibrahim D 6.7 120' – – – 76 (68%) 1
4 Hossam Abdelmaguid D 6.6 53' – – – 34 (27%) 2
9 Hamza Abdelkarim F 6.5 15' – – – 4 (2%) –
11 Mostafa Ziko F 6.3 67' – – – 13 (9%) 3
22 Omar Marmoush M 6.3 105' – – 1 25 (20%) 1
7 Mahmoud Trézéguet F 6.2 40' – – – 26 (21%) –
3 Mohamed Hany D 6.0 120' – – – 76 (67%) 1
21 Mahmoud Saber M — 1' – – – – –
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Muito equilibrado para definir
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Australia
DDLWL
Egypt
LDDWD

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match, Australia will face Egypt in a neutral venue. Australia boasts a strong defensive record, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, while Egypt has shown a potent attack, scoring 10 goals in their previous 5 fixtures. The key for Australia will be to neutralize Egypt's dynamic forwards, particularly Mohamed Salah, who remains a significant threat. Meanwhile, Egypt will need to be wary of Australia's pace on the counter-attack. This clash promises to be a tactical battle as both teams seek to secure vital points in their World Cup campaign.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
35%
45%
Draw
36%
45%
Away
30%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Australia vs Egypt

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Australia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Jul H Egypt D 1 - 1
26 Jun A Paraguay D 0 - 0
19 Jun A USA L 2 - 0
14 Jun H Türkiye W 2 - 0
31 May A Mexico L 1 - 0

Egypt — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Jul A Argentina L 3 - 2
03 Jul A Australia D 1 - 1
27 Jun H Iran D 1 - 1
22 Jun A New Zealand W 1 - 3
15 Jun A Belgium D 1 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mexico
3 3 0 0 +6 9
2
South Africa
3 1 1 1 -1 4
4
Czechia
3 0 1 2 -4 1

Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Switzerland
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Canada
3 1 1 1 +5 4
4
Qatar
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Brazil
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Morocco
3 2 1 0 +3 7
4
Haiti
3 0 0 3 -6 0

Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
USA
3 2 0 1 +4 6
2
Australia
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Türkiye
3 1 0 2 -2 3

Group E

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Germany
3 2 0 1 +6 6
2
Ivory Coast
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Curaçao
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group F

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Netherlands
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Japan
3 1 2 0 +4 5
4
Tunisia
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Group G

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Belgium
3 1 2 0 +4 5
2
Egypt
3 1 2 0 +2 5
4
New Zealand
3 0 1 2 -6 1

Group H

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Spain
3 2 1 0 +5 7
2
Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3 0 0 3
4
Saudi Arabia
3 0 2 1 -4 2

Group I

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
France
3 3 0 0 +8 9
2
Norway
3 2 0 1 +1 6
4
Iraq
3 0 0 3 -11 0

Group J

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentina
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Austria
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Jordan
3 0 0 3 -5 0

Group K

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Colombia
3 2 1 0 +3 7
2
Portugal
3 1 2 0 +5 5
4
Uzbekistan
3 0 0 3 -9 0

Group L

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
England
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Croatia
3 2 0 1 0 6
4
Panama
3 0 0 3 -4 0

Group Stage

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Congo DR
3 1 1 1 +1 4
2
Sweden
3 1 1 1 0 4
3
Ghana
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Ecuador
3 1 1 1 0 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 1 1 -1 4
6
Algeria
3 1 1 1 -2 4
7
Paraguay
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Senegal
3 1 0 2 +2 3
9
Iran
3 0 3 0 0 3
10
South Korea
3 1 0 2 -1 3
11
Scotland
3 1 0 2 -3 3
12
Uruguay
3 0 2 1 -1 2

Australia

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Tony Popovic
18 Beach
25 Herrington
19 Souttar
3 Circati
16 Behich
13 O'Neill
22 Irvine
5 Bos
8 Metcalfe
20 Volpato
17 Irankunda

Starting XI

# Player Pos
18 P. Beach G
3 A. Circati D
19 H. Souttar D
25 L. Herrington D
5 J. Bos M
22 J. Irvine M
13 A. O'Neill M
16 A. Behich M
20 C. Volpato F
8 C. Metcalfe F
17 N. Irankunda F

Substitutes

1 M. Ryan G
12 P. Izzo G
6 J. Geria D
11 A. Mabil M
21 C. Burgess D
10 A. Hrustic M
15 K. Trewin D
9 M. Toure F
24 P. Okon-Engstler M
2 M. Degenek D
14 C. Devlin M
26 T. Yengi F
23 N. Velupillay F

Egypt

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Hossam Hassan
23 Shobeir
15 Hafez
5 Rabia
2 Ibrahim
3 Hany
22 Marmoush
19 Attia
14 Fathy
8 Ashour
11 Ziko
10 Salah

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 M. Shobeir G
3 M. Hany D
2 Y. Ibrahim D
5 R. Rabia D
15 K. Hafez D
8 E. Ashour M
14 H. Fathy M
19 M. Attia M
22 O. Marmoush M
10 M. Salah F
11 M. Ziko F

Substitutes

26 M. Alaa -
1 M. El Shenawy G
16 E. M. Soliman G
7 Trezeguet F
20 I. Adel F
21 M. Saber M
24 T. Alaa D
9 H. Abdelkarim F
25 Zizo F
18 N. Dunga M
12 H. Hassan F
4 H. Abdelmaguid D

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