Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Prognoza

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 35
FT
Post on X
Stamford Bridge, London
Typowanie AI Chelsea lub remis
37%
28%
35%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Chelsea na 37%, Nottingham Forest na 35%, a remisu na 28%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Chelsea suffered a damaging home defeat as Nottingham Forest produced a ruthless counter-attacking display at Stamford Bridge. Taiwo Awoniyi struck inside two minutes to give Forest an immediate advantage, and a VAR-confirmed penalty converted by Igor Jesus shortly after extended the lead to 2–0 before half-time. Chelsea's afternoon was further complicated by yellow cards for Morato and Malo Gusto in quick succession during that chaotic opening spell.

Despite a flurry of substitutions from both sides at the interval, Forest continued to punish Chelsea on the break. Awoniyi added his second of the match just after the hour mark, putting the result beyond doubt. Chelsea's hopes of a comeback were dealt a further blow when a João Pedro goal was ruled out by VAR in the 75th minute, though the Brazilian did find the net in stoppage time to give the scoreline a marginally more respectable look for the hosts.

The statistics told a story of dominance without reward for Chelsea, who controlled 67% of possession and registered 21 total shots compared to Forest's six. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Chelsea win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Forest claimed a commanding three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 2'
Taiwo Awoniyi assist: Dilane Bakwa
▮ 10'
Morato Yellow Card
🖵 13'
Taiwo Awoniyi Penalty confirmed
Malo Gusto Yellow Card
14' ▮
⚽ 0–2 15'
Igor Jesus Penalty
⇄ 45+5'
⇄ Neco Williams
Jesse Derry ⇄ Liam Delap
45+9' ⇄
HT 0–2
Tosin Adarabioyo
46' ⇄
⇄ 46'
Jair ⇄ Nikola Milenković
⇄ 46'
Igor Jesus ⇄ Morgan Gibbs-White
⇄ 46'
Nicolás Domínguez ⇄ Elliot Anderson
⚽ 0–3 52'
Taiwo Awoniyi assist: Morgan Gibbs-White
Roméo Lavia ⇄ Andrey Santos
58' ⇄
Robert Sánchez
66' ⇄
⇄ 66'
⇄ Chris Wood
João Pedro Goal cancelled
75' 🖵
Liam Delap Yellow Card
78' ▮
Moisés Caicedo Yellow Card
78' ▮
⇄ 80'
Dilane Bakwa ⇄ Omari Hutchinson
João Pedro assist: Marc Cucurella
90' ⚽ 1–3
FT 1–3
Chelsea

Match Stats

Nottingham Forest
67% Ball Possession 33%
2.15 Expected Goals (xG) 2.05
21 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 1
8 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 6
9 Shots outsidebox 1
10 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
659 Total passes 334
597 Passes accurate 267
91% Passes % 80%
0.62 goals_prevented 0.62
Chelsea
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 João Pedro F 7.9 90' 1 – 2 27 (20%) –
8 Enzo Fernández M 7.5 90' – – 2 79 (71%) 1
17 Andrey Santos M 7.2 32' – – – 44 (41%) 1
25 Moisés Caicedo M 7.0 90' – – – 87 (82%) 3
45 Roméo Lavia M 6.9 58' – – – 44 (40%) 3
6 Levi Colwill D 6.7 45' – – – 48 (43%) 1
55 Jesse Derry M 6.6 44' – – 2 13 (12%) 1
12 Filip Jørgensen G 6.3 24' – – – 2 (2%) –
3 Marc Cucurella D 6.2 90' – 1 1 62 (56%) 2
23 Trevoh Chalobah D 6.2 90' – – 1 78 (73%) –
1 Robert Sánchez G 6.2 66' – – – 22 (16%) –
9 Liam Delap F 6.2 46' – – 1 2 (1%) –
4 Tosin Adarabioyo D 6.2 45' – – – 53 (48%) 2
27 Malo Gusto D 5.9 90' – – 1 54 (53%) –
10 Cole Palmer M 5.9 90' – – 3 44 (39%) –
Nottingham Forest
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Taiwo Awoniyi F 8.7 90' 2 – 2 7 (5%) –
26 Matz Sels G 7.5 90' – – – 31 (15%) –
29 Dilane Bakwa M 7.5 80' – 1 – 17 (15%) 1
10 Morgan Gibbs-White M 7.3 21' – 1 – 8 (5%) –
23 Jair D 7.3 45' – – – 21 (19%) 1
8 Elliot Anderson M 7.2 45' – – – 25 (20%) 2
16 Nicolás Domínguez M 7.0 45' – – – 23 (23%) 2
11 Chris Wood F 6.9 24' – – – 8 (7%) –
19 Igor Jesus F 6.9 45' 1 – 2 10 (10%) –
22 Ryan Yates M 6.9 90' – – – 36 (29%) 2
25 Luca Netz D 6.9 90' – – – 21 (17%) 6
31 Nikola Milenković D 6.7 45' – – – 18 (18%) –
4 Morato D 6.6 90' – – – 43 (31%) 1
3 Neco Williams D 6.5 46' – – – 19 (16%) 4
44 Zach Abbott D 6.5 44' – – – 16 (12%) 2
21 Omari Hutchinson F 6.3 10' – – – 4 (4%) –
24 James McAtee M 6.3 90' – – 1 27 (21%) 1
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Chelsea lub remis
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Chelsea
LDWLW
Nottingham Forest
LWDDL
Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match on May 2, 2026, Chelsea will host Nottingham Forest at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea, historically strong at home, has shown a solid performance this season, ranking in the top half of the table with a robust attack averaging 2.1 goals per match. Nottingham Forest, while improved from their previous campaign, struggles against top-tier teams, recording only 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures. Chelsea's defensive stability, with an average of less than 1 goal conceded per match, will likely pose a significant challenge for Forest's attack. Overall, Chelsea is favored to secure a victory, bolstered by their home advantage and current form.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Chelsea
João Pedro 3 gls
M. Rogers 3 gls
C. Palmer 2 gls
Nottingham Forest

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest

2 Chelsea Wins
1 Draws
0 Nottingham Forest Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Oct 2025 Nottingham Forest 0 - 3 Chelsea
25 May 2025 Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Chelsea
06 Oct 2024 Chelsea 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest
Zobacz wszystkie 7 spotkania — Premium

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Brentford L 3 - 0
12 Sep H Hull City D 2 - 2
09 Sep H Leeds W 6 - 3
06 Sep A Arsenal L 2 - 1
30 Aug H Brighton W 4 - 3

Nottingham Forest — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Coventry L 0 - 1
12 Sep A Aston Villa W 1 - 2
05 Sep H Tottenham D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Liverpool D 2 - 2
25 Aug H Leeds L 0 - 2

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Chelsea

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Calum McFarlane
1 Sanchez
3 Cucurella
4 Adarabioyo
23 Chalobah
27 Gusto
25 Caicedo
45 Lavia
55 Derry
8 Fernandez
10 Palmer
20 Pedro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 R. Sanchez G
27 M. Gusto D
23 T. Chalobah D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
3 M. Cucurella D
45 R. Lavia M
25 M. Caicedo M
10 C. Palmer M
8 E. Fernandez M
55 J. Derry M
20 Joao Pedro F

Substitutes

12 F. Jorgensen G
24 R. James D
29 W. Fofana D
6 L. Colwill D
17 Andrey Santos M
9 L. Delap F
14 D. Essugo M
21 J. Hato D
34 J. Acheampong D

Nottingham Forest

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Vitor Pereira
26 Sels
25 Netz
4 Morato
23 Cunha
44 Abbott
24 McAtee
16 Dominguez
22 Yates
29 Bakwa
9 Awoniyi
19 Jesus

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 M. Sels G
44 Z. Abbott D
23 Cunha D
4 Morato D
25 L. Netz D
29 D. Bakwa M
22 R. Yates M
16 N. Dominguez M
24 J. McAtee M
19 Igor Jesus F
9 T. Awoniyi F

Substitutes

27 S. Ortega G
11 C. Wood F
31 N. Milenkovic D
10 M. Gibbs-White M
3 N. Williams D
17 E. da Silva Moreira F
20 L. Lucca F
8 E. Anderson M
21 O. Hutchinson F

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