Vitoria vs Gremio Prognoza

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

Vitoria

Home

1 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Gremio

Away

Typowanie AI Vitoria lub remis

42%

30%

28%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Vitoria vs Gremio: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Vitoria na 42%, Gremio na 28%, a remisu na 30%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 8 Sep 2026, 01:01.

Typy Premium

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Gospodarz strzeli gola 75%
Ponad 1,5 gola 72%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

▮ 36'

Pedro Gabriel Yellow Card

▮ 38'

Cristian Pavón Yellow Card

⇄ 45'

Pedro Gabriel ⇄ Caio Paulista

HT 0–0

Erick Yellow Card

48' ▮

▮ 48'

Caio Paulista Yellow Card

Caique Gonçalves Yellow Card

55' ▮

▮ 59'

Erick Noriega Yellow Card

Renê Sousa assist: Mateusinho

63' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 69'

Erick Noriega ⇄ Danilo Barbosa

⇄ 69'

Cristian Pavón ⇄ Juan Nardoni

⇄ 69'

Mathias Villasanti ⇄ José Enamorado

Erick ⇄ Marinho

72' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Carlos Vinícius ⇄ Martin Braithwaite

▮ 79'

Gustavo Martins Yellow Card

Caique Gonçalves ⇄ Edenilson

81' ⇄

Diego Tarzia ⇄ Fabrício Santos

82' ⇄

Matheuzinho ⇄ Tomás Pochettino

82' ⇄

Renê Sousa ⇄ Renato Kayzer

90' ⇄

FT 1–0

Vitoria

Match Stats

Gremio

46% Ball Possession 54%

20 Total Shots 11

6 Shots on Goal 5

10 Shots off Goal 4

4 Blocked Shots 2

10 Shots insidebox 4

10 Shots outsidebox 6

6 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 19

2 Yellow Cards 5

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

393 Total passes 471

322 Passes accurate 395

18 Free Kicks 12

Vitoria

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
91 Renê Sousa F	8.2	90'	1	–	5	8 (6%)	1
98 Mateusinho D	8.0	90'	–	1	–	46 (43%)	1
1 Lucas Arcanjo G	7.7	90'	–	–	–	19 (10%)	–
88 Zé Vitor M	7.2	90'	–	–	5	67 (58%)	3
10 Matheuzinho M	7.1	82'	–	–	2	40 (35%)	1
83 Jamerson D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	27 (19%)	3
2 Emanuel Brítez D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	36 (27%)	1
26 Edenilson M	6.7	9'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	1
23 Fabrício Santos F	6.6	8'	–	–	1	4 (2%)	1
95 Caique Gonçalves M	6.6	81'	–	–	1	47 (44%)	3
8 Tomás Pochettino M	6.5	8'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
7 Marinho F	6.5	18'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
33 Erick M	6.4	72'	–	–	2	36 (31%)	–
36 Luan Cândido D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	35 (26%)	–
12 Diego Tarzia M	6.3	82'	–	–	2	16 (14%)	1

Gremio

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Gustavo Martins D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	53 (49%)	3
27 Diego Caito D	6.8	90'	–	–	3	38 (33%)	–
15 Danilo Barbosa M	6.8	21'	–	–	–	24 (22%)	1
82 Wallace D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	46 (42%)	2
1 Weverton G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	32 (16%)	–
11 Tetê M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	53 (44%)	2
10 Filip Krovinović M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	44 (42%)	1
7 Cristian Pavón M	6.4	69'	–	–	2	22 (18%)	–
99 José Enamorado F	6.4	21'	–	–	1	10 (7%)	–
20 Mathias Villasanti M	6.3	69'	–	–	–	50 (42%)	1
95 Carlos Vinícius F	6.3	78'	–	–	1	7 (5%)	–
5 Juan Nardoni M	6.2	21'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	–
22 Martin Braithwaite F	6.2	12'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
38 Caio Paulista D	6.1	44'	–	–	–	34 (28%)	3
8 Erick Noriega M	6.1	69'	–	–	–	28 (22%)	3
54 Pedro Gabriel D	6.0	46'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	1

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Vitoria lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Vitoria

LDWLL

Gremio

DLLLW

Last 3 meetings Vitoria · 0W 1D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

28%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gremio goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	5	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	8	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Vitoria goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Players in form

Vitoria

Rene 9 gls

Gremio

Carlos Vinícius 10 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 28% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	7.7%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.2%	14.5%	6.9%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.1%	8.8%	4.7%	1.7%	0.5%
3	3.7%	4.0%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Vitoria	Draw	Gremio
Vitoria	25.6%	4.3%	1.5%
Draw	15.3%	19.5%	10.8%
Gremio	2.0%	4.4%	16.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Vitoria vs Gremio

0 Vitoria Wins

1 Draws

2 Gremio Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Mar 2026	Gremio	2 - 0	Vitoria
28 Sep 2025	Gremio	3 - 1	Vitoria
27 Apr 2025	Vitoria	1 - 1	Gremio

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Vitoria — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Cruzeiro	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Mirassol	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	H Gremio	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Vasco DA Gama	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Atletico-MG	L	2 - 1

Gremio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Palmeiras	D	0 - 0
16 Sep	A Botafogo	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Vasco DA Gama	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Vitoria	L	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Internacional	W	3 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Gremio

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Luís Castro

1 Weverton

54 Gabriel

82 Wallace

6 Martins

27 Caito

8 Noriega

7 Pavón

10 Krovinović

20 Villasanti

11 Tetê

95 Vinícius

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Weverton	G
27	Diego Caito	D
6	Gustavo Martins	D
82	Wallace	D
54	Pedro Gabriel	D
8	E. Noriega	M
11	Tetê	M
20	M. Villasanti	M
10	F. Krovinović	M
7	C. Pavón	M
95	Carlos Vinícius	F

Substitutes

3	Wagner Leonardo	D
65	Riquelme Freitas	M
5	J. Nardoni	M
30	Matheus Nascimento	F
18	João Pedro	D
12	Gabriel Grando	G
2	F. Balbuena	D
99	J. Enamorado	F
15	Danilo Barbosa	M
38	Caio Paulista	D
50	Bernardo Zortea	M
22	M. Braithwaite	F

Vitoria

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ramón Catalá

1 Arcanjo

83 Jamerson

36 Cândido

2 Brítez

98 Mateusinho

95 Caíque

88 Vitor

12 Tarzia

10 Matheuzinho

33 Erick

91 Rene

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lucas Arcanjo	G
98	Mateusinho	D
2	E. Brítez	D
36	Luan Cândido	D
83	Jamerson	D
88	Zé Vitor	M
95	Caíque	M
33	Erick	M
10	Matheuzinho	M
12	D. Tarzia	M
91	Rene	F

Substitutes

26	Edenilson	M
9	Alex Bruno	F
70	Fabiano	D
23	Fabrício	F
7	Marinho	F
11	Osvaldo	F
8	T. Pochettino	M
79	Renato Kayzer	F
41	Wendell Sacramento	M
71	Yuri Sena	G
18	Kauan	D
69	Wanderson Estrela Oliveira	D