Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient Prognoza

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32
FT
Post on X
Parc des Princes, Paris
Typowanie AI Paris Saint Germain – wygrana lub remis
73%
16%
10%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Paris Saint Germain na 73%, Lorient na 10%, a remisu na 16%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Paris Saint Germain were held to a 2-2 draw by Lorient in Ligue 1, a result that will frustrate the hosts despite their overwhelming territorial dominance. Lorient struck first through Ibrahim Mbaye in the sixth minute, only for Pablo Pagis to level matters six minutes later, leaving the sides level at the break.

PSG appeared to take control when Warren Zaïre-Emery restored their lead just after the hour mark, but Lorient hit back through Aiyegun Tosin in the 78th minute to earn a share of the spoils. A late VAR review saw a potential PSG penalty cancelled in stoppage time, denying the hosts a dramatic winner.

The statistics told a one-sided story — PSG enjoyed 68% possession, registered 24 total shots and earned 12 corners to Lorient's two, with an expected goals figure of 2.42 against 0.96 for the visitors. Despite that dominance, clinical finishing proved elusive. Our pre-match AI model had rated a PSG win most likely at 73%, a call that ultimately did not materialise as Lorient's resilience secured a valuable point.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ibrahim Mbaye
6' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 12'
Pablo Pagis assist: Panos Katseris
HT 1–1
Lucas Hernández Yellow Card
47' ▮
Fabián Ruiz ⇄ Warren Zaïre-Emery
61' ⇄
Warren Zaïre-Emery assist: Désiré Doué
62' ⚽ 2–1
Ibrahim Mbaye ⇄ João Neves
62' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Pablo Pagis ⇄ Karim Dermane
⇄ 72'
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng ⇄ Aiyegun Tosin
⇄ 73'
Arthur Avom Ebong ⇄ Jean-Victor Makengo
Désiré Doué
75' ⇄
⚽ 2–2 78'
Aiyegun Tosin
⇄ 80'
Panos Katseris ⇄ Darlin Yongwa
▮ 90'
Darlin Yongwa Yellow Card
Senny Mayulu Penalty cancelled
90+6' 🖵
FT 2–2
Paris Saint Germain

Match Stats

Lorient
68% Ball Possession 32%
2.42 Expected Goals (xG) 0.96
24 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 2
8 Blocked Shots 0
15 Shots insidebox 4
9 Shots outsidebox 1
12 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
619 Total passes 291
565 Passes accurate 234
91% Passes % 80%
-0.46 goals_prevented -0.46
Paris Saint Germain
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Désiré Doué F 7.7 75' – 1 3 35 (32%) 2
33 Warren Zaïre-Emery M 7.6 29' 1 – 1 26 (25%) –
29 Bradley Barcola F 7.5 90' – – 1 38 (33%) 3
49 Ibrahim Mbaye F 7.5 62' 1 – 1 27 (23%) –
19 Kang-in Lee M 7.3 90' – – 1 65 (57%) 1
89 Renato Marin G 7.3 90' – – – 17 (15%) –
8 Fabián Ruiz M 7.2 61' – – 1 69 (67%) –
21 Lucas Hernández D 6.9 90' – – 2 69 (64%) 3
27 Dro Fernández M 6.9 90' – – 1 30 (28%) 2
87 João Neves M 6.7 28' – – – 39 (37%) –
51 Willian Pacho D 6.3 90' – – – 63 (59%) –
4 Lucas Beraldo D 6.3 90' – – – 89 (81%) 1
24 Senny Mayulu D 6.2 90' – – 4 48 (42%) 1
57 Pierre Mounguengue F 5.6 15' – – 1 4 (2%) –
Lorient
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Aiyegun Tosin F 8.3 18' 1 – 2 – –
10 Pablo Pagis F 7.5 72' 1 – 1 20 (15%) –
77 Panos Katseris M 7.2 80' – 1 – 13 (10%) 4
3 Montassar Talbi D 6.9 90' – – 2 34 (31%) 1
44 Darlin Yongwa D 6.9 10' – – – 2 (1%) –
12 Ahmadou Bamba Dieng F 6.7 72' – – – 8 (7%) –
25 Abdoulaye Faye D 6.7 90' – – – 35 (31%) 2
29 Karim Dermane M 6.7 18' – – – 4 (2%) –
6 Laurent Abergel M 6.6 90' – – – 25 (21%) –
38 Yvon Mvogo G 6.5 90' – – – 51 (34%) –
8 Noah Cadiou M 6.5 90' – – – 34 (29%) –
43 Arsène Kouassi M 6.3 90' – – – 19 (17%) 1
17 Jean-Victor Makengo M 6.3 17' – – – 7 (6%) –
32 Nathaniel Adjei D 6.3 90' – – – 17 (14%) 2
62 Arthur Avom Ebong F 6.2 73' – – – 22 (16%) 1
Premium

Odblokuj pełną analizę AI dla meczu Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient

  • Wszystkie 70+ rynków prawdopodobieństwa
  • Raport meczowy AI Deep-Dive
  • Value Edge — model vs rynek
  • Wybrane przez Ciebie typy rynków
Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Paris Saint Germain – wygrana lub remis
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Paris Saint Germain
WWWLD
Lorient
LDWLD
Last 3 meetings Paris Saint Germain · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on May 3, 2026, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) will host Lorient at Parc des Princes. PSG, known for their attacking prowess, has maintained an impressive home record, winning 80% of their matches this season, with a formidable goal difference of +45. Conversely, Lorient struggles on the road, recording only 30% of their points away from home and facing difficulties against top-tier teams. Historically, PSG has dominated this fixture, winning the last five encounters, indicating a significant advantage. Expect PSG to control possession and apply pressure from the outset, while Lorient will likely aim to defend resolutely and exploit counterattack opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Paris Saint Germain
Ferran Torres 4 gls
Marquinhos 3 gls
Lorient

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient

1 Paris Saint Germain Wins
2 Draws
0 Lorient Wins
Date Home Score Away
29 Oct 2025 Lorient 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain
24 Apr 2024 Lorient 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain
12 Aug 2023 Paris Saint Germain 0 - 0 Lorient
Zobacz wszystkie 10 spotkania — Premium

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Marseille W 1 - 2
13 Sep A Stade Brestois 29 W 0 - 1
09 Sep H Slovan Bratislava W 6 - 1
04 Sep H Monaco L 1 - 2
28 Aug A Lille D 2 - 2

Lorient — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Le Mans L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Toulouse D 2 - 2
05 Sep A Lens W 0 - 1
29 Aug H Estac Troyes L 1 - 2
22 Aug A Nice D 0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Paris Saint Germain

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Luis Enrique
89 Marin
21 Hernandez
51 Pacho
4 Beraldo
24 Mayulu
27 Fernandez
8 Ruiz
19 Kang-In
29 Barcola
14 Doue
49 Mbaye

Starting XI

# Player Pos
89 R. Marin G
24 S. Mayulu D
4 L. Beraldo D
51 W. Pacho D
21 L. Hernandez D
19 Lee Kang-In M
8 F. Ruiz M
27 D. Fernandez M
49 I. Mbaye F
14 D. Doue F
29 B. Barcola F

Substitutes

80 B. Laurendon G
5 Marquinhos D
10 O. Dembele F
87 J. Neves M
33 W. Zaire-Emery M
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
53 T. Cordier D
57 P. Mounguengue F
55 S. Coulibaly D

Lorient

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: O. Pantaloni
38 Mvogo
25 Faye
3 Talbi
32 Adjei
43 Kouassi
8 Cadiou
6 Abergel
77 Katseris
10 Pagis
62 Avom
12 Dieng

Starting XI

# Player Pos
38 Y. Mvogo G
32 N. Adjei D
3 M. Talbi D
25 A. Faye D
77 P. Katseris M
6 L. Abergel M
8 N. Cadiou M
43 A. Kouassi M
62 A. Avom F
10 P. Pagis F
12 B. Dieng F

Substitutes

21 B. Kamara G
2 Igor Silva D
29 D. Karim M
17 J. Makengo M
15 A. Tosin F
95 I. Toure D
44 D. Yongwa D
9 M. Bamba F
28 S. Soumano F

Asystent Sportiko

Funkcje, konkurs lub piłka nożna

Zarejestruj się za darmo, aby rozmawiać z Asystentem Sportiko — pytaj o prognozy, konkurs i wszystko o piłce nożnej.

Zarejestruj się za darmo Masz już konto? Zaloguj się