Udinese vs Cremonese Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Post on X

Cremonese

Away

Bluenergy Stadium, Udine

Typowanie AI Udinese wygrywa

63%

27%

10%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Udinese vs Cremonese prediction: Sportiko gives Udinese a 63% chance of winning, Cremonese 10% and the draw 27%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Cremonese claimed a vital Serie A victory at Udinese, with Jamie Vardy's ninth-minute strike proving the decisive moment of the match. The early goal gave the visitors a lead they would carry into half-time and ultimately protect for the full ninety minutes, despite Udinese enjoying the majority of possession throughout.

The home side struggled to convert their territorial dominance into clear-cut chances, finishing with just two shots on target despite a 63% share of the ball. Cremonese's defensive resilience was tested on several occasions, most notably when a VAR review cancelled a Udinese penalty in the 27th minute and later overturned what appeared to be a red card for Hassane Kamara in the 66th minute, though he was subsequently booked. Both teams made five substitutions each as the game wore on, with Vardy himself withdrawn late in proceedings.

Our pre-match AI model had rated an Udinese win as the most likely outcome at 63%, a call that did not materialise. Cremonese's expected goals figure of 0.45 edged Udinese's 0.35, reflecting a clinical away performance that belied the visitors' limited possession.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 9'

Jamie Vardy

Christian Kabasele Penalty cancelled

27' 🖵

HT 0–1

Christian Kabasele ⇄ Nicolò Bertola

46' ⇄

▮ 51'

Federico Bonazzoli Yellow Card

▮ 55'

Tommaso Barbieri Yellow Card

Juan Arizala ⇄ Jordan Zemura

60' ⇄

⇄ 60'

Federico Bonazzoli ⇄ David Okereke

⇄ 60'

Tommaso Barbieri ⇄ Romano Floriani Mussolini

Hassane Kamara Red card cancelled

66' 🖵

Hassane Kamara Yellow Card

67' ▮

Lennon Miller ⇄ Vakoun Bayo

71' ⇄

Keinan Davis ⇄ Idrissa Gueye

71' ⇄

Hassane Kamara ⇄ Abdoulaye Camara

79' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Morten Thorsby ⇄ Jari Vandeputte

⇄ 82'

Youssef Maleh ⇄ Michele Collocolo

⇄ 88'

Jamie Vardy ⇄ Milan Đurić

▮ 90+1'

Alberto Grassi Yellow Card

FT 0–1

Udinese

Match Stats

Cremonese

63% Ball Possession 37%

0.35 Expected Goals (xG) 0.45

10 Total Shots 7

2 Shots on Goal 4

6 Shots off Goal 2

2 Blocked Shots 1

5 Shots insidebox 2

5 Shots outsidebox 5

5 Corner Kicks 5

4 Offsides 5

10 Fouls 9

1 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

525 Total passes 305

452 Passes accurate 216

86% Passes % 71%

0.21 goals_prevented 0.21

Udinese

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
31 Thomas Kristensen D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	91 (82%)	–
28 Oumar Solet D	7.2	90'	–	–	3	99 (88%)	3
40 Maduka Okoye G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	18 (18%)	–
11 Hassane Kamara M	6.9	79'	–	–	–	44 (35%)	–
7 Idrissa Gueye F	6.9	19'	–	–	1	4 (2%)	1
13 Nicolò Bertola D	6.9	45'	–	–	–	35 (29%)	–
29 Abdoulaye Camara M	6.9	11'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
14 Arthur Atta M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	50 (41%)	–
38 Lennon Miller M	6.7	71'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	–
33 Jordan Zemura D	6.7	30'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
8 Jesper Karlström M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	49 (42%)	–
9 Keinan Davis F	6.6	71'	–	–	1	14 (13%)	–
15 Vakoun Bayo F	6.3	19'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	–
20 Juan Arizala M	6.2	60'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	1
18 Adam Buksa F	6.2	90'	–	–	–	18 (11%)	–
27 Christian Kabasele D	6.0	45'	–	–	–	33 (31%)	–

Cremonese

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Emil Audero G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	39 (22%)	–
10 Jamie Vardy F	7.3	88'	1	–	1	13 (8%)	1
2 Morten Thorsby M	6.9	82'	–	–	–	33 (23%)	–
24 Filippo Terracciano D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	34 (31%)	2
15 Matteo Bianchetti D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	–
5 Sebastiano Luperto D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	31 (28%)	1
33 Alberto Grassi M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	30 (25%)	1
90 Federico Bonazzoli F	6.9	60'	–	–	1	18 (11%)	3
18 Michele Collocolo M	6.7	8'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
3 Giuseppe Pezzella M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	25 (16%)	1
29 Youssef Maleh M	6.6	82'	–	–	2	20 (15%)	2
9 Milan Đurić F	6.5	8'	–	–	–	2	–
77 David Okereke F	6.5	30'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
22 Romano Floriani Mussolini D	6.5	30'	–	–	–	8 (1%)	–
27 Jari Vandeputte M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
4 Tommaso Barbieri M	6.3	60'	–	–	–	13 (5%)	–

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Udinese wygrywa

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Udinese

LDLLL

Cremonese

DDWLW

Last 3 meetings Udinese · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Udinese hosts Cremonese on May 17, 2026. Udinese has shown a strong home record this season, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging 1.6 goals per game at home. In contrast, Cremonese struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game away. Both teams are fighting to secure points for different reasons—Udinese for a potential European spot and Cremonese to avoid relegation. The match is crucial for both sides, making it a potentially intense encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cremonese goals →

	0	1	2
0	17	6	1
1	24	9	2
2	17	6	1
3	8	3	1
4	3	1
5	1

↑ Udinese goals · most likely 1–0 (23.9%)

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Head to Head: Udinese vs Cremonese

1 Udinese Wins

2 Draws

0 Cremonese Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Oct 2025	Cremonese	1 - 1	Udinese
23 Apr 2023	Udinese	3 - 0	Cremonese
30 Oct 2022	Cremonese	0 - 0	Udinese

Udinese — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A Trabzonspor	L	1 - 0
01 Aug	H FSV Mainz 05	D	3 - 3
28 Jul	H Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	L	0 - 2
24 May	A Napoli	L	1 - 0
17 May	H Cremonese	L	0 - 1

Cremonese — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Lumezzane	D	0 - 0
29 Jul	H Cittadella	D	1 - 1
24 Jul	H Giana Erminio	W	4 - 0
24 May	H Como	L	1 - 4
17 May	A Udinese	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Udinese

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Kosta Runjaic

40 Okoye

28 Solet

27 Kabasele

31 Kristensen

11 Kamara

14 Atta

8 Karlstrom

38 Miller

20 Arizala

9 Davis

18 Buksa

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
40	M. Okoye	G
31	T. Kristensen	D
27	C. Kabasele	D
28	O. Solet	D
20	J. Arizala	M
38	L. Miller	M
8	J. Karlstrom	M
14	A. Atta	M
11	H. Kamara	M
18	A. Buksa	F
9	K. Davis	F

Substitutes

93	D. Padelli	G
90	R. Sava	G
1	A. Nunziante	G
15	V. Bayo	F
24	J. Piotrowski	M
22	B. Mlacic	D
33	J. Zemura	D
6	O. Zarraga	M
13	N. Bertola	D
7	I. Gueye	F
29	A. Camara	M

Cremonese

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Marco Giampaolo

1 Audero

5 Luperto

15 Bianchetti

24 Terracciano

3 Pezzella

29 Maleh

33 Grassi

2 Thorsby

4 Barbieri

10 Vardy

90 Bonazzoli

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	E. Audero	G
24	F. Terracciano	D
15	M. Bianchetti	D
5	S. Luperto	D
4	T. Barbieri	M
2	M. Thorsby	M
33	A. Grassi	M
29	Y. Maleh	M
3	G. Pezzella	M
90	F. Bonazzoli	F
10	J. Vardy	F

Substitutes

16	M. Silvestri	G
96	M. Cassin	G
69	L. Nava	G
9	M. Djuric	F
99	A. Sanabria	F
27	J. Vandeputte	M
77	D. Okereke	F
18	M. Collocolo	M
32	M. Payero	M
55	F. Folino	D
7	A. Zerbin	F
30	M. Faye	D
22	R. Floriani	D