Cagliari vs Cremonese Prognoza

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

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Cremonese

Away

Unipol Domus, Cagliari

Typowanie AI Zbyt wyrównane, by wskazać faworyta

40%

20%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Cagliari vs Cremonese: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Cagliari na 40%, Cremonese na 20%, a remisu na 40%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Cagliari secured a narrow but deserved 1–0 victory over Cremonese in Serie A Matchday 32, with the only goal arriving in the 63rd minute through Sebastiano Esposito. The first half ended goalless despite early intensity signalled by Filippo Terracciano's yellow card in the fourth minute, and it took a wave of second-half substitutions from both sides to shift the contest's momentum.

Esposito's strike proved the decisive moment, coming just a minute after Michel Adopo was booked, and the goal ultimately reflected Cagliari's greater cutting edge despite spending much of the match without the ball. Cremonese dominated possession at 65% but managed only five total shots and two on target, generating a meagre expected goals figure of 0.28 compared to Cagliari's 1.17 — underlining how little the visitors threatened in meaningful areas.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a draw as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that was ultimately unsettled by Esposito's finish. Cagliari held firm through a flurry of late changes to claim all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 4'

Filippo Terracciano Yellow Card

Luca Mazzitelli ⇄ Michel Adopo

31' ⇄

HT 0–0

Michael Folorunsho ⇄ Zé Pedro

61' ⇄

Gennaro Borrelli ⇄ Paul Mendy

61' ⇄

Michel Adopo Yellow Card

62' ▮

Sebastiano Esposito assist: Zé Pedro

63' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 68'

Romano Floriani Mussolini ⇄ Antonio Sanabria

⇄ 68'

Jari Vandeputte ⇄ Martín Payero

⇄ 73'

Filippo Terracciano ⇄ Tommaso Barbieri

⇄ 78'

Warren Bondo ⇄ Milan Đurić

⇄ 78'

David Okereke ⇄ Alessio Zerbin

Sebastiano Esposito ⇄ Andrea Belotti

88' ⇄

Juan Rodríguez

89' ⇄

FT 1–0

Cagliari

Match Stats

Cremonese

35% Ball Possession 65%

1.17 Expected Goals (xG) 0.28

17 Total Shots 5

5 Shots on Goal 2

7 Shots off Goal 2

5 Blocked Shots 1

10 Shots insidebox 4

7 Shots outsidebox 1

6 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 17

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

253 Total passes 504

187 Passes accurate 429

74% Passes % 85%

-0.13 goals_prevented -0.13

Cagliari

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
94 Sebastiano Esposito M	8.2	88'	1	–	1	17 (14%)	1
33 Adam Obert D	7.7	90'	–	–	–	26 (19%)	1
26 Yerry Mina D	7.5	90'	–	–	2	22 (17%)	2
2 Marco Palestra D	7.5	90'	–	–	2	10 (9%)	–
15 Juan Rodríguez D	7.3	89'	–	–	–	42 (36%)	3
1 Elia Caprile G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	18 (10%)	–
32 Zé Pedro D	7.2	29'	–	1	–	6 (3%)	1
4 Luca Mazzitelli M	7.0	31'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	1
10 Gianluca Gaetano M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	36 (28%)	2
29 Gennaro Borrelli F	6.9	61'	–	–	1	11 (7%)	–
8 Michel Adopo M	6.7	59'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	2
31 Paul Mendy F	6.7	29'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	–
14 Alessandro Deiola M	6.3	90'	–	–	4	18 (12%)	3
90 Michael Folorunsho M	6.3	61'	–	–	1	11 (4%)	–
19 Andrea Belotti F	—	2'	–	–	–	–	–
22 Alberto Dossena D	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

Cremonese

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Emil Audero G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	43 (37%)	–
33 Alberto Grassi M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	58 (49%)	1
5 Sebastiano Luperto D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	87 (80%)	2
38 Warren Bondo M	6.9	78'	–	–	–	39 (35%)	2
4 Tommaso Barbieri D	6.9	17'	–	–	–	11 (5%)	1
32 Martín Payero M	6.7	22'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
3 Giuseppe Pezzella D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	38 (35%)	2
22 Romano Floriani Mussolini M	6.5	68'	–	–	1	13 (6%)	1
99 Antonio Sanabria F	6.3	22'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
24 Filippo Terracciano D	6.3	73'	–	–	–	37 (35%)	–
90 Federico Bonazzoli F	6.3	90'	–	–	1	31 (26%)	–
9 Milan Đurić F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
77 David Okereke F	6.3	78'	–	–	1	21 (18%)	1
6 Federico Baschirotto D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	70 (58%)	–
7 Alessio Zerbin F	6.2	12'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
27 Jari Vandeputte M	6.2	68'	–	–	–	28 (23%)	1

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

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Cagliari

WWWLL

Cremonese

DDWWL

Last 1 meetings Cagliari · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Cagliari will host Cremonese in a crucial Serie A clash on April 12, 2026. Cagliari currently sits mid-table, displaying a solid home record with a 60% win rate at Sardegna Arena this season, bolstered by a potent attack averaging 1.8 goals per game. In contrast, Cremonese struggles near the relegation zone, with a dismal away record of just one win in their last eight matches, and they average only 0.9 goals per game. Cagliari’s defensive resilience, conceding less than 1.2 goals per match at home, could exploit Cremonese's offensive woes. Expect Cagliari to leverage their home advantage to secure a vital three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cremonese goals →

	0	1	2
0	29	13	3
1	23	10	2
2	9	4	1
3	2	1
4
5

↑ Cagliari goals · most likely 0–0 (28.9%)

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Players in form

Cagliari

D. Maldini 3 gls

Cremonese

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Cagliari vs Cremonese

0 Cagliari Wins

1 Draws

0 Cremonese Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Jan 2026	Cremonese	2 - 2	Cagliari

Cagliari — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Udinese	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Atalanta	W	1 - 2
07 Sep	H Lecce	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Hellas Verona	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Inter	L	0 - 1

Cremonese — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Virtus Entella	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Cesena	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Padova	W	3 - 1
01 Sep	A Parma	W	0 - 2
28 Aug	H Modena	L	0 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Cagliari

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Fabio Pisacane

1 Caprile

33 Obert

15 Rodriguez

26 Mina

2 Palestra

10 Gaetano

4 Mazzitelli

90 Folorunsho

14 Deiola

94 Esposito

29 Borrelli

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	E. Caprile	G
2	M. Palestra	D
26	Y. Mina	D
15	J. Rodriguez	D
33	A. Obert	D
4	L. Mazzitelli	M
10	G. Gaetano	M
94	S. Esposito	M
14	A. Deiola	M
90	M. Folorunsho	M
29	G. Borrelli	F

Substitutes

24	G. Ciocci	G
12	A. Sherri	G
19	A. Belotti	F
22	A. Dossena	D
28	G. Zappa	D
32	J. Pedro	D
25	I. Sulemana	M
27	J. Liteta	M
37	Y. Trepy	F
31	P. Mendy	F
8	M. Adopo	M
9	S. Kilicsoy	F
18	O. Raterink	D
20	A. Albarracin	F

Cremonese

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Marco Giampaolo

1 Audero

3 Pezzella

5 Luperto

6 Baschirotto

24 Terracciano

27 Vandeputte

33 Grassi

38 Bondo

22 Floriani

77 Okereke

90 Bonazzoli

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	E. Audero	G
24	F. Terracciano	D
6	F. Baschirotto	D
5	S. Luperto	D
3	G. Pezzella	D
22	R. Floriani	M
38	W. Bondo	M
33	A. Grassi	M
27	J. Vandeputte	M
90	F. Bonazzoli	F
77	D. Okereke	F

Substitutes

16	M. Silvestri	G
69	L. Nava	G
9	M. Djuric	F
99	A. Sanabria	F
32	M. Payero	M
55	F. Folino	D
21	S. Lottici Tessadri	M
23	F. Ceccherini	D
15	M. Bianchetti	D
7	A. Zerbin	F
4	T. Barbieri	D
30	M. Faye	D