Lecce vs Atalanta Prognoza

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Post on X

Atalanta

Away

Typowanie AI Atalanta lub remis

25%

29%

46%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Lecce vs Atalanta: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Lecce na 25%, Atalanta na 46%, a remisu na 29%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

Atalanta claimed a comfortable 3–0 victory away at Lecce in Serie A Matchday 31, with the decisive goal arriving as early as the 29th minute to give the visitors a half-time lead. Despite Lecce enjoying the majority of possession at 58% and generating a notably higher expected goals figure of 2.78 compared to Atalanta's 0.44, the home side were unable to convert their chances, finishing with six shots on target against none for the visitors.

Atalanta doubled their advantage on 59 minutes and wrapped up the points with a third goal on 73 minutes, punishing Lecce's wastefulness in front of goal with clinical efficiency. A flurry of substitutions from both benches mid-way through the second half, including the introduction of Marten de Roon, did little to alter the contest's complexion, while yellow cards were distributed to both sides.

The result represented a textbook away performance built on defensive solidity and sharp finishing. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atalanta win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 29'

assist: Charles De Ketelaere

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

▮ 47'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 59'

assist: Charles De Ketelaere

⇄ 63'

M. de Roon ⇄ Mario Pašalić

67' ⇄

68' ⇄

▮ 70'

Yellow Card

⇄ 70'

⇄ Odilon Kossounou

⚽ 0–3 73'

assist: Mario Pašalić

78' ⇄

⇄ 80'

⇄ Kamaldeen Sulemana

FT 0–3

Lecce

Match Stats

Atalanta

42% Ball Possession 58%

0.44 Expected Goals (xG) 2.78

11 Total Shots 16

0 Shots on Goal 6

6 Shots off Goal 6

5 Blocked Shots 4

5 Shots insidebox 13

6 Shots outsidebox 3

2 Corner Kicks 5

2 Offsides 5

10 Fouls 18

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 0

324 Total passes 456

263 Passes accurate 374

81% Passes % 82%

0.00 goals_prevented 0.00

Lecce

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Ylber Ramadani M	7.0	68'	–	–	1	31 (28%)	2
30 Wladimiro Falcone G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	28 (19%)	–
19 Lameck Banda M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	24 (19%)	1
29 Lassana Coulibaly M	6.9	22'	–	–	–	17 (17%)	–
17 Danilo Veiga D	6.7	67'	–	–	–	17 (10%)	1
99 Walid Cheddira F	6.7	78'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–
16 Omri Gandelman M	6.7	45'	–	–	1	14 (12%)	–
50 Santiago Pierotti M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	30 (24%)	3
11 Konan N'Dri F	6.5	23'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
44 Tiago Gabriel D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	29 (23%)	1
9 Nikola Štulić F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
5 Jamil Siebert D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	22 (20%)	1
3 Corrie Ndaba D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	37 (32%)	–
79 Oumar Ngom M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	35 (33%)	2
8 Sadik Fofana M	6.2	45'	–	–	1	16 (6%)	2

Atalanta

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
42 Giorgio Scalvini D	8.7	90'	1	–	1	51 (48%)	2
17 Charles De Ketelaere F	8.0	90'	–	2	2	48 (42%)	–
18 Giacomo Raspadori F	7.3	27'	1	–	2	12 (9%)	–
8 Mario Pašalić M	7.2	27'	–	1	–	14 (9%)	–
19 Berat Djimsiti D	7.2	70'	–	–	–	37 (36%)	2
16 Raoul Bellanova D	7.2	20'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	2
15 M. de Roon M	6.9	63'	–	–	–	45 (33%)	1
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	39 (31%)	1
3 Odilon Kossounou D	6.7	20'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
29 Marco Carnesecchi G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	24 (13%)	–
13 Éderson M	6.6	90'	–	–	2	46 (43%)	4
77 Davide Zappacosta M	6.6	70'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	–
59 Nicola Zalewski F	6.6	63'	–	–	–	29 (19%)	1
23 Sead Kolašinac D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	52 (42%)	2
7 Kamaldeen Sulemana F	6.5	10'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
90 Nikola Krstović F	6.2	80'	1	–	5	27 (23%)	1

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Atalanta lub remis

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Lecce

LWLLW

Atalanta

LLLWW

Last 3 meetings Lecce · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Lecce hosts Atalanta, both teams having contrasting seasons. Lecce's home record has been solid, with a 60% win rate at Stadio Via del Mare this season, while Atalanta has struggled on the road, securing only 40% of their away matches. Atalanta's attack, averaging 2 goals per game, will be tested against Lecce's defense, which has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match. Key players to watch include Lecce’s leading scorer and Atalanta's prolific striker, who will be crucial in determining the match's outcome. Expect a tactical battle, with Lecce aiming for a strong defensive display to frustrate Atalanta's offense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atalanta goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	15	10	4	1
1	10	13	8	3	1
2	4	6	3	1
3	1	2	1
4
5

↑ Lecce goals · most likely 0–1 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Lecce

L. Coulibaly 2 gls

Atalanta

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Lecce vs Atalanta

0 Lecce Wins

1 Draws

2 Atalanta Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Sep 2025	Atalanta	4 - 1	Lecce
27 Apr 2025	Atalanta	1 - 1	Lecce
19 Aug 2024	Lecce	0 - 4	Atalanta

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Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cagliari	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A AS Roma	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
27 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Atalanta

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Raffaele Palladino

29 Carnesecchi

23 Kolasinac

19 Djimsiti

42 Scalvini

47 Bernasconi

13 Ederson

15 Roon

77 Zappacosta

59 Zalewski

17 Ketelaere

90 Krstovic

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
29	M. Carnesecchi	G
42	G. Scalvini	D
19	B. Djimsiti	D
23	S. Kolasinac	D
77	D. Zappacosta	M
15	M. De Roon	M
13	Ederson	M
47	L. Bernasconi	M
17	C. De Ketelaere	F
59	N. Zalewski	F
90	N. Krstovic	F

Substitutes

57	M. Sportiello	G
50	P. Pardel	G
16	R. Bellanova	D
18	G. Raspadori	F
6	Y. Musah	M
7	K. Sulemana	F
49	A. Navarro	D
69	H. Ahanor	D
8	M. Pasalic	M
5	M. Bakker	D
3	O. Kossounou	D
10	L. Samardzic	M

Lecce

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco

30 Falcone

3 Ndaba

44 Gabriel

5 Siebert

17 Veiga

79 Ngom

20 Ramadani

19 Banda

8 Fofana

50 Pierotti

99 Cheddira

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	W. Falcone	G
17	D. Veiga	D
5	J. Siebert	D
44	Tiago Gabriel	D
3	C. Ndaba	D
20	Y. Ramadani	M
79	O. Ngom	M
50	S. Pierotti	M
8	S. Fofana	M
19	L. Banda	M
99	W. Cheddira	F

Substitutes

1	C. Fruchtl	G
32	J. Samooja	G
14	T. J. Helgason	M
36	F. Marchwinski	M
16	O. Gandelman	M
6	A. Sala	M
28	O. Gorter	M
29	L. Coulibaly	M
11	K. Ndri	F
18	G. Jean	D
9	N. Stulic	F
13	M. Perez	D