Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen Prognoza

FT
Post on X
3 : 0
HT 2 - 0
Mecz pierwszej rundy 3-1 · Łącznie 6-1
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Bodo/Glimt
64%
20%
17%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Bodo/Glimt na 64%, NEC Nijmegen na 17%, a remisu na 20%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 25 Aug 2026, 20:52.

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Match Report

Bodo/Glimt secured a commanding 3–0 victory over NEC Nijmegen in their UEFA Champions League play-off tie, with the match effectively decided by a chaotic opening few minutes. NEC were reduced to ten men as early as the third minute when Gonzalo Crettaz received a red card, forcing an immediate tactical reshuffle with Kaj Sierhuis introduced just two minutes later. Despite enjoying the lion's share of possession throughout, the Dutch side were unable to capitalise on their numerical disadvantage being flipped into a structural advantage.

Bodo/Glimt made their superiority count in first-half stoppage time, with Fredrik André Bjørkan and Sondre Auklend both finding the net in the 45th and 47th minutes respectively to send the Norwegian side in with a commanding two-goal cushion at the break. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely outcome at 64%, a call that proved well-founded.

The hosts wrapped up the result in the 73rd minute when a Deveron Fonville own goal completed the scoring. Despite NEC's 79% possession and 21 total shots, they managed only nine on target, with Bodo/Glimt's clinical finishing and defensive resilience proving the difference.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 3'
Gonzalo Crettaz Red Card
⇄ 5'
Kaj Sierhuis ⇄ Nikolas Polster
▮ 15'
Noe Lebreton Yellow Card
Fredrik André Bjørkan assist: Sondre Auklend
45+2' ⚽ 1–0
Sondre Auklend assist: Jens Petter Hauge
45+5' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
⇄ 46'
Darko Nejašmić ⇄ Bram Nuytinck
⇄ 46'
Tjaronn Chery ⇄ Almugera Kabar
⇄ 62'
Bryan Linssen ⇄ Willum Thor Willumsson
⇄ 62'
Dušan Tadić ⇄ Isak Hansen Aarøen
Deveron Fonville Own Goal
73' ⚽ 3–0
Fredrik André Bjørkan ⇄ Isak Dybvik Määttä
74' ⇄
Andreas Helmersen ⇄ Ola Brynhildsen
80' ⇄
Fredrik Sjøvold ⇄ Kasper Solhaug
80' ⇄
Sondre Fet ⇄ Joshua Kitolano
80' ⇄
Odin Luras Bjørtuft ⇄ Ulrik Saltnes
81' ⇄
▮ 83'
Brayann Pereira Yellow Card
FT 3–0
Bodo/Glimt

Match Stats

NEC Nijmegen
79% Ball Possession 21%
Expected Goals (xG)
21 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 0
14 Shots insidebox 1
7 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
748 Total passes 188
680 Passes accurate 115
91% Passes % 61%
goals_prevented
Bodo/Glimt
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Odin Luras Bjørtuft D 8.6 80' – – 2 130 (127%) –
10 Jens Petter Hauge F 8.3 89' – 1 – 82 (72%) 1
8 Sondre Auklend M 8.3 89' 1 1 4 30 (24%) 1
2 Villads Nielsen D 8.3 89' – – – 135 (128%) 3
15 Fredrik André Bjørkan D 8.0 74' 1 – 1 61 (55%) 2
20 Fredrik Sjøvold D 7.5 80' – – – 79 (75%) 3
7 Patrick Berg M 7.2 89' – – 4 77 (69%) 1
19 Sondre Fet M 7.2 80' – – – 38 (32%) 5
11 Ole Didrik Blomberg F 7.2 89' – – 2 58 (50%) 1
14 Ulrik Saltnes M 6.7 9' – – – 9 (6%) –
12 Nikita Haikin G 6.6 89' – – – 22 (18%) –
25 Isak Dybvik Määttä D 6.6 15' – – – 12 (12%) 1
17 Ola Brynhildsen F 6.5 9' – – – 1 (1%) –
32 Kasper Solhaug M 6.5 9' – – 1 – –
16 Joshua Kitolano M 6.3 9' – – – 3 (3%) 1
9 Andreas Helmersen F 5.9 80' – – 4 11 (8%) 1
NEC Nijmegen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 Nikolas Polster G 7.9 84' – – – 40 (15%) –
17 Bram Nuytinck D 7.0 44' – – – 8 (8%) –
20 Noe Lebreton M 6.9 89' – – – 15 (10%) 2
8 Isak Hansen Aarøen M 6.7 27' – – – 6 (6%) –
6 Darko Nejašmić M 6.6 45' – – – 12 (7%) 3
9 Tjaronn Chery F 6.5 45' – – – 15 (8%) –
2 Brayann Pereira D 6.5 89' – – – 15 (13%) 2
99 Clement Bischoff M 6.3 89' – – – 11 (6%) 2
10 Dušan Tadić M 6.3 62' – – – 8 (4%) 1
24 Deveron Fonville D 6.2 89' – – – 17 (15%) 4
30 Bryan Linssen F 6.2 62' – – 2 6 (4%) –
11 Willum Thor Willumsson M 6.2 27' – – 1 7 (5%) –
66 Almugera Kabar D 6.2 44' – – – 7 (3%) –
21 Tobias Storm D 5.9 89' – – – 18 (10%) 1
1 Gonzalo Crettaz G 3.0 3' – – – 2 –
14 Kaj Sierhuis F — 5' – – – 1 (1%) –
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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis Bodo/Glimt
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Bodo/Glimt
LWLWW
NEC Nijmegen
DLLDL
Last 1 meetings Bodo/Glimt · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
64%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
17%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen

1 Bodo/Glimt Wins
0 Draws
0 NEC Nijmegen Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Aug 2026 NEC Nijmegen 1 - 3 Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Brann L 2 - 1
14 Sep H Sandefjord W 3 - 2
10 Sep A Bayern München L 5 - 0
04 Sep A Fredrikstad W 1 - 2
30 Aug H Rosenborg W 4 - 2

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H GO Ahead Eagles D 1 - 1
17 Sep A Juventus L 5 - 0
12 Sep A Cambuur L 3 - 0
08 Sep H Excelsior D 2 - 2
05 Sep H Feyenoord L 1 - 3

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

NEC Nijmegen

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Dick Schreuder
1 Crettaz
24 Fonville
21 Storm
2 Pereira
10 Tadić
20 Lebreton
6 Nejašmić
99 Bischoff
9 Chery
30 Linssen
14 Sierhuis

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Gonzalo Crettaz G
2 Brayann Pereira D
21 Tobias Storm D
24 Deveron Fonville D
99 Clement Bischoff M
6 Darko Nejašmić M
20 Noé Lebreton M
10 Dušan Tadić M
9 Tjaronn Chery F
14 Kaj Sierhuis F
30 Bryan Linssen F

Substitutes

12 Nikolas Polster G
17 Bram Nuytinck D
66 Almugera Kabar D
8 Isak Hansen Aarøen M
11 Willum Thor Willumsson M
38 Joep Geneste G
5 Thomas Ouwejan D
73 Gabriel Brás D
19 Adam Tahaui F
32 Vito van Crooij M
35 Jamiro Monteiro M
34 Kevin Kers F

Bodo/Glimt

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Kjetil Knutsen
12 Haikin
15 Bjørkan
4 Bjørtuft
2 Nielsen
20 Sjøvold
19 Fet
7 Berg
8 Auklend
10 Hauge
9 Helmersen
11 Blomberg

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 Nikita Haikin G
20 Fredrik Sjøvold D
2 Villads Nielsen D
4 Odin Luras Bjørtuft D
15 Fredrik André Bjørkan D
8 Sondre Auklend M
7 Patrick Berg M
19 Sondre Fet M
11 Ole Didrik Blomberg F
9 Andreas Helmersen F
10 Jens Petter Hauge F

Substitutes

1 Julian Lund G
5 Haitam Aleesami D
25 Isak Dybvik Määttä D
14 Ulrik Saltnes M
22 Joel Mugisha Mvuka M
32 Kasper Solhaug M
16 Joshua Kitolano M
17 Ola Brynhildsen F
24 Daniel Bassi F

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