Gent vs Hibernian Prognoza

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

Post on X

Hibernian

Away

Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Gent

58%

25%

17%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Gent vs Hibernian: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Gent na 58%, Hibernian na 17%, a remisu na 25%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 20 Aug 2026, 20:22.

Typy Premium

Premium

Ponad 1,5 gola 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Match Report

Gent and Hibernian played out a goalless draw in their UEFA Conference League playoff first leg, with the hosts edging the chances despite neither side managing to find the net. The clearest opportunity of the match fell to Owen Elding, who missed a penalty in the 15th minute that could have given Hibernian an early foothold in the tie.

The second half grew increasingly fractious, with five yellow cards shown between the 80th and 90th minutes as both sides made a flurry of substitutions. Gent finished the stronger on paper, registering three shots on target to Hibernian's one, and it was the Belgian side who looked the more threatening as the game wore on. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Gent win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that reflected their overall dominance on the night.

The 0–0 scoreline leaves the tie finely poised ahead of the second leg, though Hibernian's missed penalty will loom large given how tight the contest proved to be.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

✗ 15'

Owen Elding Missed Penalty

HT 0–0

▮ 60'

Josh Campbell Yellow Card

László Bénes ⇄ Kyrell Wilson

64' ⇄

⇄ 64'

Josh Campbell ⇄ Jamie McGrath

⇄ 64'

Owen Elding ⇄ Martin Boyle

▮ 80'

Jordan Obita Yellow Card

Momodou Sonko

80' ⇄

Christian Burgess ⇄ Maksim Paskotsi

80' ⇄

Josué Vergara ⇄ Ibrahima Cisse

80' ⇄

▮ 81'

Jamie McGrath Yellow Card

⇄ 82'

Miguel Changa Chaiwa ⇄ Joe Newell

Tiago Araújo Yellow Card

83' ▮

▮ 89'

Adam Mayor Yellow Card

Mathias Delorge ⇄ Leonardo Lopes

89' ⇄

▮ 90+2'

Martin Boyle Yellow Card

FT 0–0

Gent

Match Stats

Hibernian

0% Ball Possession 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

3 Shots on Goal 1

3 Shots off Goal 0

1 Blocked Shots 0

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

1 Corner Kicks 1

0 Offsides 2

7 Fouls 3

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Trudna wygrana lub remis Gent

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Gent

WDWWW

Hibernian

DLWLL

Last 1 meetings Gent · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hibernian goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	3	1
1	11	13	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Gent goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	5.0%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
1	11.3%	12.7%	4.9%	1.5%	0.3%
2	11.1%	9.8%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
3	6.5%	5.7%	2.5%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.8%	2.5%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gent	Draw	Hibernian
Gent	36.6%	4.0%	1.1%
Draw	18.7%	16.8%	7.4%
Hibernian	2.2%	3.7%	9.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gent vs Hibernian

1 Gent Wins

0 Draws

0 Hibernian Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Aug 2026	Hibernian	2 - 3	Gent

Gent — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Standard Liege	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Genk	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Cercle Brugge	W	0 - 3
03 Sep	H OH Leuven	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 1

Hibernian — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Kilmarnock	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Ross County	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	A ST Johnstone	L	2 - 1
03 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	L	1 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Gent

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Rik De Mil

33 Roef

20 Araújo

16 Burgess

44 Heyden

5 Ngom

27 Vlieger

17 Delorge

57 Volckaert

11 Sonko

47 Vergara

8 Bénes

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Davy Roef	G
5	Mouhamed El Ngom	D
44	Siebe Van Der Heyden	D
16	Christian Burgess	D
20	Tiago Araújo	D
57	Matties Volckaert	D
17	Mathias Delorge	M
27	Tibe De Vlieger	M
8	László Bénes	M
47	Josué Vergara	F
11	Momodou Sonko	F

Substitutes

30	Kjell Peersman	G
3	Maksim Paskotsi	D
56	Mamadou Diallo	D
39	Abdul Ayinde	D
10	Aimé Omgba	M
14	Kyrell Wilson	M
22	Leonardo Lopes	M
37	Abdelkahar Kadri	M
59	El Hadji Seck	M
61	Abubakar Abdullahi	M
28	Mohammed El Âdfaoui	M
75	Ibrahima Cisse	F

Hibernian

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: David Gray

1 Sallinger

3 Mayor

6 Kerr

5 O'Hora

25 Passlack

21 Obita

14 Chaiwa

8 Mulligan

32 Campbell

9 Lowe

7 Elding

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Raphael Sallinger	G
25	Felix Passlack	M
5	Warren O'Hora	D
6	Jason Kerr	D
3	Adam Mayor	M
8	Josh Mulligan	M
14	Miguel Changa Chaiwa	M
21	Jordan Obita	D
7	Owen Elding	F
9	Nathan Lowe	F
32	Josh Campbell	M

Substitutes

13	Jordan Smith	G
35	Freddie Owens	G
4	Grant Hanley	D
15	Jack Iredale	D
11	Joe Newell	M
17	Jamie McGrath	M
19	Nicky Cadden	M
23	Callum Wright	M
47	Azeem Abdulai	M
27	Kanayochukwu Megwa	M
10	Martin Boyle	F
22	Ante Šuto	F