Nacional vs Estoril Prognoza
FT
Typowanie AI
Nacional lub remis
37%
30%
33%
Wygrana gospodarzy
Remis
Wygrana gości
Prognoza Nacional vs Estoril: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Nacional na 37%, Estoril na 33%, a remisu na 30%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 16 Aug 2026, 16:30.
Timeline
▮
11'
Xeka
Yellow Card
▮
32'
Xeka
Yellow Card
▮
32'
Xeka
Red Card
HT 0–0
Matheus Dias
Yellow Card
51'
▮
⇄
63'
André Lacximicant
⇄ Tiago Brito
⇄
63'
Rafik Guitane
⇄ Fabrício Garcia
Miguel Baeza
⇄ Deivison Souza Brito
66'
⇄
Matheus Dias
⇄ Stavros Gavriel
66'
⇄
Ze Vitor
assist: Léo Santos
68'
⚽
1–0
⇄
75'
Ricard Sánchez
⇄ Pedro Carvalho
⇄
75'
Fernando Medrano
⇄ Gonçalo Costa
Léo Santos
assist: Daniel Júnior
77'
⚽
2–0
Filipe Soares
Yellow Card
79'
▮
Daniel Júnior
⇄ Daniel De la Cruz
81'
⇄
▮
82'
Ismael Sierra Arnal
Yellow Card
▮
85'
Ferro
Yellow Card
⇄
85'
Antef Tsoungui
⇄ Jandro Orellana
Pablo
⇄ Joel Silva
88'
⇄
FT 2–0
Nacional
Match Stats
Estoril
59%
Ball Possession
41%
2.08
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
20
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
5
9
Shots off Goal
3
8
Blocked Shots
1
10
Shots insidebox
4
10
Shots outsidebox
5
7
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
445
Total passes
309
385
Passes accurate
247
87%
Passes %
80%
-0.64
goals_prevented
-0.64
Nacional
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Léo Santos D | 8.7 | 94' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 72 (64%) | 1 |
| 38 Ze Vitor D | 8.5 | 94' | 1 | – | 2 | 77 (73%) | 2 |
| 10 Daniel Júnior F | 7.5 | 81' | – | 1 | 1 | 40 (33%) | – |
| 11 Stavros Gavriel M | 7.3 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 1 Renato Marin G | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 19 (10%) | – |
| 7 Markus Jensen M | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 33 (25%) | 2 |
| 28 Liziero M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 47 (41%) | 3 |
| 52 Wesley Gasolina M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 35 (32%) | – |
| 8 Miguel Baeza F | 6.7 | 66' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | – |
| 6 Matheus Dias D | 6.7 | 66' | – | – | – | 47 (44%) | – |
| 88 Deivison Souza Brito M | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 22 Filipe Soares M | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 37 (32%) | 3 |
| 99 Pablo F | 6.6 | 88' | – | – | 2 | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 2 Daniel De la Cruz D | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 26 Joel Silva M | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
Estoril
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 João Carvalho M | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 28 (21%) | 1 |
| 4 Ferro D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 39 (32%) | 3 |
| 22 Pedro Carvalho D | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 98 Fabrício Garcia F | 6.7 | 31' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 3 Fernando Medrano D | 6.7 | 75' | – | – | – | 27 (22%) | 2 |
| 1 Joel Robles G | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 32 (19%) | – |
| 2 Ricard Sánchez D | 6.6 | 75' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | 2 |
| 99 Rafik Guitane M | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 5 Antef Tsoungui M | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 29 (23%) | – |
| 6 Jandro Orellana M | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 7 André Lacximicant M | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 14 (11%) | 1 |
| 15 Ismael Sierra Arnal D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 46 (42%) | – |
| 14 Yanis Begraoui F | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | – |
| 18 Gonçalo Costa D | 6.2 | 19' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 90 Tiago Brito M | 6.2 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 13 (7%) | 1 |
| 8 Xeka M | 5.0 | 32' | – | – | 2 | 15 (14%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (37%)
At a glance
Nasza analiza
Nacional lub remis
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Nacional
LLLLL
Estoril
LLDLL
Last 3 meetings
Nacional · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
Nacional faces Estoril in this Primeira Liga matchup on August 16, 2026. Both teams have shown competitive form, with Nacional typically boasting a stronger home record in past seasons. Estoril, however, has been effective on the road, showcasing resilience and tactical discipline. Key players to watch include Nacional's top scorer, who has consistently found the net, and Estoril's solid defense, which has kept clean sheets in recent fixtures. This clash will likely hinge on Nacional's ability to break down Estoril's organized backline.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
37%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
33%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nacional vs Estoril
0
Nacional Wins
2
Draws
1
Estoril Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Nacional | 0 - 1 | Estoril |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Estoril | 1 - 1 | Nacional |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Nacional | 2 - 2 | Estoril |
Nacional — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Famalicao | L | 0 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Alverca | L | 1 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Sporting CP | L | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H Estrela | L | 2 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Vitória SC | L | 1 - 0 |
Estoril — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Casa Pia | L | 1 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A SC Braga | L | 1 - 0 |
| 07 Sep | H Arouca | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Aug | A Benfica | L | 2 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Rio Ave | L | 0 - 2 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Nacional
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Giao Joao
1
Marin
38
Vitor
6
Dias
34
Santos
7
Jensen
22
Soares
28
Liziero
52
Gasolina
10
Júnior
8
Baeza
99
Cardozo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renato Marin | G |
| 34 | Léo Santos | D |
| 6 | Matheus Dias | D |
| 38 | Ze Vitor | D |
| 52 | Wesley Gasolina | M |
| 28 | Liziero | M |
| 22 | Filipe Soares | M |
| 7 | Markus Jensen | M |
| 8 | Miguel Baeza | F |
| 10 | Daniel Júnior | F |
| 99 | Pablo Messias Cardozo | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | João Gonçalves | G |
| 50 | Kevyn | G |
| 14 | Ivanildo Fernandes | D |
| 33 | Francisco Gonçalves | D |
| 55 | Pedro Silva | D |
| 26 | Joel Silva | M |
| 11 | Stavros Gavriel | M |
| 15 | Chiheb Labidi | M |
| 2 | Daniel De la Cruz | D |
| 23 | Mateus Jose Iseppe | M |
| 88 | Deivison Souza Brito | M |
| 30 | Martim Gustavo Watts | M |
Estoril
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Vasco Matos
1
Robles
3
Medrano
15
Arnal
4
Ferro
2
Sánchez
5
Tsoungui
8
Xeka
7
Lacximicant
12
Carvalho
99
Guitane
14
Begraoui
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joel Robles | G |
| 2 | Ricard Sánchez | D |
| 4 | Ferro | D |
| 15 | Ismael Sierra Arnal | D |
| 3 | Fernando Medrano | D |
| 8 | Xeka | M |
| 5 | Antef Tsoungui | M |
| 99 | Rafik Guitane | M |
| 12 | João Carvalho | M |
| 7 | André Lacximicant | M |
| 14 | Yanis Begraoui | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | Diogo Dias | G |
| 16 | Martin Turk | G |
| 42 | Jordan Arnolin | D |
| 22 | Pedro Carvalho | D |
| 19 | Tiago Parente | D |
| 25 | Stelios Andreou | D |
| 18 | Gonçalo Costa | D |
| 90 | Tiago Brito | M |
| 80 | Luis Gomes | M |
| 6 | Jandro Orellana | M |
| 98 | Fabrício Garcia | F |