Toulouse vs Le Havre Prognoza

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Toulouse
53%
26%
21%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Toulouse vs Le Havre: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Toulouse na 53%, Le Havre na 21%, a remisu na 26%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 19 Sep 2026, 20:37.

Typy Premium

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Timeline

Christ Tapé Yellow Card
34'
HT 0–0
Casper Tengstedt Penalty
49' 1–0
Casper Tengstedt assist: Thomas Jørgensen
51' 2–0
Niko Sigur Yellow Card
58'
69'
Rayan Fofana ⇄ Enzo Koffi
69'
D. Ouziad ⇄ Sota Nakamura
70'
Vincent Sasso ⇄ Junior Mwanga
2–1 71'
Josh Maja assist: Sota Nakamura
Casper Tengstedt ⇄ Santiago Hidalgo
72'
Ilyas Azizi ⇄ Sion Oppong
72'
Rafik Messali ⇄ Alexis Vossah
72'
Seny Koumbassa Yellow Card
74'
Thomas Jørgensen assist: Cristian Cásseres Jr.
79' 3–1
81'
Sota Nakamura Yellow Card
82'
Josh Maja ⇄ Ismail Bouneb
82'
Amir Richardson ⇄ Rassoul Ndiaye
3–2 88'
Mbwana Ally Samatta
FT 3–2
Toulouse

Match Stats

Le Havre
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 12
4 Shots outsidebox 6
6 Corner Kicks 7
3 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
476 Total passes 406
410 Passes accurate 353
14 Free Kicks 17
Toulouse
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Thomas Jørgensen M 8.4 90' 1 1 1 37 (26%) 1
20 Casper Tengstedt F 8.2 72' 2 5 11 (7%)
16 Guillaume Restes G 7.4 90' 33 (33%)
23 Cristian Cásseres Jr. M 7.2 90' 1 77 (65%) 2
22 Rafik Messali D 7.2 72' 1 38 (31%) 3
3 Mark McKenzie D 7.0 90' 53 (47%) 3
11 Sion Oppong F 6.7 18' 4 (3%) 1
14 Niko Sigur M 6.6 90' 1 40 (38%) 1
5 Seny Koumbassa D 6.5 90' 66 (58%) 3
9 Santiago Hidalgo F 6.5 18' 1 9 (8%)
37 Ilyas Azizi M 6.4 72' 3 24 (19%) 3
13 Jacen Russell-Rowe F 6.3 90' 2 25 (21%)
12 Christ Tapé D 6.3 90' 48 (44%)
6 Alexis Vossah M 6.2 18' 11 (10%) 1
Le Havre
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Josh Maja F 8.2 82' 1 4 17 (16%)
25 Mbwana Ally Samatta M 7.7 90' 1 3 18 (16%) 1
30 Sota Nakamura F 7.1 21' 1 1 10 (9%)
20 D. Ouziad M 6.9 69' 2 33 (26%) 3
23 Vincent Sasso D 6.7 70' 49 (43%) 3
15 Ayumu Seko D 6.5 90' 2 61 (58%) 1
5 Ahmed Touba D 6.5 90' 53 (47%)
26 Simon Ebonog M 6.3 90' 1 37 (31%) 1
27 Enzo Koffi F 6.2 21' 7 (6%)
7 Amir Richardson M 6.2 82' 2 32 (26%) 1
38 Rayan Fofana M 6.0 69' 3 11 (7%) 1
14 Rassoul Ndiaye M 5.9 8' 5 (5%)
6 Junior Mwanga M 5.9 20' 13 (12%) 1
44 Ismail Bouneb M 5.9 8' 2
12 Elias Jelert M 5.8 90' 30 (25%) 1
93 G. Gallon G 5.5 90' 28 (26%)
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis Toulouse
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Toulouse
WDLDL
Le Havre
LDLDL
Last 3 meetings Toulouse · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Toulouse will face Le Havre. Toulouse has shown a solid offensive performance this season, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Le Havre has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Toulouse's midfield control will be crucial, as they dominate possession at around 55%. Le Havre will need to tighten their defense and exploit counter-attacking opportunities to secure a positive result. Overall, Toulouse's attacking prowess gives them the edge heading into this match.

Live insights

89' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 3-2! Toulouse win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: Toulouse leads 3-1. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.

79' Goal 85% sure

Toulouse now leads 3-1 with 99.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 30.3%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Toulouse leads 2-1. Win probability: 88.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 11.8%.

73' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Toulouse win: 86.7%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Toulouse
C. Tengstedt 3 gls
T. Jørgensen 2 gls
Le Havre
M. Samatta 2 gls

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Head to Head: Toulouse vs Le Havre

1 Toulouse Wins
1 Draws
1 Le Havre Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Feb 2026 Le Havre 2 - 1 Toulouse
02 Nov 2025 Toulouse 0 - 0 Le Havre
23 Feb 2025 Le Havre 1 - 4 Toulouse
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Toulouse — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Le Havre W 3 - 2
12 Sep A Lorient D 2 - 2
03 Sep H Lille L 0 - 1
29 Aug A Stade Brestois 29 D 2 - 2
22 Aug H Lyon L 0 - 2

Le Havre — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Toulouse L 3 - 2
12 Sep H Angers D 0 - 0
05 Sep H Stade Brestois 29 L 1 - 2
29 Aug A Lyon D 1 - 1
23 Aug H Monaco L 0 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Toulouse

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
16 Restes
12 Tapé
3 McKenzie
5 Koumbassa
22 Messali
37 Azizi
23 Cásseres
14 Sigur
8 Jørgensen
20 Tengstedt
13 Russell-Rowe

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 G. Restes G
22 R. Messali D
5 S. Koumbassa D
3 M. McKenzie D
12 C. Tapé D
8 T. Jørgensen M
14 N. Sigur M
23 C. Cásseres M
37 Y. Azizi M
13 J. Russell-Rowe F
20 C. Tengstedt F

Substitutes

18 M. Amougou M
15 A. Dønnum M
9 S. Hidalgo F
60 M. Niflore G
19 D. Odogu D
11 S. Oppong F
31 N. Schmidt M
7 Julián Vignolo F
6 A. Vossah M

Le Havre

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: D. Digard
93 Gallon
5 Touba
15 Seko
23 Sasso
12 Jelert
7 Richardson
26 Ebonog
20 Ouziad
25 Samatta
38 Fofana
9 Maja

Starting XI

# Player Pos
93 G. Gallon G
23 V. Sasso D
15 A. Seko D
5 A. Touba D
20 D. Ouziad M
26 S. Ebonog M
7 A. Richardson M
12 E. Jelert M
38 R. Fofana M
25 M. Samatta M
9 J. Maja F

Substitutes

16 A. Bodart G
44 I. Bouneb M
17 K. Mizuta M
78 D. Mosengo M
6 J. Mwanga M
30 S. Nakamura F
14 R. Ndiaye M
27 E. Koffi Vinette F
97 M. Ndiaye D

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